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André Freire Assistant Professor of Political Science and Methodology

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The 2009 European and Legislative elections in Portugal, and the Portuguese Political System – An Historical and Longitudinal Perspective. André Freire Assistant Professor of Political Science and Methodology ISCTE – IUL (Lisbon University Institute) And

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The 2009 European and Legislative elections in Portugal, and the Portuguese Political System – An Historical and Longitudinal Perspective

André Freire

Assistant Professor of Political Science and Methodology

ISCTE – IUL (Lisbon University Institute)

And

CIES – ISCTE – IUL (Centre for Sociological Studies and Research)

Presentation prepared to be presented in the UniversitéLibre de Bruxelles (ULB), October 8, 2009.

figure 1 semi presidential system of goverment
Figure 1 – Semi-presidential system of goverment

Source: Prat e Marínez, 2000: 109.

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Figure 2 – Left-right placement of the major Portuguese political parties, 1978-2005, according to electors’ perceptions.
table 1 portuguese elections to the european parliament 2004 and 2009
Table 1.– Portuguese Elections to the European Parliament, 2004 and 2009

Sources: official results in: 2004 - www.cne.pt; 2009 - http://www.europeias2009.mj.pt/

Notes: 1) All parties individually included won at least 1% of vote and/or one seat; 2) The parties are listed in order of the size of their vote at the 2009 election; 3) Total seats and votes’ percentages may add up to less than 100 due to rounding; 4) The turnout percentages are calculated considering the total of electors in the electoral rolls; 5) “Força Portugal”: pre-electoral coalition between PSD & CDS-PP – only ran as such in 2004.

table 2 1 opinions polls published before the 2009 portuguese legislative elections
Table 2.1 - Opinions polls published before the 2009 Portuguese Legislative Elections

Source:http://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C3%89lections_l%C3%A9gislatives_portugaises_de_2009

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Table 2.2 – Exit opinion polls for the 2009 Portuguese Legislative Elections – announced in the Portuguese TV Channels (TVI, RTP, and SIC), around 8 p.m., 27/9/2009

Source: TVI (Intercampus), RTP (CESOP), and SIC (Eurosondagem).

Notes: For each polling firm, we present the lower and higher limits of the confidence interval for the results of each one of the five major parties that obtained representation.

table 3 elections to the portuguese national parliament 2009 and 2005
Table 3 – Elections to the Portuguese National Parliament, 2009 and 2005

Sources: Portuguese Ministry of Justice (2002 elections), www.eleicoes.mj.pt/ ; http://www.cne.pt/Eleicoes/dlfiles/resultados_ar2005.pdf (2005 elections); http://www.legislativas2009.mj.pt/ (2009).

Notes:1) Results include all national electoral districts and also the two constituencies for the Portuguese citizens living abroad;2) All parties individually included won at least 1% of vote and/or one seat; 3) The parties are listed in order of the size of their vote at the 2005 election; 4) Total seats and votes’ percentages may add up to less than 100 due to rounding; 5) The turnout percentages are calculated considering the total of electors in the electoral rolls.

table 4 1 turnout and blank votes in legislative elections 1975 1985
Table 4.1 – Turnout and blank votes in legislative elections, 1975-1985 (%)
  • Sources: http://www.eleicoes.cne.pt/cne2005/ (1975-2002); http://www.cne.pt/Eleicoes/dlfiles/resultados_ar2005.pdf (2005), inAlmeida, Pedro Tavares, e Freire, André (2005), “Two Overwhelming Victories of the Left: The 2004 European Election and the 2005 Legislative Election in Portugal”, South European Society & Politics, Volume 10 (3), pp. 451-464.
  • Notes:
  • the two constituencies for the Portuguese citizens living abroad are also considered.
  • Absolute numbers in thousands (000’s).
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