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Sensitivity Analysis of HP: Forecasting Challenges and Growth Insights

This document provides an in-depth sensitivity analysis of Hewlett-Packard (HP), exploring its financial background, value line data, and enterprise income. It addresses the company's recent restructuring efforts, including billions in impaired acquisitions and layoffs, and presents a five-year growth plan aimed at 2015. Insights from SWOT analysis reveal significant concerns, including the likelihood of positive growth post-2014 due to leadership changes and the complexities of forecasting in a restructuring environment.

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Sensitivity Analysis of HP: Forecasting Challenges and Growth Insights

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  1. Module 9: Sensitivity Analysis Brian Phelan

  2. Agenda • Background on HP • Value Line Data • Abnormal Enterprise Income • Sensitivity Analysis

  3. Industry Structure Source: Ibis World US

  4. Industry Structure Source: Ibis World US

  5. Background • Restructuring • Billions in Impaired acquisitions • Layoffs • 5 year plan -> growth by 2015

  6. HP SWOT Analysis Source: OvidijusJurevicius at Strategic Management Insights

  7. Value Line

  8. Equity Estimate using Residual Income

  9. Abnormal Enterprise Growth Model

  10. Value per Share

  11. Sensitivity Analysis

  12. Sensitivity Analysis

  13. Concerns • Positive growth after 2014 may not be likely • New leadership and restructuring create forecasting challenges • Adjustments to growth rate

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