World Bank Education Strategy 2020 Consultations

1. World Bank Education Strategy 2020Consultations

2. How will the world look in 2020? What will be the demands on education and education systems?

3. Different population profiles across countries…with faster growth in low-income countries

4. The rise of new economic stars Rodriguez, 2008

5. Economic growth created space for investment 2002 -2007: Developing Countries’ strongest growth in decades IMF projections as cited in Rodgers, 2008

6. Short-term growth projections • Main drag on global growth comes from high-income countries, with implications for external aid resources • Robust prospects for developing countries for recovery in 2010

7. Percentage of population living at less than $2/day Poverty has declined but less so in Africa

8. Greater pressure on post-primary education • Increase in net enrollment rates in primary education • Growing demand for secondary and tertiary education • More children and youth in school also from disadvantaged groups • Enrollment gaps between rich and poor remain high • Large differences within regions in education outcomes – so no one size fits all, in terms of education regional strategies …but

9. What else has changed since 2000? • Geopolitics and serious security concerns • Information and Communication Technology • Partnerships and Paris & Accra declarations • Changes within the World Bank

10. Schooling-Learning Cycle ECD Formal schooling Training Primary level Secondary level Tertiary level Out-of-school youth Nutrition, health care, parental training, ECE  Skills training  Children & youth in school % learning goals achieved

11. Beyond enrollment: Learning

12. New evidence:the contribution of learning to growth New evidence on the contribution of learning (as opposed to attainment) to economic growth Hanushek & Woessmann 2007

13. World Bank’s priorities for education for 2020 • Invest in strengthening education systems so that they can • Secure educational opportunity for all • Assure education quality • Guide and govern effectively and efficiently • Increase global knowledge and understandingof education challenges and policy through • Research • Innovation and learning • Policy debate

14. Operating principles • Whole-sector approach • Global and multisectoral perspective: reconnect education to development agenda • Develop effective partnerships • Measure our results & impact • Core indicators • Impact evaluations

15. Evidence is not the only influence on policymaking evidence, expertise & experience national capacity resources national lobby & pressure groups international pressure EDUCATION POLICY political pragmatics values, tradition & culture Modified from P. Davies

16. Previous education strategies 2000 Update 2005 • Education for All • for the knowledge economy • for cohesive societies • Priorities: • Education in a countrywide perspective • Sector-wide approach • Results orientation • Quality • Education for All • Priorities: • Basic education (poor, girls) • Early interventions (ECD, school health) • Innovative delivery • Systemic reform

17. Impact will not be immediate • Policies & programs to improve cognitive skills through schools take time to implement • Assume that it will take 20 years to implement reform • Impact of improved skills not realized until students with those skills join the labor force • Economy will respond as new technologies using higher skills are adopted and implemented

18. Discussion questions • How can the World Bank best support efficient, equitable and durable educational progress? In Low Income Countries? In Fragile and Conflict-afflicted States? In Middle Income Countries? • How can the World Bank effectively support improvements in the quality of learning and acquisition of skills? • How can the Bank work better with partners?

19. Website: www.worldbank.org/educationstrategy2020 Email: edustrategy2020@worldbank.org

20. Additional slides following

21. Education lending portfolio:Active portfolio fy09:$8.8 billion

22. Focus of fy09 education operations • Almost half supports poorest countries through IDA funds • 49% supports basic education • 51% supports post-basic education • 75% includes teacher development • 50% includes learning assessments • 44% of total lending to education comes from multi-sector operations • 20 projects co-financed by bilateral &multilateral agencies, • total funding of $1.2 billion • More than100 knowledge products on education

23. Timetable for the strategy Preparation and drafting CODE Review 27th January OVP Review June CODE Review August Board October Prepare CN, using comments staff, OVPs and HD Council Prepare background notes Prepare annexes Prepare implemen-tation plans Publication and launch of strategy Prepare draft strategy Prepare full strategy Revise full strategy Consultation Staff consultation (general directions) Multi-stakeholder internal & external consultation (specifics of strategy) Internal & external consultation on draft strategy (content & implementation) Final approval Disseminate strategy

24. Economic crisis is likely to reduce donor aid Dang, Rogers & Knack, 2009

25. Progress towards education MDGs:Net enrolment rate in primary education

26. Growing demand for tertiary education:Gross enrolment rate in tertiary education

27. Enrolment gaps between rich and poor remain high

28. Large differences between countries in the same region

29. Changes Create Challenges • Increased economic growth gave countries space for education investment • Economic crisis is likely to reduce donor aid