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Selective Properties of the GMDH Criteria for Inductive Modeling Volodymyr Stepashko

Selective Properties of the GMDH Criteria for Inductive Modeling Volodymyr Stepashko Kyiv, IRTC ITS Ukraine. General Problem Statement. F – set of model structures С – criterion of a model quality Structure of a model:. Estimation of parameters:.

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Selective Properties of the GMDH Criteria for Inductive Modeling Volodymyr Stepashko

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  1. Selective Properties of the GMDH Criteria for Inductive Modeling Volodymyr Stepashko Kyiv, IRTC ITS Ukraine

  2. General Problem Statement F– set of model structures С– criterion of a model quality Structure of a model: Estimation of parameters: Q – criterion of the quality of model parameters estimation

  3. 2. Basic Principles of GMDH as an Inductive Method Construction of optimal models for prediction and extrapolation with the purpose of control and decision making

  4. Conclusions • Theory of the Noise-Immunity Modeling is the basis of the GMDH theory • Method of critical variances is the basic analytical tool of the theory • GMDH is an inductive method for construction of optimal forecasting models • External criteria provide implicit (automatic) account of uncertainties

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