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The Death of the Strategist: Lessons in Foresight and Strategy Development

Explore insights from 'Foresight' in Cyprus, Ireland, Scotland, and Japan. Learn about the European Foresight Monitoring Network and 611 identified cases worldwide. Dive into decentralization, visioning, and democratic processes in strategic decision-making. Discover multi-level governance structures and new management paradigms.

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The Death of the Strategist: Lessons in Foresight and Strategy Development

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  1. The DEATH of the STRATEGIST! patrick@clubofamsterdam.com

  2. 1: Some Lesson from ‘Foresight’ … Cyprus: Policy for CAP Reform, Accession … Ireland: Aligning National RTD Policy with the needs of the economy … Scotland: Development, fish farming & NIMBYISM in highland areas … Japan: Emergence of social factors … The ‘European Foresight Monitoring Network’ at www.efmn.info … 611 cases identified around the world .…at the level of the EU, international, national, regional, cross-border, municipal, sectoral … • MAIN TRENDS • DECENTRALISATION of decision making… • Attention to PROCESS • Completion of VISIONING with VISIONING+BARGAINING … • Embedding in systems of DELIBERATIVE DEMOCRACY … patrick@clubofamsterdam.com

  3. 2: A Look at STRATEGY … Based on M. Butter et al TNO VISION STRATEGY L1 TACTICS STRATEGY L2 BUY-IN OPERATIONS TACTICS STRATEGY L3 ORGANISATION OPERATIONS TACTICS OPERATIONS CAPABILITY EXECUTION Multi-Level GOVERNANCE Structures • MAIN TRENDS • New thinking about the ‘TASK of MANAGEMENT’ • DECENTRALISATION of decision making • Organizational PLASTICITY • In different ways and to varying degrees everyone is concerned with STRATEGY patrick@clubofamsterdam.com

  4. 3: CONCLUSIONS about Futurist Tools … • CURRENT TOOLS • Stakeholder Analysis • Expectations Management • Background Papers • Horizon scanning • Weak signal analysis • Bibliographical analysis • Expert Panels • Commissioned Reports • MIC-MAC • STEEPV • SWOT • Morphological Analysis • … ETC ETC • FUTURE TOOLS • STAKEHOLDER SELECTION • (Stakeholder Intelligence …) • DIALOGUE … • (Development and Management …) • SECONDARY RESEARCH … • (… +Visual, Exploratory and Interactive) • DECISION SUPPORT • (Qualitative, Subjective and Uncertain …) • COMMUNICATION • (… to stakeholders and non-stakeholders alike) patrick@clubofamsterdam.com

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