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On the policy effectiveness of abatement measures. Frank de Leeuw 11 th AQ EIONET 26-27 October 2006, La Rochelle. Testing the methodology on. LCPs. EURO standards. Pilot project (TNO, MNP). Three scenarios; three years. Reference case Without abatement Measures fully implemented

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on the policy effectiveness of abatement measures

On the policy effectiveness of abatement measures

Frank de Leeuw

11th AQ EIONET

26-27 October 2006, La Rochelle

pilot project tno mnp

Testing the methodology on

LCPs

EURO standards

Pilot project (TNO, MNP)

policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

three scenarios three years
Three scenarios; three years
  • Reference case
  • Without abatement
  • Measures fully implemented

Reference years: 1990, 1995, 2003

policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

methodology
Methodology

Emission = activity times emission factor

Activity data per sector: ESTAT, RAINS

EF: RAINS, LCP Directive

Pollutants: SO2, NOx, NMVOC

policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

methodology1
Methodology

LOTOS-EUROS model

1990

Unab ref MFR

Unab ref MFR

2003

policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

slide6

NOx

Road transport & EURO standards

policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

slide7
NOx

Stationary combustion & LCP

policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

euro standards nox
EURO standards & NOx

policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

lcp directive so2
LCP Directive & SO2

policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

lcp directive so21
LCP Directive & SO2

policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

ozone annual mean
Ozone (annual mean)

policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

validation so2 trend
Validation? SO2 trend

policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

validation
Validation?

policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw

conclusion
Conclusion
  • Work in progress but promissing
  • Better validation
  • Extend analysis with
    • CO
    • Cost data
    • Impact
    • Other directives (e.g. solvent)
  • Explore more local scale (national)

policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw