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Asian climate change workshop-introduction

This workshop covers Asian and global climate change themes including science phenomena, impacts, causes, policies, research, and collaboration. Explore the IPCC-WMO Curve and Global Climate Data Trends. Discuss climate change processes, regimes, and patterns with a focus on global warming effects, air circulations, and urban areas. Learn about new ideas and policy issues in climate change, fusion research, and sustainability efforts. Discover the importance of international cooperation and the Asian climate network for monitoring, modeling, technology, finance, governance, and cultural aspects.

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Asian climate change workshop-introduction

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  1. Asian climate change workshop-introduction Julian Hunt Trinity College Cambridge University College London TU Delft .

  2. Themes –Asian and global • Science ---CC phenomena; --- Modelling ;Concepts • Impacts/hazards • Causes – emissions (ghg; pollutants) - land surface ; • Policies –Integrated approaches? • Research and future collaboration

  3. Not widely known By politicians And policy makers -people live on land! Note IPCC-WMO Curve presented at International meetings. And to policy makers .

  4. Global Climate Data Trends 2011UKMet Office

  5. Global, Snow and Ice (UK Met Office) Modelling of ice edge /extent is not reliable. Effects of varying ice edge on ocean winds and currents could be significant (studies at UCL)

  6. SCHEMATIC OF CLIMATE CHANGE PROCESSES-note geographic var’n More convection in moister atmosphere Less snow/ice -> more volcanoes?

  7. _UPSLOPE Unusual  Usual -> us uusual Deeper convection? • Buoyancy + upslope (Ls) upslope turn right • Triggers convective upwind flow • (Note Lu Luc + Ls ; > 3*103 km) • Lu as N , h ; H (Climate; Aerosol; QBO?) • Ls as H (Geology)

  8. 1. Regimes CLIMATE PATTERNS CHANGE WITH GLOBAL WARMING EXTENDED STAGNANT AIR CASSOU & GULYARDI 2007

  9. Asymmetric dishpan experiment-what does el nino do to global circulations? ASU (HpPeng)

  10. Note + 2deg since 1950 –in data for 2010 . Likely to exceed 4deg by 2100—cf Hansen warning (historic)

  11. DRAG OF URBAN AREA –ALSO TURNS WIND -WEAK BUOYANCY FORCES BELOW INVERSION LAYER. NOTE DOWNWIND WAKE SCALE LR-EXTENDS OVER 10LR – (J.Chan HK) 500KM DOWNWIND OF MEGACITIES (J CHAN ..) ; (RIGHT DEFLN IF STRONG CONVECTION OVER CITY AND LOW WIND)

  12. STERN GLOBAL REVIEW _NOT VALID AFTER COP15? NEW IDEAS FOR 2010----?

  13. RANGES OF LIKELY EMISSIONS FOR DIFFERENT TYPES OF COUNTRY Normal Economic Development or with sustainable development policies -> DIFFERENT LEGISLATION FOR EACH REGION/COUNTRY- AFTER CANCUN. Normal Econ Dev. Sustainable development (.)' 2000 2100 ILPG – Industrialized low pop. Growth (EU; Japan) IHPG – Industrialized High pop. Growth (USA) DRI – Developing- rapid industrialization- limited pop. Growth (China) DRI(LA) – DRI plus large agricultural sector – high pop. Growth (India)

  14. Fusion Research Hybrid Fusion-Fission? Hybrid FF Efficient use of uranium/ thorium resources - no long term radioactive waste (100 yrs)? China – pilot project 2020? No plans for Europe? TOKAMAK Fusion Device OR MORE WIND ENERGY?

  15. Policy Issues • -Note International trend for national/regional policies on emissions/ conservation • -UNFCC/IPCC role is now monitoring , comparing, and predicting • -Need for International cooperation (including UN ) +ASIAN CLIMATE NETWORK? • *science, (monitoring ;modelling tropical/polar /terrestial effects on cc) • technology-Clean Energy , water; deforestation; bioreactors • Finance-Clean Development Mechanism; clean /green trading /pricing • Governance- national/(regional?)climate legislation • Cultural , Communications-eg water recycling , waste energy; low energy food; life styles.

  16. SUSTAINABILITY THROUGH INTEGRATION BY GOVERNMENTS, COMMUNITIES, INDIVIDUALS IN DIFFERENT GLOBAL REGIONS OF ENVIRONMENTAL , ENERGY, TECHNOLOGICAL , AND SOCIAL, SECURITY POLICIES ?, Note advantages – economy (eg adaptation (flooding)and mitigation (clean energy) - public understanding/acceptance (with leadership) Note problems – short term costs versus long term advantages. (reF JH . ProcInstCivEngrsuk 2009)

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