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Consequence Management Planning. John T. Hoffman Director, Threat & Mitigation john.hoffman@ncmail.net. Meg Scott Phipps, Commissioner. How To Reduce Exposure to Terrorism. Assess threat and vulnerabilities Implement Threat Reduction steps Develop Crisis Management Plan

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Consequence Management Planning

John T. Hoffman

Director, Threat & Mitigation

john.hoffman@ncmail.net

Meg Scott Phipps, Commissioner


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How To Reduce Exposure to Terrorism

  • Assess threat and vulnerabilities

  • Implement Threat Reduction steps

  • Develop Crisis Management Plan

  • Develop Consequence Management Plan

  • Train your team & Exercise the plans


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Sustainment

Consequence

Management

Event

Continuum

Emergency Response

Consequence Management

Crisis Response

  • Support to local/State agencies

  • Troops on street

  • Immediate Response

  • Rescue

  • Immediate sustainment

  • Recovery

  • Long Term

  • Sustainment

  • Follow-up

  • Identify

  • Prevent

  • Apprehend

  • Follow-up

Preparations

Crisis Response

  • Plan

  • Equip

  • Train

  • Coordinate

  • Test

  • Respond

  • Rescue

  • Secure

  • Support


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Response

Capability

Infrastructure &

Resources Available

Plans &

Training Posture

Information &

Communications

Organization’s

Staff Available


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Crisis & Consequence

Management Planning

  • Your plan must address how you will operate without key external support?

  • You must understand the threat and its potential effect on your activity:

    • threat scenarios provide focus

    • Assess capabilities to respond and recover

    • analysis uncovers gaps and shortfalls

  • Your plan must identify how you will return to normalcy

  • The goal is to minimize loss of life, capability, and property


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Analysis Approach

Objective

  • Start with Threat Scenarios

  • Enlist domain experts

  • Use simulation tools to assess impact on target

    • physical models

    • GIS databases (demo- graphics, emergency assets, street maps, …)

    • Process/production schematics

Analyze appropriate threat scenarios; overlay on conventional response capabilities

Scenario

Evolution

Predict Impact

Scenario Analysis

Scenario

Outcome

Casualties

Property Damage

Process/production Impact

Economic Impact


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Organizational Response Assessment

Scenario

Information

Technology

Equipment

Command

Resources

Overall

Comm

Plans

Radiological Threat

Overall Capabilities

(Strontium)

Summary: Terrorists place a beta emitter in tank of raw product.

Biological Agent Threat

(Foot & Mouth)

Summary: Dairy cattle discovered to have FMD.

Biological Agent Threat

(Anthrax)

Summary: 100 grams of anthrax released into the production process.

Product Adulteration Threat

(Ricin)

Summary: Ricin put into raw product

Chemical Agent Threat

(Nerve Agent – from Pesticide)

Summary: Organo-phosphate put into raw product

Federal Government Response Assessment


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Emergency Infrastructure

  • What facility can serve as your EOC?

  • Where is your off-site/alternate management or operations office?

  • What team within your organization provides ongoing planning and coordination?

  • Who can provide contracting, procurement, equipment loan/lease support to restore or sustain critical operations?

  • Is there a COOP plan to sustain production or preserve capability at some level?

  • Do you maintain pre-packaged response or continuity of operations emergency supplies?


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Developing Consequence Management Plans:

  • Establish inter-agency Planning Team

  • Assess Threat and Vulnerabilities

  • Coordinate with local Emergency Response

  • Determine Required Tasks to Restore Normalcy

  • Determine Required Resources to Restore Normalcy

  • Determine tasks required to restore critical functions

  • Develop Command Structure and Staff functions

  • Assess current capabilities to execute the plan

  • Identify shortfalls and needs, then remedy them

  • Train your staff and then Exercise the plan!


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1 Jun

Complete Consequence Management Plan

Initial

Assessment

Report to

CEO

15 Feb

Complete Staffing Plan &

Resource Allocations

1 DecComplete needs identification & Prioritize planning tasks to be accomplished

Use Planning Milestones

20 Oct

Conduct Detailed Assessments

4 Oct

Complete Planning Task Objectives


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Local EM

Suppliers

Police

EMS

Resourced

Coordinated

Integrated

Effective

Plan

Industry Org.

Sheriff

NCDA&CS

Media

Endstate Objective


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Consequence Management Planning

QUESTIONS?

John T. Hoffman

Director, Threat & Mitigation

john.hoffman@ncmail.net