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Hoos going to win the NCAA Tournament?

Delve into the metrics used to evaluate college basketball teams in the NCAA Tournament and make a persuasive case for the potential champion. Analyze team quality, historical data, and statistical metrics to predict the outcome of the tournament. Will Florida or Kentucky emerge victorious? Let's explore the numbers and trends to find out more.

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Hoos going to win the NCAA Tournament?

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  1. Hoos going to win the NCAA Tournament? 5 minute persuasive talk By: Jim Boley www.sfgate.com

  2. What is the NCAA Tournament? • Top 64 college basketball teams • Single-elimination bracket style tournament • Teams entered into bracket by seed based on regular season performance • Current status: 4 teams remaining • Florida (1), Wisconsin (2), Uconn (7), Kentucky (8) www.espn.com

  3. Metrics for evaluation • Quality of each team • Team statistics throughout the season • Seeding in the tournament • Compare against historical data of past champions

  4. Statistics for Measuring Team Quality • Defense- opponent’s points per game (PPG) • Offense- number of points scored per game • Average margin of victory- points scored – opponent’s points scored • Rebounding margin- number of rebounds – opponent’s number of rebounds • Turnover margin- % of possession resulting in turnover – opponents % of possession resulting in turnover • Offensive rebounds per game

  5. Evaluation of Statistical Metrics * Numbers represent national ranking in each category • Based on our statistical metrics, the tournament champion will be Florida and the runner-up will be Kentucky

  6. Evaluation of Historical Evidence • Based on historical data, Kentucky as a #8 seed has the highest chance of making it to the championship (60%), but Florida has the highest chance of winning the championship (37.5%) Over past 35 years, #1 seeds have won 60% of the NCAA tournaments

  7. Conclusion • Based on team quality and historical evidence, Florida has the best chance of winning the tournament and Kentucky has the best chance of finishing second

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