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IMCORE Climate Change Project Overview: Managing Coastal Resources in Europe

Explore the IMCORE project, focusing on climate change adaptation strategies for coastal areas in Europe, particularly the Severn Estuary. Gain insights into innovative approaches, visualizations, and adaptive management strategies. Learn about partner collaborations, science base developments, and planning reviews. Discover how IMCORE works towards sustainable coastal resource management in the face of climate change uncertainties.

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IMCORE Climate Change Project Overview: Managing Coastal Resources in Europe

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  1. An introduction to the IMCORE climate change project Dr Rhoda Ballinger

  2. Topics to be considered: • Introduction to IMCORE • The Severn Estuary IMCORE work programme • Progress update

  3. 1. Introduction to IMCORE

  4. IMCORE: Innovative Management of Europe’s Changing Coastal Resource AIMS: • To promote a transnational, innovative & sustainable approach to reducing the impacts of climate change on coastal resources • To develop adaptation strategies for coastal sites across North West Europe • To demonstrate the effectiveness of various approaches to climate change adaptation including: • High tech visualisation techniques • Futures scenario building

  5. IMCORE partners • Interreg IVb North West Europe project • Partners: • Universities; local authorities; coastal networks • Builds on the COREPOINT Expert Couplets & work

  6. IMCORE outputs • Multimedia Distance Learning Tool • Visualisation tool kit • Related training material • Coastal management data base • Adaptive Management Strategies for each case study

  7. Severn Estuary IMCORE work programme

  8. Severn IMCORE activities • SECCRAG: Science base • Stocktake of corporate responses to climate change • ‘Futures’ scenario building • Education materials

  9. SECCRAG: Science base • Severn Citation Database development • SECCRAG May workshop • Preliminary review of the state of the science • Way forward proposed • UKCP09 Review

  10. Stocktake: Estuary Planning Review • Phase I – Corporate Responses • How are planning bodies embedding climate change into planning practices? • Phase II – Climate Change science base • What climate change science do planning authorities use/want/need? • Planners Workshop (Spring 2010) • Estuary-wide cohesion • Coordinated approaches to C.C. adaptation

  11. ‘Futures’ – Scenario building • Structure how we can plan uncertainties • Portray several different possible/desirable ‘futures’ • Enable multisectoral thinking ‘outside the box’ • Glamorgan University input

  12. 3. Preliminary findings

  13. Science base: UKCP09 review • Provides • Climatic trends to date • Climatic predictions to 2100 • UK National scale • possible to interrogate at local/regional levels • Low, medium and high emissions scenarios • http://ukcp09.defra.gov.uk/ Changes in seasonal means (C) 1960-90 to 2070 - 2100

  14. UKCP09 Sea level rise • Sea level around UK rose by 1mm/yr during 20th Century • Rate increased during 1990s and 2000s • Phillips (2009) prediction: 2.4mm/yr for Bristol Channel Sea Level Rise Plot for Chepstow Sea Level Data 12km Grid

  15. UKCP09 Storm surge data 50 yr trend in Surge Return Level • Small increase in storm surge ht (0.8mm/yr) – LESS than predictions in UKCP02 • Does not include changes in sea level • Note wave height changes: • small increase in winter significant wave height • winter max wave height is more uncertain Storm Surge Data 20km Grid mm/yr

  16. Planning Review:Stocktake of Severn-side plans & policies

  17. Initial findings • Local Authorities play a key role in preparing for climate change (Service Providers, Corporate Managers, Community Leaders) • All signed up to Nottingham / Welsh Declaration on Climate Change & Energy Efficiency • 6 authorities adopted climate change strategies (+ 2 underway) • No real sense of Severn Estuary or estuary cohesion

  18. Policy Trends • Climate change • explicit policies being developed in emerging plans • Flood risk • many policies in adopted and emerging plans (15 of 17) • Coastal zone • dropping off of policies within emerging plans • Shoreline Management Plans • few references in adopted plans (5 of 17); none in emerging plans • Severn Estuary Strategy • few references in adopted plans (4 of 17); none in emerging plans

  19. 4. Final comments

  20. Work in progress Exciting opportunities for partnership working through IMCORE e.g. Climate Change Adaptation – The Gloucestershire Approach (National Indicator (NI) 188 – Planning to adapt to climate change) 2010 events SECRRAG Planners’ meeting Futures workshop Beacons Schools events Dr Rhoda Ballinger BallingerRC@Cf.ac.uk IMCORE: http://imcore.eu/ IMCORE: future development

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