Rice University TAMU Commerce Educational Conference July 15, 2010

1. The Population of Texas and The United States: Historical Patterns and Future Trends Affecting Education Steve H. MurdockDepartment of Sociology Rice University TAMU Commerce Educational Conference July 15, 2010

2. Major Topics of the Presentation__________________________ • Change in Rates and Sources of Population Growth • Increase in NonAnglo Populations • Aging of the Population • Implications of Demographic Change for Education, the Labor Force and Economic Development

3. Total Population and Percent Population Change in Texas and the United States, 1850-2009 4

4. Components of Change, U.S. and Texas, 2000-2009

5. Percent of United States Population Change Due to Immigration and Natural Increase, 1820 to 2005 Source: Texas State Data Center

6. Immigration into the United States, by Period and Area of Origin of Immigrants, 1820-2005 (numbers in thousands)

7. Ten Largest States in the United States by Population Size in 2009: Population in 2000 and 2009 8

8. Ten States in the United States with Largest Numeric Population Increase: 2000-2009 10

9. Ten States in the United States with Largest Percentage Population Increases: 2000-2009 11

10. Population Change in Texas Counties, 1990-2000 Source: Texas State Data Center

11. Texas Regional Councils of Governments

12. Councils of Governments in Texas Ranked by Total Population in 2009: Total Population in 2000 and 2009; Numeric and Percent Change, 2000-2009; and Percent of the State Population (2009) and State Population Change

13. Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas

14. Source: U.S. Census Bureau

15. Population Change in Texas Counties, 2000-2003 Source: Texas State Data Center

16. Population Change in Texas Counties, 2000-2006 Source: Prepared from U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2006 County Estimates by the Texas State Data Center, The University of Texas at San Antonio

17. Population Change in Texas Counties, 2000-2008

19. Population of the United States by Regions, 1900-2000

20. Proportion of U.S. Population by Race/Ethnicityin Each Region in 2000

21. Population, Percent Population Change, and Proportion of Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas and the United States, 1980-1990 Source: Texas State Data Center using 1980 Census Sample Data and 1990 Summary Tape File 1 (STF 1) – 100-Percent Data

22. Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas and the United States, 1990 and 2000 Source: Texas State Data Center

23. Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of Total Population by Ethnicity for Texas and the United States, 2000 and 2009

24. Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of Total Population by Ethnicity for Bexar County and Texas, 2000 and 2009

25. Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of Total Population by Ethnicity for Dallas County and Texas, 2000 and 2009

26. Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of Total Population by Ethnicity for Harris County and Texas, 2000 and 2009

27. Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of Population by Ethnicity for Texas and the United States, 2000 and 2008

28. Latino Population (1000s) in 1990 and 2000 and Percentage Growth for Top 20 States in 2000

29. Hispanic Origin Population (1000s) in 2000 and 2007 and Percentage Change for Top 20 States in 2007 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 from Summary File 1 Table QT-P9; 2007 from Population Estimates, Table SC-EST2007-04

30. Birth-Death Ratios by Hispanic Origin, United States and Texas, 2000-2006 Source: U.S. data from U.S. Census Bureau. Texas data from Texas State Data Center

31. Median Age in the United States and Texas, 1900-2007

32. Percent Change in Population by Age Group in the United States and Texas, 1990-2000

33. Percent Change in Population by Age Group in the United States and Texas, 2000-2007

34. Percent of Texas Population by Age Groupand Ethnicity, 2000

35. Percent of Texas Population by Age Groupand Ethnicity, 2040*

36. Percent of United States Population By Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000

37. POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS

38. Median Household Income in the United States by Age of Householder, 1999 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Money Income in the United States: 1999, Current Population Report P60-209

39. Median Household Income in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 1989 and 1999 with Percent Change 1989 to 1999

40. Median Household Income In 1999 in Texas by Race/Ethnicity of Householder

41. Educational Attainment in 2000 in Texas for Persons 25+ Years of Age By Race/Ethnicity_____________________________________ Percent

42. Average (Mean) SAT Scores for College Bound Seniors in the United States in 2001 by Selected Characteristics

43. PROJECTIONS

44. Projections of the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050

45. Numeric Change in the Projected U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050 (in millions)

46. Projections of the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050

47. Percent Change in the Projected U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050

48. Projected Change in the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050

49. Projected Age Distribution of the U.S. Population: 2000 to 2050

50. Percent Age Distribution of the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000