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Economic Slow Down

Economic Slow Down. Stagflation – Lower GDP WITH inflation (cause: Oil Shortage) 1973 Yom Kippur War (Egypt & Syria attack Israel). OPEC is created and “shuts off” supply of oil to US. Increase in unskilled work force New Safety Regulations (costs businesses money)

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Economic Slow Down

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  1. Economic Slow Down Stagflation – Lower GDP WITH inflation (cause: Oil Shortage) 1973 Yom Kippur War (Egypt & Syria attack Israel). OPEC is created and “shuts off” supply of oil to US. Increase in unskilled work force New Safety Regulations (costs businesses money) Shift from Manufacturing to Services Vietnam War – Gov’t spending => Inflation Germany and Japan emerge with industrialization (Thanks to US $)

  2. Nixon’s Détente with Beijing(Peking) and Moscow • 1972 – Nixon made 3 important agreements with China and USSR • The Great Grain Deal • 3-year agreement to sell USSR $750 million worth of grain • Anti-ballistic missile (ABM) treaty • Limited each side to 2 clusters of defensive missiles • Strategic Arms Limitations Talks (SALTI) • Freezing of number of nuclear missiles for 5 years • Limit # of antiballistic missiles to 200

  3. Nixon on the Home Front • Nixon as a “liberal” – “New Federalism” – Fed $ given to state/local governments. • EPA, OSHA • Clean Air Act, Endangered Species Act • Consumer Products Safety Commission • Greatly expanded existing social welfare programs • Food Stamps, Medicaid, Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) • Affirmative action • Philadelphia Plan- Required federal construction contracts to have “goals” for hiring minorities. Soon applied to all federal contracts. • Supreme Court in Griggs v. Duke Power Co. (1971) • Strongly suggested that the only sure protection against charges of discrimination was to establish quotas for minorities in proportion to their numbers in the population • Effects of policy of affirmative action • Opened job and educational opportunities for minorities and women • Opened storm of criticism from critics who called it “reverse discrimination”

  4. Watergate Woes • June 17, 1972 – 5 men arrested in Watergate apartment-office complex • Trying to bug the Democratic headquarters • Revealed they were working for Committee for the Re-election of the President (CREEP) • Other “dirty tricks” Nixon carried out against enemies • Forging documents to discredit Democrats • Used IRS to harass people on “enemies list” • Using FBI and CIA to prevent investigations

  5. Great Tape Controversy • 1973 – 1974 – Senate committee conducted televised hearings about Watergate • Nixon denied any prior knowledge of the break-in or any involvement in legal proceedings against the burglars • John Dean accused president and others in White House of trying to cover up Watergate and silence the burglars • Another aid revealed existence of secret taping system in White House (that could verify Dean’s testimony) • Nixon refused to produce the tapes • Bernstein & Woodward of Washington D.C. “break” the story – Deep Throat informant – FBI W. Mark Felt (2005)

  6. Great Tape Controversy • October 20, 1973 – “Saturday Night Massacre” • Nixon fired his own special prosecutor appointed to investigate Watergate • He also fired his attorney general and deputy attorney general because they refused to go along with the firing

  7. The Unmaking of a President • Spring 1974 –House Judiciary demanded Watergate tapes • Nixon finally agreed to publication of “relevant” parts of the tapes, with many parts missing • July 24, 1974 – Supreme Court unanimously ruled that “executive privilege” gave president no right to withhold evidence relating to possible criminal activity

  8. The Unmaking of a President • Nixon made 3 tapes public of conversations with an aide on June 23, 1972 (was forced to) • One contained Nixon ordering the aide to use the CIA to impede an inquiry by the FBI • Convicted Nixon of being active part of the cover-up • House Judiciary Drew up articles of impeachment • Obstruction of justice, abuse of power as president, contempt of Congress • Nixon resigns • Republican leaders in Congress informed Nixon that impeachment was inevitable • August 8, 1974 – Nixon announced his resignation on TV • Admitted some “judgments” that “were wrong” • But claimed he had always acted “in what I believed at that time to be the best interests of the nation”

  9. “Our long national nightmare is over. Our Constitution works; our great Republic is a government of laws and not of men.”—Gerald R. Ford

  10. The First Unelected President • August 1974 – Gerard Ford became president • Only person never elected – had been appointed to vice presidency when Agnew resigned • Seen as unintelligent college football player • September 8, 1974 – Ford pardoned Nixon for any crimes committed as president • Democrats and the public were outraged • Made it unlikely Ford would be elected in 1976

  11. The Bicentennial Campaignand the Carter Victory 1976 – US’s 200th birthday Republicans Nominated Gerald Ford Democrats Nominated Jimmy Carter Ran against Nixon and Watergate as much as Ford “I’ll never lie to you.” Untainted by corruption and scandal in Washington Results of the 1976 election Carter won close election with 51% of the popular vote; electoral vote of 297 to 240 97% of blacks voted for Carter

  12. Carter’s Humanitarian Diplomacy • Carter’s Christianity influenced his foreign policy (concern for human rights) • September 1978 – Camp David peace accords between Egypt and Israel • – President of Egypt and Prime Minister of Israel invited to presidential retreat in Maryland • Israel agreed (in principle) to withdraw from territory conquered during 1967 Six Days War • Egypt promised to respect Israel’s borders • Both sides promised formal peace treaty within 3 months

  13. Economic and Energy Woes • Unprecedented economic problems hit US economy under Carter • Inflation (double-digit) • Increased foreign trade • Huge budget deficits • High interest rates • Carter believed most of US’s problems came from dependence on foreign oil • 1977 – made proposals for energy conservation • US public refused to conserve • “malaise speech” • I'm asking you for your good and for your nation's security to take no unnecessary trips, to use carpools or public transportation whenever you can, to park your car one extra day per week, to obey the speed limit, and to set your thermostats to save fuel... I have seen the strength of America in the inexhaustible resources of our people. In the days to come, let us renew that strength in the struggle for an energy-secure nation. (malaise – out of sorts, uncomfortable)

  14. Economic and Energy Woes • January 1979 – Iran’s shah overthrown • Shah had been installed by CIA in Iran in 1953 and ruled as brutal dictator • Westernized and secularized Iran, kept good relations with Israel and US • Muslim fundamentalists overthrew government • Iran’s oil stopped flowing during revolution • OPEC raised prices • Americans experienced 2nd gas shortage during 1970s

  15. Foreign Affairs and theIranian Imbroglio • Panama Canal Treaty- 1978: Transfer of ownership Dec. 31, 1999 • June 1979 – Carter signed SALT II agreements with Soviets • Limited levels of strategic nuclear weapons • US Senate never ratified SALT II, although both sides honored the agreements • November 4, 1979 – anti-American Muslim militants stormed US embassy in Iran • All the occupants were taken hostage • Muslims demanded the exiled shah be shipped back to Iran for trial

  16. Foreign Affairs and theIranian Imbroglio • December 27, 1979 – USSR invaded Afghanistan (next door to Iran) • Done in order to prop up communist government against Muslim militants • Appeared that USSR was surrounding Middle East to control area’s oil • Carter’s reaction to Iran and Afghanistan • Embargo placed on grain and technology to USSR • Boycott of summer Olympics in Moscow • US would use “any means necessary, including force” to protect Persian Gulf against Soviet invasion • Threat never materialized because USSR met stiff resistance in Afghanistan (“Russia’s Vietnam”) • Proposed “Rapid Deployment Force” to respond quickly to crises in faraway places • Registration of young people (including women) for possible draft

  17. Foreign Affairs and theIranian Imbroglio • The Iranian hostage crisis • 52 US citizens held captive for 444 days in Iran • Nightly TV news showed Iranians burning US flags and spitting on effigies of Uncle Sam • Carter ordered a tactical team to rescue the hostages (Ross Perot) • Equipment failures forced the team to withdraw • 2 of their aircraft collided, killing 8 • Carter’s powerlessness in rescuing the hostages perfectly summed up the national mood

  18. 1980 Election results

  19. Reagan Public Approval Ratings(The Teflon President)

  20. Reagan’s Clarity • Strong Defense - SDI • Cut taxes – “Trickle Down” • Cut Spending – Xcept military • Balance the Budget – couldn’t accomplish

  21. OLD Keynesian Economics “Demand Side” Economics New Deal NEW Chicago School – little regulation with gradual increase in Money supply “Supply Side” Economics Reaganomics (The Reagan Revolution) Economic Philosophy

  22. Economics Effects of Reaganomics • From 1981-1989 • GDP increased 33% • Inflation fell from 10% to 4% • Interest rates dropped from 18% to 10% • (today it is 3.25%) as of 7:45 this morning…… • Unemployment fell from 8% to 6% • Trade went from surplus of $2.3 billion to deficit of $99.5 billion • Public debt went from $909 billion to $2.868 trillion (by 1992 = $4 trillion) • The “Twin Towers of Debt”

  23. New Deal Coalition Democratic South African-Americans Union members Urban North Immigrant/newer ethnic groups Farmers Reagan Coalition Midwest small towns Wealthiest Americans Hawks on foreign policy Blue Collar in North and Midwest (union and non-union) White Southerners Evangelicals Yuppies Realignment

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