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LEP statistical data 2008-2013

LEP statistical data 2008-2013. EPIC ITB; teacher’s forum 30 May 2013. Full year LEP sittings. c andidates; year on year. Year Candidates % of candidate shift 2008 1,967 2009 1,907 3.1% decrease on 2008 2010 2,177 14.1% increase on 2009

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LEP statistical data 2008-2013

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  1. LEP statistical data2008-2013 EPIC ITB; teacher’s forum 30 May 2013

  2. Full year LEP sittings candidates; year on year Year Candidates % of candidate shift 2008 1,967 2009 1,907 3.1% decrease on 2008 2010 2,177 14.1% increase on 2009 2011 2,287 5.1% increase on 2010 2012 2,087 8.7% decrease on 2011

  3. 2,300 2,287 2,200 Full year LEP sittings 2,177 2,100 2,087 2,000 1,967 1,907 1,900 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Where will this end up ?? 1,800 graphical; year on year

  4. Candidate sittings; Jan-May Year Candidates % of candidate shift 2008 694 2009 553 20% decrease on 2008 2010 668 20% increase on 2009 2011 782 17% incline on 2010 2012 743 5% decline on 2011 2013 531 28% decline on 2012 32% decrease in candidate sittings in past 2 years candidates; jan-may

  5. 800 782 Candidate sittings; Jan-May 750 743 700 694 668 650 600 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 553 550 531 500 candidates; jan-may

  6. Monthly candidate sittings (averaged) Year Candidates % of candidate shift 2008 164 2009 159 3% decrease on 2008 2010 181 14% increase on 2009 2011 190 5% increase on 2010 2012 174 8% decrease on 2011 2013* 112 35% decrease on 2012 41% decrease in those sitting in past 2 years * 2013 figures are for January to May, only summary; candidates

  7. Why less candidates ?? 1. Enrolment versus exit exams • 2008-09 intakes down by 15-20% on pre-GFC years 1 • 32% decrease in 2013 Jan-May LEP’s, since peak of 2011 1 • 2010-12 intake back to pre-GFC levels, but 2-3 years from exiting 1 2. Economic climate • Companies doing it tougher 2 • Apprentices increasingly being laid off, or forced to take leave 3 • Major works projects drying up in Victoria 4 3. Rising unemployment • Melbourne's unemployment up from 4.5% to 6.2% 5 • Victoria’s falling home building approvals hurting electrical industry 6 1. EPIC ITB Profiling & LEA records – 2008/13 2. HIA Housing 100 Report – Sep 2012 3. EPIC Jobs Survey Report – 2010/11 4. The Melbourne Age – Feb 2013 5. The Melbourne Age – April 2012 6. Master’s Electrician’s Australia – April 2013

  8. First time LEP pass rates pass rates; year on year Year % % of candidate shift 2008 61% 2009 65% 6.5% increase on 2008 2010 65% no change against 2009 2011 66% 0.1% increase on 2010 2012 57% 13% decrease on 2011

  9. 66% 65% 65% 65% First time LEP pass rates 61% 60% 57% 55% 50% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 46% (Jan to April) 45% Where will this end up ?? pass rates; year on year

  10. First time LEP pass rates; Jan-April pass rates; jan-apr Year % % of candidate shift 2008 63% 2009 63% no change against 2008 2010 63% no change against 2009 2011 62% 1% decrease on 2010 2012 57% 8% decrease on 2011 2013 46% 16% decrease on 2012 26% decrease in pass rates in 2 years

  11. 65% 63% 63% 63% First time LEP pass rates; Jan-April 62% 60% 57% 55% 50% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 46% 45% pass rates; jan-apr

  12. 3+ LEP resists; full year 3+ repeats; year on year Year % % of candidate shift 2008 14% 2009 14% no change against 2008 2010 14% no change against 2009 2011 13% 1% decrease on 2010 2012 18% 38% increase on 2011

  13. 26% (Jan to April) 24% 22% 3+ LEP resits for full year 20% 18% 18% 16% 14% 14% 14% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 14% 13% 12% 3+ sits; year on year

  14. 3+ LEP resists; Jan-April 3+ repeats; jan-april Year % % of candidate shift 2008 15% 2009 16% 1% increase on 2008 2010 20% 25% increase on 2009 2011 14% 30% decrease on 2010 2012 19% 36% increase on 2011 2013 26% 37% increase on 2012 More than 1 in 4 with 3+ resits so far in 2013

  15. 26% 25% 3+ LEP resits; Jan-April 20% 19% 20% 16% 15% 15% 14% 10% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 5% 3+ pass rates; jan-apr

  16. Monthly first sitting pass rates (averaged) Year Passed % of those that sat 2008 100 61% 2009 104 65% 2010 118 65% 2011 127 67% 2012 106 61% 2013* 50 45% 61% decrease in 1st time pass rates in past 2 years * 2013 figures are for January to April, only summary; passes

  17. 3+ resits monthly averages Year 3+ resits % of those that sat 2008 23 14.1% 2009 23 14.5% 2010 26 14.3% 2011 26 12.3% 2012 32 18.3% 2013* 25 26.4% * 2013 figures are for January to April, only summary; 3+resits

  18. What has changed; 2008-2013 1. Exodus of teachers • Older and experienced teachers retiring • Budget cuts costing jobs, and/or contract extensions • Teachers who now assess the LEA, cannot teach the LEA • 2. Teacher role shifts • Newer teachers still on LEA learning curve • Less teachers employed in many colleges • May 2012 State budget impacting on college resources • Experienced teachers elevated to RTO managers • 3. Cost of training • May 2012 State budget lifts cap on tuition fees • Apprentices increasingly bearing brunt of higher fees • Higher fees resulting in less tutorials being done • Lower cost of LEA resulting in less take up of tutorial

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