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University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri

University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it - www.robertoconfalonieri.it. E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium). University of Milan Persons involved in the project.

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University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri

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  1. University of Milan: Major interests and expertise(core business) RobertoConfalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it - www.robertoconfalonieri.it E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  2. University of MilanPersons involved in the project E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  3. University of MilanMajor interests and expertise • Formalization of knowledge in process based biophysical models • development of new models and sub-models • improvement of existing approaches • Implementation of (novel and existing) modelling approaches in framework-independent, extensible, re-usable software components • Development of advanced techniques for model evaluation • development of new evaluation metrics • development of multi-metric evaluation systems • use of advanced sensitivity analysis techniques for analyzing model structure and behaviour • Development of applications for crop monitoring and yield forecasting, food security, and climate change studies E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  4. 1. Formalization of knowledge inprocess-based biophysical models (1) • Coordination of the development of the WARM model for rice simulations • Projects (most relevant) • BECRA: food security in Mali and Burkina Faso (funded by the EC) • SEAMLESS: support to the CAP (funded by the EC, FP6) • AEZ model: climate change impact in Latin America (funded by the World Bank) • Recent ISI publications • Confalonieri, R., Rosenmund, A.S., Baruth, B., 2009. An improved model to simulate rice yield. Agronomy for Sustainable Development, 29, 463-474. • Confalonieri, R., Acutis, M., Bellocchi, G., Donatelli, M., 2009. Multi-metric evaluation of the models WARM, CropSyst, and WOFOST for rice. Ecological Modelling, 220, 1395-1410. • Confalonieri, R., Bellocchi, G., Tarantola, S., Acutis, M., Donatelli, M., Genovese, G., 2010. Sensitivity analysis of the rice model WARM in Europe: exploring the effects of different locations, climates and methods of analysis on model sensitivity to crop parameters. Environmental Modelling & Software, 25, 479-488. • Confalonieri, R., Bellocchi, G., Bregaglio, S., Donatelli, M., Acutis, M., 2010. Comparison of sensitivity analysis techniques: a case study with the rice model WARM. Ecological Modelling, 221, 1897-1906. E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  5. 1. Formalization of knowledge inprocess-based biophysical models (1) E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  6. 1. Formalization of knowledge inprocess-based biophysical models (2) • Development of generic sub-models for specific processes • Projects (most relevant) • Recent ISI publications • Confalonieri, R., Bregaglio, S., Rosenmund, A.S., Acutis, M., Savin, I., 2011. A model for simulating the height of rice plants. European Journal of Agronomy, 34, 20-25. • Confalonieri, R., Debellini, C., Pirondini, M., Possenti, P., Bergamini, L., Barlassina, G., Bartoli, A., Agostoni, E.G., Appiani, M., Babazadeh, L., Bedin, E., Bignotti, A., Bouca, M., Bulgari, R., Cantore, A., Degradi, D., Facchinetti, D., Fiacchino, D., Frialdi, M., Galuppini, L., Gorrini, C., Gritti, A., Gritti, P., Lonati, S., Martinazzi, D., Messa, C., Minardi, A., Nascimbene, L., Oldani, D., Pasqualini, E., Perazzolo, F., Pirovano, L., Pozzi, L., Rocchetti, G., Rossi, S., Rota, L., Rubaga, N., Russo, G., Sala, J., Seregni, S., Sessa, F., Silvestri, S., Simoncelli, P., Soresi, D., Stemberger, C., Tagliabue, P., Tettamanti, K., Vinci, M., Vittadini, G., Zanimacchia, M., Zenato, O., Zetta, A., Bregaglio, S., Chiodini, M.E., Perego, A., Acutis, M., 2011. A new approach for determining rice critical nitrogen concentration. Journal of Agricultural Science,doi:10.1017/S0021859611000177. E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  7. 2. Implementation of modelling approaches in software components • Development of generic sub-models for specific processes in framework-independent, extensible, re-usable software components • Projects (most relevant) • CropML-WOFOST: implementation of the WOFOST model in the CropML library (funded by EC-JRC) • APES-BioMA: implementation of the APES model in BioMA (funded by EC-JRC) • Product quality: development of a component implementing a variety of approaches for the simulation of the quality of crop products (funded by EC-JRC) • Recent ISI publications • Confalonieri, R., Bellocchi,G., Donatelli, M., 2010. A software component to compute agro-meteorological indicators. Environmental Modelling & Software, 25, 1485-1486. • Donatelli, M., Bellocchi, G., Habyarimana, E., Confalonieri, R., Micale, F., 2009. An extensible model library for generating wind speed data. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 69, 165-170. E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  8. 2. Implementation of modelling approaches in software components E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  9. 3. Development of advancedtechniques for model evaluation (1) • Development of new evaluation metrics • Projects (most relevant) • Recent ISI publications • Confalonieri, R., 2010. Monte Carlo based sensitivity analysis of two crop simulators and considerations on model balance. European Journal of Agronomy, 33, 89-93. • Confalonieri, R., Bregaglio, S., Acutis, M., 2010. A proposal of an indicator for quantifying model robustness based on the relationship between variability of errors and of explored conditions. Ecological Modelling, 221, 960-964. E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  10. 3. Development of advancedtechniques for model evaluation (2) • Development of multi-metric evaluation systems • Projects (most relevant) • Recent ISI publications • Confalonieri, R., Acutis, M., Bellocchi, G., Donatelli, M., 2009. Multi-metric evaluation of the models WARM, CropSyst, and WOFOST for rice. Ecological Modelling, 220, 1395-1410. • Bregaglio, S., Donatelli, M., Confalonieri, R., Acutis, M., Orlandini, S., 2010. An integrated evaluation of thirteen modelling solutions for the generation of hourly values of air relative humidity. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 102, 429-438. • Confalonieri, R., Bregaglio, S., Bocchi, S., Acutis, M., 2010. An integrated procedure to evaluate hydrological models. Hydrological Processes, 24, 2762-2770. E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  11. 3. Development of advancedtechniques for model evaluation (2) E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  12. 3. Development of advancedtechniques for model evaluation (3) • Use of advanced sensitivity analysis techniques for analyzing model structure and behaviour • Projects (most relevant) • STAMINA: development of a model for simulating wheat in hilly areas (funded by the EC, FP5) • Recent ISI publications • Confalonieri, R., 2010. Monte Carlo based sensitivity analysis of two crop simulators and considerations on model balance. European Journal of Agronomy, 33, 89-93. • Richter, G.M., Acutis, M., Trevisiol, P., Latiri, K., Confalonieri, R., 2010. Sensitivity analysis for a complex crop model applied to Durum wheat in the Mediterranean. European Journal of Agronomy, 32, 127-136. • Confalonieri, R., Bellocchi, G., Tarantola, S., Acutis, M., Donatelli, M., Genovese, G., 2010. Sensitivity analysis of the rice model WARM in Europe: exploring the effects of different locations, climates and methods of analysis on model sensitivity to crop parameters. Environmental Modelling & Software, 25, 479-488. • Confalonieri, R., Bellocchi, G., Bregaglio, S., Donatelli, M., Acutis, M., 2010. Comparison of sensitivity analysis techniques: a case study with the rice model WARM. Ecological Modelling, 221, 1897-1906. E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  13. 3. Development of advancedtechniques for model evaluation (3) E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  14. 4. Applications for forecasts, foodsecurity and climate change studies • Development of applications for crop monitoring and yield forecasting, food security and climate change studies • Projects (most relevant) • BECRA: food security in Mali and Burkina Faso (funded by the EC) • AEZ model: climate change impact in Latin America (funded by the World Bank) • MARS: rice yield forecasts in Europe • Recent ISI publications E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  15. 4. Applications for forecasts, foodsecurity and climate change studies E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  16. 4. Applications for forecasts, foodsecurity and climate change studies E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

  17. …Thank you for your kind attention

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