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  1. Stage Screen Lecturer’s desk 12 11 10 13 9 8 7 6 5 4 15 17 14 16 Row A Row A 1 3 Row A 2 Left handed 12 11 10 13 Row B 9 8 5 15 14 1 2 7 6 4 3 Row B 20 19 18 17 16 Row B 10 13 12 11 Row C 9 8 5 15 14 1 19 18 17 16 Row C 4 3 7 6 Row C 2 13 12 11 10 Row D 9 8 5 15 14 2 1 7 6 Row D 4 3 20 19 18 17 16 Row D 10 4 3 2 1 13 12 11 Row E 9 8 5 15 14 7 6 Row E 19 18 17 16 Row E 1 2 13 12 11 10 Row F 9 8 5 4 3 15 14 7 6 20 19 18 17 Row F 16 Row F 1 13 12 11 10 Row G 4 3 9 8 5 2 15 14 19 18 17 16 Row G 7 6 Row G 13 12 11 10 Row H 9 8 5 15 14 1 2 7 6 4 3 20 19 18 17 Row H 16 Row H 1 13 12 11 10 Row I 4 3 9 8 5 2 15 14 19 18 17 16 Row I 7 6 Row I 1 2 13 12 11 10 Row J 9 8 5 4 3 15 14 7 6 20 19 18 17 Row J 16 Row J 1 4 3 2 13 12 11 10 Row K 9 8 5 15 14 19 18 17 16 Row K 7 6 Row K 7 1 2 13 12 11 10 Row L 9 8 5 20 4 3 15 14 16 6 19 18 17 Row L Row L 1 4 3 2 13 12 11 10 Row M 9 8 5 15 14 19 18 17 16 Row M 7 6 Row M 1 2 13 12 11 10 Row N 9 8 7 5 4 3 15 14 16 6 20 19 18 17 Row N Row N 4 3 2 1 13 12 11 10 Row O 9 8 5 15 14 19 18 17 16 Row O 7 6 Row O 1 2 13 12 11 10 Row P 9 8 7 5 4 3 15 14 16 6 20 19 18 17 Row P Row P Need Labels B5, E1, I16, J17, K8, M4, O1, P16 16 15 14 1 2 Row Q 13 12 11 10 Row Q 3 9 8 7 5 4 6 Row Q Gallagher Theater 3 2 Row R Row R 4 26Left-Handed Desks A14, B16, B20, C19, D16, D20, E15, E19, F16, F20, G19, H16, H20, I15, J16, J20, K19, L16, L20, M15, M19, N16, P20, Q13, Q16, S4 5 Broken Desks B9, E12, G9, H3, M17 Row S 10 1 2 9 8 7 Row S 4 3

  2. Stage Screen Social Sciences 100 Lecturer’s desk R/L handed 16 13 17 15 14 12 Row A 26 25 24 12 11 10 27 23 22 13 Row B Row B 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 28 27 26 23 25 24 12 11 10 Row C 22 13 9 8 6 5 Row C 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 7 4 Row C 9 8 6 5 27 2 29 28 26 25 24 23 12 11 10 7 4 3 22 13 Row D Row D 30 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 Row D 12 11 10 5 2 1 22 13 9 8 7 6 4 3 Row E 23 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 Row E Row E 5 2 1 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 4 3 Row F 22 13 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 Row F 23 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 Row F Row G 23 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 12 11 10 22 13 Row G Row G 5 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 2 1 9 8 7 6 4 3 5 2 1 Row H 9 8 7 6 4 3 12 11 10 22 13 23 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 Row H Row H 12 11 10 5 2 1 22 13 Row I 9 8 7 6 4 3 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 Row I 23 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 Row I 5 2 1 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 4 3 Row J 22 13 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 Row J 23 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 Row J 5 2 1 9 8 7 6 4 3 Row K 12 11 10 Row K 22 13 23 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 Row K Row L 5 1 9 8 7 6 4 3 12 11 10 Row L 22 13 23 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 Row L 2 Row M 5 2 1 9 8 7 6 4 3 23 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 12 11 10 Row M 22 13 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 Row M Row N 5 2 1 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 4 3 22 13 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 Row N 23 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 Row N 5 2 1 9 8 7 6 4 3 12 11 10 Row O 23 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 22 13 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 Row O Row O 5 2 1 9 8 7 6 4 3 Row P 12 11 10 Row P 23 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 22 13 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 Row P 5 2 1 Row Q 9 8 7 6 4 3 12 11 10 Row Q 22 13 23 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 Row Q Row R 5 2 1 9 8 7 6 4 3 12 11 10 23 Row R 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 22 13 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 Row R table broken desk 5 2 1 9 8 7 6 4 3 Projection Booth

  3. MGMT 276: Statistical Inference in ManagementFall, 2014 Welcome Green sheets

  4. We have a guest Prof. Stephen Gilliland from the Center for Leadership Ethics

  5. Basic Demographic Information • What is your gender? A. Female B. Male • Would you describe yourself as: A. African-American B. Asian/Asian-American C. Caucasian D. Hispanic/Latino E. Other • Is English your native language? A. Yes B. No • Your current age Please write your age on the back of your SCANTRON. For example, Question #122. 19 )

  6. Reminder A noteon doodling Talking or whispering to your neighbor can be a problem for us – please consider writing short notes.

  7. Schedule of readings We’ll be jumping around some…we will start with chapter 7 Before our next exam (October 21st) Lind (5 – 11) Chapter 5: Survey of Probability Concepts Chapter 6: Discrete Probability Distributions Chapter 7: Continuous Probability Distributions Chapter 8: Sampling Methods and CLT Chapter 9: Estimation and Confidence Interval Chapter 10: One sample Tests of Hypothesis Chapter 11: Two sample Tests of Hypothesis Plous (10, 11, 12 & 14) Chapter 10: The Representativeness Heuristic Chapter 11: The Availability Heuristic Chapter 12: Probability and Risk Chapter 14: The Perception of Randomness

  8. No homework due – Thursday (October 2nd)

  9. Use this as your study guide By the end of lecture today9/30/14 • Standard Deviation • Variance • Exploring connection among: • Probability, proportion and area of curve • with z scores and raw scores

  10. Review Notations The standard deviation (population) 1. What does this symbol refer to? sigma • What is it called? • What does it mean? • Is it referring to a sample or population? population The mean (population) 2. What does this symbol refer to? mu • What is it called? • What does it mean? • Is it referring to a sample or population? population The mean (sample) 3. What does this symbol refer to? x-bar • What is it called? • What does it mean? • Is it referring to a sample or population? sample The standard deviation (sample) 4. What does this symbol refer to? s • What is it called? • What does it mean? • Is it referring to a sample or population? sample 5. What does this symbol refer to? Each individual score

  11. Review Notations population sample 6. What does this refer to? Variance • What are they called? • What do they refer to? • How are they different S squared Sigma squared 7. What does this refer to? sample population Deviation scores • What are they called? • How are they different population sample 8. What do these two refer to? Sum of squares • What are they called? • How are they different 9. What does this refer to? Degrees of freedom • What is it called? • Use it for sample data or population? sample

  12. Review notations Standard Deviation 10. What does this refer to? • What are they called? • What do they refer to? • How are they different population sample Variance 11. What does this refer to? • What are they called? • What do they refer to? • How are they different population sample 12. What does this refer to? z score • What is this called? • What does it mean? Distance from the mean (counting by standard deviations)

  13. z scores z score: A score that indicates how many standard deviations an observation is above or below the mean of the distribution z score = raw score - mean standard deviation How are standard deviations (or z scores) related to probability (also known as area under the curve or proportion of curve or percent of curve)

  14. Mean = 100 Standard deviation = 5 If we go up one standard deviation z score = +1.0 and raw score = 105 z = +1 z = -1 68% If we go down one standard deviation z score = -1.0 and raw score = 95 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 If we go up two standard deviations z score = +2.0 and raw score = 110 z = +2 z = -2 95% If we go down two standard deviations z score = -2.0 and raw score = 90 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 If we go up three standard deviations z score = +3.0 and raw score = 115 99.7% z = +3 z = -3 If we go down three standard deviations z score = -3.0 and raw score = 85 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 z score: A score that indicates how many standard deviations an observation is above or below the mean of the distribution z score = raw score - mean standard deviation

  15. Thank you! See you next time!!