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IAA Space Debris Committee: Updates and Discussions

Get the latest updates and participate in discussions on space debris at the International Academy of Astronautics (IAA) Space Debris Committee meeting in Paris.

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IAA Space Debris Committee: Updates and Discussions

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  1. International Academy of AstronauticsIAA Space Debris Committee Paris, March 21st, 2017

  2. Agenda • IAC • 1.1. IAA Space Debris Committee • 1.2. Lessons learned from Guadalajara 2016 • 1.3. General statistics on Symposium A6 • 1.4. Status of Space Debris Symposium for Adelaide 2017 • 1.5. Preparation of Space Debris Symposium for Bremen 2018 • 2. Exchanges • 2.1. Past events: workshops, conferences, congresses, … • 2.2. Ongoing • 2.3. On the Agenda • 2.4. New achievements • 2.5. Round table – Open discussion • 3. IAA SG 5.14 Situation Report

  3. 1.1. IAA Space Debris Committee General frame: • Officially created within IAA in 2012 • Independent Committee • Permanent Committee • Attachment to Commission V questionable  Actions of the Committee: • Position Paper on Orbital Debris in 1993, revised in 2000 • Position Paper SG 5.1 on Space Debris Mitigation in 2006 • Position Paper SG 5.5 on Space Debris Remediation in 2013 • Participation to SG 5.10 on Orbital Debris Removal: Policy, Legal, Political and Economic considerations • Situation Report Paper SG 5.14 ongoing, to be discussed today

  4. 1.1. IAA Space Debris Committee Terms of Reference (recall): Scope Coordination of all activities related to Space Debris within the Academy • Organization of the IAA Symposium on Space Debris A6 for the IAC, proposals for Keynote Lectures within the A6 Symposium, or Highlight Lectures in the more general IAC frame, • Organization of any stand-alone conference on Space Debris on behalf the Academy, • Coordination of the Academy sponsoring, participation and contribution to selected conferences dedicated to Space Debris, such as for instance the ESA Conference on Space Debris in Darmstadt, • Coordination of the Space Debris contribution in conferences not dedicated to Space Debris, but where some sessions may be devoted to the topic, sponsored by the Academy, • Dissemination of information among the members of the Committee, mainly during regular meetings taking place twice a year, before the IAC and during the IAA March meetings in Paris.

  5. 1.1. IAA Space Debris Committee Membership: No need to be member of IAA ! • Members of the IAA A6 Symposium Program Committee (chairs & rapporteurs) • Members of the Program Committee of other IAA sponsored conferences with Space Debris concerns • Members of Space Debris related working groups (IADC, UNCOPUOS, COSPAR, ISO …) • Academics, Labs, Universities, Industrials… working on the topic However, it is requested to be somehow “active”: • Participation to the meetings • Debriefing of activities during the meetings • Cross information with other members • Contribution to studies and reports Two meetings per year: • One just before each year’s IAC  Includes the status of the sessions, workshops, round tables… of the week • One just before or during the IAC March Meeting in Paris  Includes the pre-selection of the abstracts for the following IAC

  6. 1.1. IAA Space Debris Committee Official membership (as per web site): Co-Chair: Bonnal Christophe Co-Chair: Klinkrad Heiner Co-Chair: Liou Jer-ChyiMembers:Agapov Vladimir Ailor William HAlby Fernand Anselmo Luciano Berend Nicolas Brachet Gerard Cazaux ChristianDiPentino FrankDolado-Perez Juan-CarlosFaucher PascalFinkleman David Fitz-Coy Norman Flohrer Tim Flury Walter Francesconi Alessandro Fuentes Nathalie Hanada Toshiya Hyde James Jah Moriba K. Status unknown*: Akahoshi Yasuhiro Anz-Meador Phillip Christiansen Eric L Crowther Richard Masson-Zwaan TanjaMatney Mark Piergentili Fabrizio Inducted today: Singh Balbir Anilkumar A. K. Rossettini Luca To be removed Mathieu Charlotte Meshcheryakov Sergei A Kelso T. SKibe Seishiro Krag Holger Krisko Paula HLewis Hugh Mathieu Charlotte McKnight Darren SMetz Manuel Meshcheryakov Sergei AOltrogge Daniel L.Omaly Pierre Pardini Carmen Santoni FabioSchaefer Frank Schildknecht Thomas Sorge Marlon Spencer DavidStokes Hedley Wiedemann Carsten Yasaka Tetsuo * Did you recieve an invitation from IAA? 42 + 7? members Attendance list for today: see Appendix 1. Note: no Chinese, no Ukrainian, no Korean, only 1 Russian Need to improve representativity in these countries

  7. 1.2. Feedback from Guadalajara 2016

  8. 1.2. Feedback from Guadalajara 2016 • Half of the papers selected are not presented • Total number of papers presented decreases despite the strong increase in participation • Special attention to this phenomenon within IPC Steering Group • General question relative to attractiveness of the Technical Program

  9. 1.2. Feedback from Guadalajara 2016 #1 Symposium attendance Avg

  10. 1.2. Feedback from Guadalajara 2016 Symposium attendance - average #1 Symposium attendance Avg

  11. 1.2. Feedback from Guadalajara 2016 Symposium attendance – average per session SETI #4 Avg attendance per session

  12. 1.2. Feedback from Guadalajara 2016 Statistics: • Rather well equilibrated among sessions • HVI - Protection A6.3 a bit weak as usual, due to hyper-specialization • A6.2: 11 papers presented may be a bit to high but no withdrawal, as usual… • A6.6: highest “maximal attendance” of the symposium • A6.9: highest “average attendance” of the symposium • Average attendance per session: 59 (max), 50 (avg), 41 (min) • Highest score of the complete congress, but • Lowest ever for our Symposium (almost equal to Guadalajara) • Nearly 80% papers presented wrt selected: good figure at IAC level, but A6.8: 4 missing out of 11 • All reports handled by Rapporteurs; thank you!

  13. 1.3 General statistics on Symposium A6 Dedicated document in Appendix 2: • Evolution of the number of sessions • Attendance evolution per year • Attendance per session • Rejection rate • Ratio of presented papers • Analysis per session • Attendance • Submitted, Selected, Presented - Synthesis

  14. 1.4. Adelaide 2017 Number of IAC abstracts since 2008 3403 2775 2616 2015 2016 2017 3403 abstracts = Good score this year! (average over 10 years = 2862) Including 97 requests for Interactive Presentations

  15. 1.4. Adelaide 2017 Abstracts per symposium Propulsion Space debris Astrodynamics 4th best Small sats Space exploration Materials & Structures

  16. 1.4. Adelaide 2017 Number of abstracts, Space Debris Symposium, since 2008 Status before the selection, IPC March 23rd meeting: 221 abstracts • Thank you to all chairs and rapporteurs for proactive actions just before the official deadline; it really helped…

  17. 1.4. Adelaide 2017 Number of Oral sessions, Space Debris Symposium, since 2000 + Interactive Presentation session, • 11 sessions including IP • 2 joint sessions with Space Security and Small Satellites • Leads to some overlapping

  18. 1.4. Space Debris Symposium Adelaide 2017 A6: Space Debris Symposium Liou – Bonnal The Symposium will address the complete spectrum of technical issues of space debris: measurements, modelling, risk assessment in space and on the ground, reentry, hypervelocity impacts and protection, mitigation and standards, and Space Surveillance. A6.1: Measurements:DiPentino - Schildknecht – Agapov This session will address advanced ground and space-based measurement techniques, relating processing methods, and results of space debris characterization. A6.2: Modelling and Risk Analysis:Pardini – Oltrogge – Sorge This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance. A6.3: Hypervelocity Impacts and Protection:Fitz-Coy – Schäfer – Francesconi The session will address passive protection, shielding and damage predictions. Shielding aspects will be supported by experimental and computational results of HVI tests. Use of HVI techniques for debris mitigation. A6.4: Mitigation and Standards:Finkleman – Cazaux – Krag This session will focus on the definition and implementation of debris prevention and reduction measures and vehicle passive protection. The session will also address space debris mitigation guidelines and standards that exist already or are in preparation at the national or international level. A6.5: Space Debris Removal Issues: Santoni – Bastida-Virgili – Piergentili This session will address active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and Identify implementation difficulties.

  19. 1.4. Space Debris Symposium Adelaide 2017 A6.6: Space Debris Removal Concepts:Berend – Innocenti - Singh This session will address active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and identify implementation difficulties. A6.7: Operations in Space Debris Environment, Situational Awareness: Kelso – Dolado-Perez – Wiedemann This session will address the multiple aspects associated to safe operations in Space dealing with Space Debris, including operational observations, orbit determination, catalogue build-up and maintenance, data aggregation from different sources, relevant data exchanges standards and conjunction analyses. A6.8 (joint with Space Security Committee): Political, Legal, Institutional and Economic Aspects of Space Debris Mitigation and Removal Plattard – McKnight – Soucek - Spencer This session will deal with the non-technical aspect of space debris mitigation and removal. Political, legal and institutional aspects includes role of IADC and UNCOPUOS and other multilateral bodies. Economic issues including insurance, financial incentives and funding for space debris mitigation and removal. The role of international cooperation in addressing these issues will be considered A6.9: Orbit Determination and Propagation Jah – Klinkrad – Lewis This session will address aspects of space debris orbit determination related to assessment of raw and derived data accuracy, optical measurements processing and modelling and risk analysis of space debris A6.10/B4.10:Joint Small Satellite/Space Debris session to promote the long-term sustainability of space Rossettini - Oltrogge - Cazaux This session facilitates bilateral discussions between Small Satellite and Space Debris communities for shared understanding of the challenges/issues and to promote practical small satellite solutions for the long-term sustainability of space. A6.IP: Interactive Presentations,Yasaka – McKnight – Bonnal

  20. 1.4. Space Debris Symposium Adelaide 2017 A6: Space Debris Symposium Number of Abstracts Total number of abstracts: 221 A6.1: Measurements: 32 A6.2: Modelling and Risk Analysis:25 A6.3: Hypervelocity Impacts and Protection:17 A6.4: Mitigation and Standards:18 A6.5: Space Debris Removal Issues:17 A6.6: Space Debris Removal Concepts:33 A6.7: Operations in Space Debris Environment, Situational Awareness: 23 A6.8 (joint with Space Security Committee): Political, Legal, Institutional and Economic Aspects of Space Debris Mitigation and Removal: 14 A6.9: Orbit Determination and Propagation: 23 A6.10/B4.10:Joint Small Satellite/Space Debris: 12 A6.IP: Interactive Presentations: 6

  21. 1.4. Space Debris Symposium Adelaide 2017 Number of submissions

  22. 1.4. Space Debris Symposium Adelaide 2017 • Recall of a few basic rules • Avoid the No-shows from Guadalajara: • A6.7: Andrea Pietropaolo, Carla Sharpe • A6.8: Shashank Khurana • Be cautious with withdrawn; try to make sure they will come: • A6.1: Jingjing Hu, Nobu Okada • A6.3: Sen Liu, Xuezhong Wen, Gongshun Guan • A6.5: Shinishi Kimura, Anatoliy Alpatov • A6.6: Nobu Okada, Marc Scheper, Juan Luis Gonzalo • A6.8: Susumu Yoshitomi (2nd year in a row), RushiGhadawala, Syamsurijal • A6.9: Stuart Grey, Clémence LeFèvre, Mark Bolden

  23. 1.4. Space Debris Symposium Adelaide 2017 • Recall of a few basic rules • Selection process: • Check completeness of web site if you started preselection • Check equilibrium of your session • Check 3G (Gender, Geography, Generation) • Not too many Americans, Europeans or Chinese • No duplication of subject, at least within one given session • Beware the “risky papers” or choose one more than recommended • New: selection of up to 3 backups, selected as IP but noted B1, 2, 3 in the Comments field • Avoid “political” papers or very general roadmaps • Interactive Presentations: as many as you want, provided they are good • Dedicated zone • Competition for best Interactive Presentation Award • Be careful to follow the request of an author: O, IP, or open • Beware: some manuscripts may be asked as Interactive Presentation, although not in IP session •  To be transferred to IP session • Numerous students : keep a good equilibrium and select only if promising

  24. 1.4. Space Debris Symposium Adelaide 2017 Recall of a few basic rules: how to fill the table Thursday morning • Normally 9 papers per session, but 10 is recommended considering one or more “risky” papers, not more than 11 • In case of “merger”, identify the “prime” • Be sure that all abstracts submitted to your session are finally allocated or rejected • Comment when rejection a manuscript • Once finished, give to Christophe, please, and do not leave prior to cross-check.

  25. 1.4. Space Debris Symposium Adelaide 2017

  26. 1.4. Space Debris Symposium Adelaide 2017 • Please cross-check the acceptability of overlap of A6.8 and A6.10 Friday afternoon

  27. 1.4. Space Debris Symposium Adelaide 2017 • Need to rotate a bit, and to find “fresh blood” • But, need to find colleagues who will effectively attend and will effectively work… • Could we find some students?

  28. 1.5. Space Debris Symposium Bremen 2018 A6: Space Debris Symposium: Liou – Bonnal The Symposium will address the complete spectrum of technical issues of space debris: measurements, modelling, risk assessment in space and on the ground, re-entry, hypervelocity impacts and protection, mitigation and standards, post-mission disposal, debris removal, Space Surveillance, collision avoidance as well as non-technical topics. A6.1: Space Debris Detection, Tracking and Characterization:DiPentino - Schildknecht – Agapov This session will address advanced ground and space-based measurement techniques, relating processing methods, and results of space debris characterization. A6.2: Modelling and Risk Analysis:Anselmo – Oltrogge – Sorge This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance. A6.3: Impact-Induced Mission Effects and Risk Assessments:Fitz-Coy – Schäfer – McKnight This session addresses disruptions of spacecraft operations induced by hypervelocity impacts including spacecraft anomalies, perturbation of operations, and component failures up to mission loss. It includes risk assessments for impact vulnerability studies and corresponding system tools. Further topics are spacecraft impact protection and shielding studies, laboratory impact experiments, numerical simulations, and on-board diagnostics to characterize impacts such as impact sensors, accelerometers, etc. A6.4: Mitigation and Standards:Krag – Omaly – Finkleman This session will focus on the definition and implementation of debris prevention and reduction measures and vehicle passive protection at system level including end of life strategy and earth return with associated risks. The session will also address space debris mitigation guidelines and standards that exist already or are in preparation at the national or international level. A6.5: Post Mission Disposal and Space Debris Removal 1: Piergentili – Bastida-Virgili – Santoni This session will address post-mission disposal and active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and Identify implementation difficulties.

  29. 1.5. Space Debris Symposium Bremen 2018 A6.6: Post Mission Disposal and Space Debris Removal 2: Berend – Singh – Rossettini This session will address post-mission disposal and active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and identify implementation difficulties. A6.7: Operations in Space Debris Environment, Situational Awareness: Wiedemann – Kelso – Dolado-Perez This session will address the multiple aspects associated to safe operations in Space dealing with Space Debris, including operational observations, orbit determination, catalogue build-up and maintenance, data aggregation from different sources, relevant data exchanges standards and conjunction analyses. A6.8 (joint with Space Security Committee): Political, Legal, Institutional and Economic Aspects of Space Debris Mitigation and Removal From SDC: Spencer – Anilkumar From SSC: Plattard – Soucek This session will deal with the non-technical aspect of space debris mitigation and removal. Political, legal and institutional aspects includes role of IADC and UNCOPUOS and other multilateral bodies. Economic issues including insurance, financial incentives and funding for space debris mitigation and removal. The role of international cooperation in addressing these issues will be considered A6.9: Orbit Determination and Propagation Kibe – Lewis – Klinkrad This session will address aspects of space debris orbit determination related to assessment of raw and derived data accuracy, optical measurements processing and modelling and risk analysis of space debris A.6.10 /C1X: Joint Symposium Astrodynamics/Space Debris "Orbital Safety and Optimal Operations in an Increasingly Congested Environment" From A6: Jah – Schildknecht From C1: ? This joint session will concern itself with the technical challenges driven by salient problems in space debris and space traffic that can be well informed by contributions from the field of astrodynamics (the science that studies the motion of objects in space). Specific issues regarding long-term population assessments and predictions, safely operating NextGen (large) Constellations, determining the data and modeling requirements to uniquely identify and predict the motion of objects in space (e.g. class specific), discovering and developing improved methods of debris mitigation and remediation founded upon forces and torques, development of semi-analytical theories relevant to specific classes and types of orbital debris, etc. are of relevance to this joint session. A6.IP: Interactive Presentations,Yasaka – McKnight – Bonnal

  30. 1.5. Space Debris Symposium Bremen 2018 • Any ideas for Bremen 2018? • Joint Session? • Could be interesting with B1 Earth Observation and/or B2 Space Communication and Navigation • Could be discussed with D2 Space Transportation to have a good status of the situation, if operators agree to explain what they do… • Could be worth a session with E7 = IISL • Potentially with Astrodynamics: Action covered by Moriba during the IPC meeting (well done!) • Tentative description from Moriba: • Technical Challenges and Solutions for Space Traffic and Constellation Management •   Several constellations that will change the “spacescape” are in the planning or manufacturing stage. This special joint session looks into technical and programmatic issues such as GNC techniques for constellation control, conjunction analysis, end-of-life disposal and code of conduct. • Final description of this Joint Session is given in the previous page • Other ideas? • Keynote lecture (Don Kessler lecture ?) at the beginning of one of our sessions: action on David to clarify • (Note that A6.8 will start in Adelaide with a keynote from Walter Flury)

  31. 2.1. Past events • AMOS 2016 • Advanced Maui Optical and Space Surveillance Technologies Conference, Maui, September 20-23 2016 • See dedicated presentation in Appendix 3 • COPUOS Scientific and Technical Subcommittee Activities • Working Group on the Long-term Sustainability of Outer Space Activities See dedicated presentation in Appendix 4 • 7th JAXA Workshop on Space Debris • Tokyo, 17-19 October 2016 • Very well attended:  250 participants • 40-50 presentations covering all the topics of Space Debris Research • Some very nice R&T activities • Unfortunately, a lot of presentations in Japanese… • 3rd Space dialog in India New Delhi • Union of concerned scientists • Discussions over the PSLV launch

  32. 2.2. Ongoing • IAA studies • Two following pages, for information • SG 5.10 Orbital Debris Removal: Policy, Legal, Political and Economic considerations • See synthetic presentation made by Lesley-Jane Smith to Commission V • Appendix 5 • SG 5.15 Space Traffic Management (2) • Almost finished, ready for publication

  33. 2.2. Ongoing IAA studies

  34. 2.2. Ongoing IAA studies

  35. 2.3. On the agenda • 42th COSPAR Scientific Assembly, Pasadena, USA, 14 – 22 July 2018 See dedicated presentation in Appendix 6 • The Advancement Maui Optical and Space Surveillance Technologies (AMOS) Conference, 19-22 September 2017, Maui, Hawaii. The abstract deadline is: 1 April, 2017 (1st attached). • Conference website: http://amostech.com/ • The 9th International Association for the Advancement of Space Safety (IAASS) Conference “Know Safety, No Pain”, 18-20 October 2017, Toulouse, France. The abstract deadline is: 30 May 2017 (2nd attached).     • Conference website: http://iaassconference2017.space-safety.org/ • The 1st IAA Conference on Space Situational Awareness (ICSSA), 13-15 November 2017, Orlando, Florida. The abstract deadline is: 30 June 2017 (3rd attached). • Conference website: http://reg.conferences.dce.ufl.edu/ICSSA/1357

  36. 2.3. On the agenda • 7th European Conference on Space Debris, • https://conference.sdo.esoc.esa.int/ • ESA/ESOC, Darmstadt, Germany 18 - 21 April 2017 • 7th EUCASS 2017, • http://www.eucass2017.eu/ • Politecnico di Milano – Campus Bovisa, Milan, Italy 3-6 July 2017 • 4 sessions devoted to debris, 32 papers (out of 650), Chaired by Luciano Anselmo

  37. 2.3. On the agenda

  38. 2.3. On the agenda

  39. 2.3. On the agenda

  40. 2.4. New achievements

  41. 2.4. New achievements

  42. 2.5. Round table – Open discussion • Sentinel 1A impact Benjamin Bastida-Virgili, ESOC See Appendix 8 • ONERA main space debris facts – 2016 Nicolas Bérend, ONERA See Appendix 9 • LARGE CONSTELLATIONS END-OF-LIFE ISSUES AND POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS Luca Rossettini – D-Orbit See Appendix 10 • Space Data Association Mark Rawlings, EUTELSAT - SDA See Appendix 11

  43. 3. IAA SG 5.14 Situation Report Goal Reference status of the Space Debris problematic, acting as an update of the IAA Position Papers 1993 and Revision from 2001, taking into account the IAA Position Papers on Space Debris Mitigation (SG5.1) and on Space Debris Remediation (SG5.5). Available elements from on-going SG5.10 devoted to Policy, Legal and Economic Issues in Orbital Debris Removal will also be included.  Progress in past six months: • Inclusion of the 450 remarks from 15 Peer Reviewers • Submitted to authors for authorization to send to IAA for publication Finished

  44. 3. IAA SG 5.XX Situation Report Update New Study Group proposal to IAA - Decision to update the Situation Report on a regular basis • Every 3 years ? • Next Update could be aimed at publication in 2019 • Need for a new Study Group Proposal • Significant work to be done, both on structure and on content • Need for additional contributors (Chinese, Indian, Ukrainian, Korean, more Russians…) • Change in the current list of contributors?  Please, current authors, do confirm your interest in continuing • Final proposal: see Appendix 12 – Sent to IAA and Commission V on Mar. 25th

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