Peak Oil and Climate Change – the 2 great oversights…. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Peak Oil and Climate Change – the 2 great oversights….

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  1. Peak Oil and Climate Change – the 2 great oversights…. A History Lesson… Adapted from a presentation by Jeremy Leggett.

  2. 1930 Peak of discovery in US 48

  3. USA 48 1956 - Hubbert predicts US production peak in 1971 production

  4. World 1965 - World peak of discovery

  5. 1973 The first oil crisis

  6. USA 48 1973 – US Oil Production Peaks. production

  7. 1978 – The Second Oil Crisis.

  8. 1981 – Crisis over…

  9. 1985 – the doubts begin…

  10. 1989 Jim Hansen of NASA: “It is time to say global warming is here.”

  11. 1989 Authoritative early warning

  12. 1990 “Race to save our world”

  13. 1992

  14. 1997 - BP quits the carbon club

  15. 1997 Kyoto

  16. 1998 – Campbell and Lahererre publish ‘The End of Cheap Oil’.

  17. 2001

  18. Hadley Centre AUGUST 2003 EUROPEAN HEATWAVE anomaly relative to late 19th century 2003 - Summer in the city

  19. 2004

  20. 2005 G8in UK

  21. 2005 - Katrina

  22. ? 2 6 $80 Second energy crisis 1979 to 1981 2003 prices $60 Peak oil 1 $40 3 5 4 $20 prices of the day 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

  23. Average temperatures from a range of IPCC energy scenarios short of deep cuts in fossil fuel use Threshold of severe danger: 2oC above pre-industrial average temperature (EU target not to exceed) Departures oC from the 1961 – 1990 avge.

  24. The Impact of Kyoto

  25. How will it affect the UK?

  26. An Increasing Problem.

  27. Climate change and Peak Oil.

  28. Some Useful Websites www.energybulletin.net www.theoildrum.com www.livingonthecusp.org www.powerswitch.org.uk www.transitionculture.org