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Peter Cochrane ConceptLabs CA Co-Founder

Seeing I to Eye. Peter Cochrane ConceptLabs CA Co-Founder. Our progress to date!. We are such linear thinkers… We don’t cope well with multiple dimensions We confuse data and information We store the useless and misplace the useful We need knowledge but create a fog of confusion

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Peter Cochrane ConceptLabs CA Co-Founder

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  1. Seeing I to Eye Peter Cochrane ConceptLabs CA Co-Founder

  2. Our progress to date! We are such linear thinkers… We don’t cope well with multiple dimensions We confuse data and information We store the useless and misplace the useful We need knowledge but create a fog of confusion Visualization & networking might just save us!

  3. We seek clarity & truth... …mostly they are orthogonal... 100% Clarity 0 Truth 100%

  4. If only it was all this simple... Sources of return Variables Markets

  5. Industry Dimensions Political Regulation Globalisation Competition Organisation Segmentation Convergence Strategy Social Technology Customers Economic

  6. The power of the visual…& interactive WORTH in Words • A picture 1k • An animated picture 1M • An interactive multi-media session 1G • An immersive VR session 1T • Direct brain -machine connection Priceless!

  7. Why doesn’t it sell??? No bandwidth High level coding No emotional connection No added value Display demands are beyond TV! Human size High resolution/definition Daylight bright - low persistence REALISTIC - not artificial

  8. We ought not to neglect sound… Axiom 1: Good sound invokes memories, visions and emotion Axiom 2: Good sound (perceptibly) improves most displays

  9. I am genuinely impressed by young people …their spatial, strategic and tactical reasoning seems far better than mine!

  10. I do much better with the holodeck approach…. I am far more at home the closer it all gets to my real world experience!

  11. A human head full Human head limit Productivity Coping Exhaustion Confusion Errors Efficient Breakdown Information - sensory input

  12. No one knows anything anymore... Highly specialised All knowledge through technology? Becoming specialised The fount of all knowledge Increasingly myopic 1800 1900 TODAY 2000 +

  13. A world of displays - screens everywhere on everything CRT, LCD, LED +++ Large, medium, small +++ Indoors, outdoors, fixed, portable, static, carried, worn, integrated +++

  14. Still the dominant mode…just!

  15. And flat variants are coming fast…

  16. Displays we carry & wear…. Wireless communication

  17. Head mounted displays have come a long way…

  18. Where are they going…?

  19. Cyborgs for real...

  20. If I could.... • ...hear what you hear... • ... see what you see... • ... feel what you feel..

  21. Exponentiation ex = EXP(x) …looks so innocent!

  22. The ‘S’ Curve Technology Capability time

  23. The ‘S’ Curve Continuum Technology Capability DVD CD Cassette Tape time

  24. IBM 704 A future of man, woman & machine... FLOPS 100,000 Teraflop desktop 10 17 15 10 Teraflop 10 Human Brain 13 CM-5 10 12 SUPERCOMPUTERS Delta CM-2 11 Cray C-90 10 Cray Y-MP 10 10 Massively parallel Cray X-MP 10 Cray-1 9 CDC 7600 8 10 Cray -2 Multiprocessors Stretch ILLIAC IV 10 7 CDC 6600 LARC 10 6 CDC 1604 Vector 10 5 4 10 Scalar 10 ENIAC UNIVAC 3 10 2 Relays Vacuum tubes Transistors Micro-processors 10 Integrated circuits 1000x 1 0.1 2000 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 1940 2010

  25. 3D ICs Molecular Quantum Genetic Biological Optical Computing New Sensors Networks Software Lifeforms Intelligences Moore’s Wall ICn Log Scale IC5 IC4 IC3 IC2 IC1 Transistor Thermionic Tube 1915 46 59 2010 2025

  26. Extrapolation from 1950s Clock 1T 1G 1M 1K 1 HD RAM Backbone Last/First Mile 1947 1957 1967 1977 1987 1997 2007

  27. Carrier’s the bottleneck 35% pa The key constraint? 350% pa 150% pa Wireless WWW Content / Apps Devices Infrastructure

  28. Unfortunately we do not adapt and change as fast as our technology and paper does not fit on a screen!

  29. If we can imagine IT - we can do IT... • More things on-line • than people • AI & AL Logistics • TeleCare • TeleMedicine • TeleEduction • Video on Demand • Music on Demand • Undersea & Space Cams • Remote Sensing • +++++++

  30. Faster & Faster Wealth Generation US$Bn 100 Internet PC Mobile 90 80 New Company Value 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Year

  31. Consumer Recycle Raw Materials Manufacture Distribution RETAIL Ecosystem Consumer Trash Trash

  32. Consumer Recycle Mobile B-B B-B B-B Raw Materials Manufacture Distribution RETAIL Ecosystem C-B C-C B-C Consumer Trash Trash

  33. Business busting technology Two kids, a camcorder and a PC!

  34. A world of opportunity & risk…. Thank you, cochrane.org.uk conceptlabs.net

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