Base Case Behavior for 1990–2040

1. Base Case Behavior for 1990–2040 Tobacco taxes and Access to and sales/marketing Quality of primary marketing of Anti-smoking Access to and marketing regulations care provision primary care social marketing of smoking quit products and services Sources of stress Smoking bans at work and public 0.3 Access to and 1 places 0.3 marketing of mental Stress Prevalence Use of Primary Care Services health services 0 0 Smoking Prevalence 0.6 0 30 Particulate Air Pollution PM2.5 Secondhand Smoke Exposure mcg per m3 Diagnosis and control 0 0 1.5 Uncontrolled CV event fatality multiplier Access to and Chronic Disorders marketing of healthy 0 Prevalences 0.8 0.6 food options Poor Diet Fraction High cholesterol 4 0.4 CVD Deaths per 1000 0 Junk food taxes and 0.3 Obesity Prevalence sales/marketing 0 High BP regulations 0 Diabetes Age 65+ fraction of the population 0 0 0.8 3,000 Inadequate Physical Activity CVD & Risk factor costs per capita Access to and 0 Access to and marketing of weight 0 marketing of physical loss services activity options