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NOAA Climate Observations and Services Program. Dave Goodrich NOAA Climate Observations and Services Program. March 19, 2002. NOAA Climate Services. Overview. Vision and Mission Management and NOAA Roles Evolving Products and Services An Example: the Carbon Cycle Regional Services.

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slide1

NOAA Climate Observations and Services Program

Dave Goodrich

NOAA Climate Observations and Services Program

March 19, 2002

slide2

NOAA Climate Services

Overview

Vision and Mission

Management and NOAA Roles

Evolving Products and Services

An Example: the Carbon Cycle

Regional Services

slide3

Vision

  • Seamless climate services enabling
  • BBetter management of energy, agriculture, water, etc., through analyses, observations, and predictions
  • AAssessment of environmental impacts of natural and anthropogenically induced changes, and the effects of remedial actions
slide4

Mission

  • Timely delivery to decision-makers of
  • Data and products
  • Expert assessments
  • Predictions of climate variability and change on intra-seasonal to centennial time scales
slide6

Executive Committee:

AA’s for NWS, NESDIS, OAR

Climate Observations and

Services Program Board

NOAA Climate Services

Management

Advisory Panel

COS Program

Office

slide7

NOAA Climate Services

Climate Observations and Services Program Board

Ants Leetmaa (Chair) – Geophysical Fluid Dyn. Lab.Daniel Albritton – Aeronomy Lab.Robert Livezey – NWS Climate Services

James Laver – Climate Prediction CenterThomas Karl – Natl. Climatic Data CenterArnold Gruber – Office of Research and ApplicationsDavid Goodrich – Climate Obs. and Svcs. Office

slide8

Present Lead Roles Within NOAA

Major Supporting Activities

Product Line

Satellite Obs., Data Stewardship

Climatology, Assessments

NESDIS

NWS

OAR

Models,Surface Observations

S/I Prediction

Research, Ocean Obs., Models

Dec/Cen Assessments

Not inclusive; each line office has some responsibilities in each of these areas

slide9

Building to the Future

Examples of New Products and Services

Building on CCRI

Climate assessment scenarios – exploring options for managing greenhouse gases and aerosols

Regular documentation of carbon sources and sinks,

with particular emphasis on North America

Regular attribution of recent climate trends between

anthropogenic forcing and natural variability

Regular State of the Atmosphere reports

Improved local services through enhanced interactions

with RISA’s, RCC’s, SC’s, and private sector

slide10

Product: “Maps” of Carbon Sources and Sinks

Where we were in 1998:

• “3 box” world

• Single 5 year period for “map”

• Discrepancy between atmospheric and inventory methods

Where we’re going-- near term:

• Continental scale resolution

• Seasonal maps

Near term improvements needed:

• Atmospheric transport models

• Additional stations in under-sampled regions and over continents

  • Carbon maps of the future:
  • • Fully dynamic, model-data
  • fusion products globally
  • • Local scale (10s of km)
  • • Real time
  • Future improvements needed:
  • Model-data fusion methods
  • Coupling with weather models
  • Satellite data/in situ validation
slide11

U.S. Climate Reference Network

Real-time Network Performance Monitoring