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Outline. Intro Candlestick Charting Support/Resistance, Trends, Retracements Famous Patterns Cup and Handle Head and Shoulders Moving Averages SMA, EMA Bollinger Bands MACD Current Outlook. What is Technical Analysis?.

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Presentation Transcript
outline
Outline
  • Intro
  • Candlestick Charting
  • Support/Resistance, Trends, Retracements
  • Famous Patterns
    • Cup and Handle
    • Head and Shoulders
  • Moving Averages
    • SMA, EMA
    • Bollinger Bands
    • MACD
  • Current Outlook
what is technical analysis
What is Technical Analysis?

“The study of market action, primarily through the use of charts, for the purpose of forecasting future price trends”

- John J. Murphy

“market witchcraft”

“self-fulfilling prophecy”

Technical Analysis

vs

Fundamental Analysis

slide4

Chart Types

Line Charts

Bar Charts

OHLC (American Candlestick)

Japanese Candlestick

slide7

Candlestick Patterns

Dark Cloud Cover

- Bearish

Piercing Line

- Bullish

slide9

Support and Resistance

Resistance

Support

Resistance

Support

  • Once a support or resistance level is broken, its role reverses.
  • Support and resistance levels become more significant the longer they are traded at and when the volume is high during the period that the level is traded at.
slide11

Trendlines

8

6

4

9

2

7

5

3

1

Note: Once a trendline is broken it will assume

the opposite role (support or resistance) of that

which it had before.

slide14

Head and Shoulders

Head

Right Shoulder

Left Shoulder

Neckline

slide17

Moving Averages

The two most popular

Forms of moving averages

Are the Simple and

Exponential varieties

(SMA and EMA).

An SMA sums the

closing prices of a

given amount of

periods (such as

50 days in this graph)

and divides by that

number of periods.

Resistance

Support

An EMA smoothes

the curve, giving

greater weight to the

most recent data

points.

The most used

MAs are:SMA(10)

SMA(50)

SMA(100)SMA(200)

EMA(20)

slide18

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands are made by taking a MA (the 20 SMA is recommended by John Bollinger and the most popular) and placing lines 2 standard deviations above and below the MA.

Whenever a band is touched, it serves as an indicator that the security is overextended and will reverse.

slide19

MACD Indicator

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator uses two MAs for a security, typically the 12 and 26 period EMAs like in this chart. The difference found from subtracting the 26 EMA from the 12 EMA is used to form the MACD line (Red). The trigger line (Blue) is a 9 period EMA of the previously calculated MACD line.

When the MACD line crosses above the trigger line from below, it generates a buy signal. When the MACD line crosses below the trigger line from above, it generates a sell signal.

A histogram is often including on MACD plots to make it easier to see by how much the two lines are diverging and when convergence takes place.