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Setting the context - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

dylan-potter
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Setting the context

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  1. Setting the context

  2. Introduction • Welcome & Acknowledgement • Background • Workshops  action plan • General Manager’s support • Housekeeping • Facilities, OH&S, Turn off mobiles [Insert Council logo]

  3. Introduction Purpose • Developing a Climate Change Action Plan Program • Keeping to time • Respectful discussion • Climate change deniers? Introductions Evaluation forms

  4. Progress Identify Planning Team Gain internal support Steering Committee Meeting 1 -Develop a planning program Workshop 1 -Introduction Workshop 2 -Risk assessment Workshop 3 -Adaptation actions Steering Committee Meeting 2 -Research adaptation options Steering Committee Meeting 3 -Mitigation Workshop 4 -Mitigation actions Steering Committee Meeting 5 -Review Steering Committee Meeting 4 -Action plan

  5. Expected outcomes Participants will : • Understand sources of uncertainty for projections • Appreciate projected impacts for the region • Describe potential impacts for the LGA and council • Record likely impacts, assumptions and decisions

  6. Projections Projections based on modelling by the IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change • IPCC assesses the most recent scientific, technical and socio-economic information • 2,500 scientific expert reviewers for Fourth Assessment Report, 2007 Rajendra Pachauri, Then Chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2009. Photo by the UN.

  7. Uncertainty of projections Climate change projections are not certain. Projections are uncertain because: • Future emissions are unknown • The relationship between the level of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere & global warming is uncertain • The link between global warming & localised climate change is uncertain

  8. Uncertainty should not stop action Councils should apply the precautionary principle and not use lack of certainty as an excuse to delay action planning: Where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, lack of full scientific certainty shall not be used as a reason for postponing cost-effective measures to prevent environmental degradation.Principle 15 of the ‘Rio Declaration on Environment and Development’ United Nations Conference on Environment and Development, Rio, 1992.

  9. Source: Environmental Defenders Office http://www.edo.org.au/edosa/publications/newsletter/edo%20newsletter%20october%202005.htm

  10. Managing uncertainty • Uncertainty can be managed by regularly updating climate change action plans (i.e. adaptive management) • Risk assessment and adaptation planning should be completed based on projected trends and revisited rather than setting permanent values

  11. Projections could be conservative • Actual emissions are at the upper end of all projections Steffen, W. 2009

  12. Temperature projections www.climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au

  13. Rainfall projections www.climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au

  14. Projected extreme events www.climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au

  15. Projected sea level rise Damage to beach access, Wooli, May 2009 (Photo by Scott Lenton)

  16. Local example

  17. Social information

  18. Stakeholders • Consulting: • Informing:

  19. Any questions?

  20. Exercise How climate change may impact on Council Specifically, impacts on: • Service delivery • Related services and service providers • Personnel • General public • Systems and equipment • Administration and support

  21. Exercise – ‘Drawing out the Impacts’ • Consider a specific point in the future (e.g. 2030, 2050, 2070) • Think laterally • On the maps, draw how projected climate changes may impact the LGA • Record your assumptions and decisions in the template • Present your map • Develop a list of agreed impacts

  22. Agreed impacts

  23. Achievements from the workshop During the workshop we have: • Described how climate change will impact the LGA and council • Recorded our assumptions and decisions • Developed a list of agreed impacts as a group that can be used in the risk assessment workshop

  24. Conclusion • Thank you • Evaluation forms

  25. References • IPCC, 2000, Special Report: Emissions Scenarios: Summary for Policymakers http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/spm/sres-en.pdf (visited December, 2009) • IPCC, 2009, http://www.ipcc.ch/organization/organization.htm (visited December, 2009) • Rio Declaration on Environment and Development 1992 http://www.unep.org/Documents.Multilingual/Default.asp?DocumentID=78&ArticleID=1163 (visited December, 2009) • Steffen, W., 2009 Climate Change 2009: Faster Change & More Serious Risks. http://www.anu.edu.au/climatechange/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/climate-change-faster-change-and-more-serious-risks-final.pdf (visited December, 2009)