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presentation to EAZ load-shedding in Zambia: what should be the plan PRESENTED BY C CHITUNDU MANAGING DIRECTOR. Presentation Overview. 1.0 background 2.0 current status 3.0 zesco’s plans to end load-shedding 3 .1 generation projects 3 .2 transmission projects 3 .3 distribution projects

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    1. presentation to EAZload-shedding in Zambia:what should be the planPRESENTED BY C CHITUNDUMANAGING DIRECTOR

    2. Presentation Overview 1.0 background 2.0 current status 3.0 zesco’s plans to end load-shedding 3.1 generation projects 3.2 transmission projects 3.3 distribution projects 3.4 other initiatives to reduce load-shedding 4.0 conclusion

    3. background • ELECTRICITY IS A KEY DRIVER OF ECONOMIC GROWTH & MAJOR INPUT IN ALL ECONOMIC SECTORS - AGRICULTURE, MINING, MANUFACTURING AND TOURISM • ZESCO’S ELECTRICITY GENERATING CAPACITY STANDS AT 2.2 GW (99% HYDRO) • NET EXPORTS ROUGHLY 5% OF TOTAL GENERATION (MOSTLY TO NAMIBIA, BOTSWANA AND CONGO D.R.) • CURRENT PEAK DEMAND FOR ELECTRICITY BARELY MEETS GENERATION CAPACITY ESPECIALLY DURING PEAK TIMES

    4. background CONT’D • ZAMBIA HAS EXPERIENCED A SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC GROWTH OVER THE LAST FIVE YEARS DESPITE GLOBAL RECESSION, RESULTING IN: • INCREASED DEMAND FOR ELECTRICITY FROM ALL SECTORS • DEMAND OUTSTRIPPING AVAILABLE CAPACITY DURING PEAK HOURS • ZESCO MUST INVEST IN NEW INFRASTRUCTURE TO COPE WITH GROWING DEMAND

    5. BACKGROUND CONT’D • HOWEVER DELAYED INVESTMENT IN GENERATION PLANTS HAS NOT MATCHED THE LOAD GROWTH • RESULTING IN DEFICIT IN POWER GENERATION CAPACITY • FURTHER, DELAYED INVESTMENTS IN TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS HAS ALSO LED TO DEPLETING POWER TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION CAPACITY • ABOVE FACTORS LARGELY CONTRIBUTE TO LOAD-SHEDDING • LOAD-SHEDDING IS DONE TO SAFEGUARD THE ELECTRICITY INFRASTRUCTURE

    6. GENERATION STATUS

    7. GENERATION STATUS CONT’D • THE TOTAL AVAILABLE CAPACITY IS 2,211 AGAINST A MAXIMUM NATIONAL DEMAND OF 1890. • ZESCO HAS ADEQUATE CAPACITY TO MEET THE DEMAND AT PRESENT. LOAD-SHEDDING IS THEREFORE DUE TO BOTTLENECKS IN THE TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION INFRASTRUCTURE.

    8. PROJECTED DEMAND ELECTRICITY DEMAND

    9. PROJECTED DEMAND CONT’D • FROM THE GRAPH IT CAN BE SEEN THAT UNLESS THE PLANNED GENERATION PROJECTS COME ON STREAM, THERE WILL BE A GENERATION DEFICIT IN THE COMING YEARS. • daily Connection rate: 300 • Pending backlog in construction and new connections to date: 20,000

    10. PROJECTED GENERATION DEFICITS

    11. SHORT TERM MEASURES TAKEN TO REDUCE LOAD-SHEDDING GENERATION • rehabilitation and uprating of the three major hydropower stations, i.e. Kafue Gorge, KNBPS and Victoria Falls • VICTORIA FALLS POWER STATION – USD53.7MILLION • KAFUE GORGE POWER STATION - USD 85.5 MILLION • KARIBA NORTH BANK POWER STATION – USD81.4MILLION • Through the uprating of kariba and kafue gorge 210mw was gained TOTAL COST OF the UPGRADE– USD 100 MILLION • ESTIMATED COST FOR A 210MW new hydro POWER STATION – above us$600MILLION

    12. GENERATION PROJECTS POWER REHABILITATION PROJECT (PRP) • Scope included rehabilitation and uprating of the three major hydropower stations, i.e. Kafue Gorge, KNBPS and Victoria Falls • Other works included reinforcement and rehabilitation of some transmission and distribution infrastructure • The major achievements of the PRP has been the uprating of the Kafue Gorge Power Station from 900 to 990 MW, the reinstating of the Victoria Falls Power Station to its full generating capacity of 108 MW as well as the up-rating of Kariba North Bank power station from 600 MW to 720 MW. The total generation capacity yielded from the PRP is 210 MW

    13. SHORT TERM MEASURES TAKEN TO REDUCE LOAD-SHEDDING GENERATION • Constructing & COMISSIONING OF THE 360 MW KARIBA NORTH BANK EXTENSION plant. • LOAD-SHEDDING USUALLY DONE AT PEAK TIMES, KNBE CONSTRUCTED AS A PEAKING STATION TO MEET THE PEAK CAPACITY SHORTFALLS

    14. KNBE PROJECT- Outfall tower works

    15. Unit # 6 Spiral Casing - Preparations for Water pressure testing

    16. NEW GENERATION PROJECTS

    17. ITEZHI TEZHI HYDROPOWER PROJECT

    18. New Generation projects-SMALL HYDROS • SHIWANG’ANDU 1 MW – USD4.15 MILLION completed in 2012

    19. New Generation projects-SMALL HYDROS • LUNZUA-15MW-US$52M- COMMISSIONING OF UNIT 1 SCHEDULED FOR END august 2014.

    20. LUNZUA PROJECT • LUNZUA-15MW-US$52M- COMMISSIONING OF UNIT 1 SCHEDULED FOR END august 2014.

    21. New Generation projects-SMALL HYDROS • LUSIWASI UPPER -15MW-US$47M • AWAITS SITE INVESTIGATIONS, AWARD OF CONTRACT, PROJECT FINANCING • REHABILITATION AND UPRATING OF CHISHIMBA FALLS: 6 -14.8MW – US$46M • PREPARATION BID DOCUMENTS IN PROGRESS, AWARD OF CONTRACT, PROJECT FINANCING • REHABILITATION AND UPRATING OF MUSONDA FALLS: 5-10MW – US$32M • CONTRACT AWARDED, ADVANCE PAYMENT MADE TO EPC CONTRACTOR, PROJECT FINANCING. WORKS TO CONCLUDE IN 2016

    22. New Generation projects-SMALL HYDROS • MUJILA FALLS 1.4MW-US$25M • 75% OF PREPARATORY WORKS DONE. PROJECT COMPLETION EXPECTED 2017. • LUSIWASI LOWER -86MW-US$164 • EPC CONTRACT AWARDED but cancelled due to poor performance record

    23. New Generation projects Kafue Gorge Lower Hydropower Project (750 MW) • OWNER:PPP (ZESCO/SINOHYDRO) • COST:USD 2 BILLION • DURATION: 6 YEARS • OPERATION: 2019 • STATUS: PROJECT PREPARATORY ACTIVITIES UNDERWAY. CONSULTANTS ARE BEING HIRED. DISCUSSIONS WITH FINANCIERS UNDERWAY. • GRZ HAS ALLOCATED US$ 186 M (ZMK930 TR) FROM THE EURO BOND FOR THE KGL PROJECT AS PARTIAL EQUITY CONTRIBUTION

    24. Other SHORT TERM MEASURES TAKEN TO REDUCE LOAD-SHEDDING GENERATION • CONTRACTING OF THE 50MW FROM NDOLA ENERGY. COMMERCIALLY AVAILABLE. • CONTRACTING OF THE 300mw FROM Maamba collieries to be available in 2015

    25. NEW GENERATION PROJECTS – POTENTIAL SITES • MPATA GORGE – 540 MW • DEVIL’S GORGE – 500 MW • BATOKA GORGE – 800 MW • MUMBOTUTA FALLS - 300 MW • MAMBILIMA FALLS SITE I – 202 MW • MAMBILIMA FALLS SITE I – 124 MW • KABWELUME FALLS - 62 MW • KUNDABWIKA FALLS – 101 MW • MUTINONDO - 40 MW • LUCHENENE – 30 MW • MKUSHI – 65 MW

    26. TRANSMISSION PROJECTS ongoing CONNECTION OF NORTH WESTERN PROVINCE TO NATIONAL GRID • The objective is to support the increased access to electricity and improved quality of service by displacing the expensive diesel generators • Cost: appx. USD150 million • Funding: Secured from Nordea Bank (Sweden) • Status: Contract awarded to EL TEL, now mobilizing to site. Design works in progress. • Construction period 24 months. Commissioning April 2016

    27. TRANSMISSION PROJECTS ongoing • KARIBA NORTH BANK EXTENSION POWER EVACUATION PROJECT • The objective is to increase transmission capacity from KNBPS to the grid for the evacuation of power from KNBE project • Cost: USD62 million • Status: EPC contractor is Sinohydro, tower erection and conductor stringing are in progress. • Construction Period: 18 months, project has however been delayed.

    28. TRANSMISSION PROJECTS ongoing KAFUE TOWN MUZUMA VICTORIA FALLS TRANSMISSION LINE UPGRADE • The objective is to increase transmission capacity southwards for export to and from SAPP and provide evacuation path for new generation projects • Scope: Upgrade 348 km of 220 kV line to 330 kV • Cost: USD100 million • Status: Procurement process almost complete • Funding: World Bank and European Investment Bank • Construction Period: 18 months

    29. Other TRANSMISSION PROJECTS ongoing • PENSULO KASAMA AND PENSULO CHIPATA 330 KV PROJECT • The objective is to improve power quality in Eastern, Muchinga, Northern and Luapula provinces and to increase transmission capacity to these areas • Cost: USD335 million • Construction Period: 30 months from August 2012

    30. TRANSMISSION PROJECTS ongoing ITT MUMBWA LUSAKA WEST TRANSMISSION LINE PROJECT • The objective is to provide power evacuation for the ITT power station • Cost: USD133 million • Funding: EIB, AfDB and AFD • Status: EPC procurement process for substation and transmission line complete. • Construction period: 18 months

    31. TRANSMISSION PROJECTS ongoing SUPPLY TO KALUMBILA MINE • The objective is to supply power to the proposed FQM Kalumbila mine • Scope: 400km of 330 kV double circuit line and 66 km of 330 kV single circuit line and associated substation at Kalumbila • Cost: USD300 million • Status: Transmission line and substation works in progress • Construction period: commissioning is expected end of 2015

    32. Other TRANSMISSION PROJECTS ongoing CONNECTION OF LUANGWA DISTRICT TO THE GRID • The objective is to support the increased access to electricity and improved quality of service by displacing the expensive diesel generators • Cost; USD63million • Status: Construction works are in progress. • Construction period: commissioning is expected December 2014

    33. TRANSMISSION PROJECTS ongoing LUSAKA TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION REHABILITATION and upgrading PROJECT • The objective is to increase the transmission capacity of the Lusaka Transmission and Distribution Network • Cost: USD210million • Funding: World Bank, European Investment Bank and ZESCO Limited • Status: Financing by WB, EIB. going through the process. • Construction period: completion expected by 2018

    34. future transmission PROJECTS ZIZABONA • The objective is to increase regional trade in power by increasing transmission capacity for north to south and east to west power trading • Project promoted by Zimbabwe, Zambia, Botswana and Namibia • Cost: USD230million • Funding: Discussions ongoing with potential financiers. DBSA, AFDB, KfW • Status: technical and market studies completed, project governance documents prepared • IUMOU, IGMOU signed. Joint Development Agreement to be signed by BPC. Will lead to signing of Shareholders Agreement • Consultant engaged and SPV registration is underway • Construction period: commissioning is expected by 2017

    35. SHORT TERM MEASURES TAKEN TO REDUCE LOAD-SHEDDING transmission projects • UPGRADING (RE-CONDUCTORING) OF LUSAKA 132 KV

    36. SHORT TERM MEASURES TAKEN TO REDUCE LOAD-SHEDDING • MEASURES TO INCREASE TRANSMISSION CAPACITies: • INSTALLATION OF A SECOND 125 MVA 330/132 KV TRANSFORMER AT LUSAKA WEST TO SUPPORT 132 KV SYSTEM. (Completed in 2012) • UPGRADE OF MAZABUKA SUBSTATION COMPLETED IN 2012 • INSTALLATION OF COMPENSATION EQUIPMENT IN THE COPPERBELT

    37. SHORT TERM MEASURES TAKEN TO REDUCE LOAD-SHEDDING –DISTRIBUTION PROJECTS Distribution projects under increased access to electricity services. • sponsored by WB, JICA and other financiers in progress. • Project cost us$75million

    38. IAES –projects status

    39. SHORT TERM MEASURES TAKEN TO REDUCE LOAD-SHEDDING • NEW KANYAMA SUBSTATION

    40. SHORT TERM MEASURES TAKEN TO REDUCE LOAD-SHEDDING • WAYLEAVE ENCROACHMENT -NEW KANYAMA SUBSTATION • INCOMPLETE LINE

    41. SHORT TERM MEASURES TAKEN TO REDUCE LOAD-SHEDDING • EUROBOND PROJECTS IN LUSAKA, KITWE AND NDOLA – COMMISSIONING TO START BY AUGUST 2014 • Project cost USD 69 million • Over 60% of funds already committed

    42. DERP PROJECTS STATUS

    43. DERP PROJECTS STATUS CONT’D

    44. NEW KABULONGA SUBSTATION UNDER DERP

    45. 11KV BOARD AT KABULONGA SUBSTATION

    46. PLANNED CAPITAL INVESTMENT 2014 ZESCO PLANS TO SPEND ZMK 5,634BN ON ASSETS AND INFRASTRUCTURE development IN 2014 Over 45% already utilized

    47. PLANNED CAPITAL INVESTMENT (BREAKDOWN)

    48. TARIFFS IN THE REGION

    49. IPPs AND THEIR CAPACITIES

    50. ZESCO REVENUE DEFICITS DUE TO PRICE DIFFERENTIALS ON IPPs