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Resource productivity and future technologies

Resource productivity and future technologies. Miroslav Havránek. EEA - FLIS - COPENHAGEN - 18.-19. 11.2010. Content. About CUEC Resource productivity Final sink scarcity Future technologies ISIE ConAccount news. Charles University Environment Center. Charles University in Prague

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Resource productivity and future technologies

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  1. Resource productivity and future technologies Miroslav Havránek EEA - FLIS - COPENHAGEN - 18.-19. 11.2010

  2. Content • About CUEC • Resource productivity • Final sink scarcity • Future technologies • ISIE ConAccount news

  3. Charles University Environment Center • Charles University in Prague • Non-faculty research institute (1992) • About 30 people (director prof. Bedrich Moldan) • Focus on environmental and ecological economy, sustainable development indicators

  4. Resource productivity metrics • EEA Core set • EUROSTAT • IEA • Upstream processes omitted • Rucksack, Footprinting, Hybrid I-O tables

  5. Resource productivity in Europe Source: EUROSTAT

  6. Energy intensity per product Source: CZSO

  7. Increasing efficiency - pitfall • Physical and financial flows are coupled • Resource efficiency leads to higher quality of life and ultimatelly to more resource use = rebound effect is real • Economic growth is driven by consumption (income) • To effectively de-couple and decrease env. burden efficiency must grow faster than GDP

  8. Final sink • Resource becomes waste • Dematerialisation shifts materials to more dangerous materials • Recycling vs. Final disposal • Air & Soil & Sea

  9. Technology development • Strong driver of the future • Omitted environmental impacts and resource needs • Non-linearities in future scenarios • Penetration curve of new technologies • Know-how exchange

  10. Accelerating technologies: race in to unknown? • Improvement of technology vs. Change of basic principles

  11. Technology outlook of LDV, IEA Source: IEA 2010

  12. Technologies example:Demand Side • Energy efficiency in buildings and appliances • Heat pumps • Solar space and water heating • Energy efficiency in transport • Electric and plug-in vehicles • H2 fuel cell vehicles • CCS industry, H2 and fuel transformation • Industrial motor systems

  13. Technologies example:Suply side • CCS fossil-fuel power generation • Nuclear power plants • Onshore and offshore wind • Biomass IGCC & co-combustion • Photovoltaic systems • Concentrating solar power • Coal: integrated-gasification combinedCycle • Coal: ultra-supercritical • 2nd generation biofuels

  14. News

  15. Thank you for your attention

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