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Risk Evaluation. Determines the relative seriousness of hazard risks as they affect the local community. “[The] public [is] willing to accept voluntary risks approximately 1,000 times greater than involuntary risks” Keith Smith, in Environmental Hazards: Assessing and Reducing Disaster.

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risk evaluation

Risk Evaluation

Determines the relative seriousness of hazard risksas theyaffect the local community

Session 20

slide2

“[The] public [is] willing to accept voluntary risks approximately 1,000 times greater than involuntary risks”Keith Smith, in Environmental Hazards: Assessing and Reducing Disaster

Session 20

3 methods used to evaluate risk
3 Methods Used to Evaluate Risk
  • Creating a risk matrix
  • Comparing hazard risks against levels of risk estimated during the analysis process with previously established risk evaluation criteria
  • Evaluating risks according the SMAUG methodology

Session 20

fema risk matrix values
FEMA Risk Matrix Values
  • Class A: High-risk condition with highest priority for mitigation and contingency planning (immediate action)
  • Class B: Moderate-to-high-risk condition with risk addressed by mitigation and contingency planning (prompt action)
  • Class C: Risk condition sufficiently high to give consideration for further mitigation and planning (planned action)
  • Class D: Low-risk condition with additional mitigation contingency planning (advisory in nature)

Session 20

risk matrix example
Risk Matrix Example

Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency. 1997. MultiHazard: Identification and Risk Assessment. FEMA. Washington, DC. P.315

Session 20

risk register
Risk Register
  • Name of the Risk
  • Qualitative likelihood value
  • Qualitative consequences value
  • Level of risk as determined by evaluation on the risk matrix
  • Priority rating
  • Additional information

Session 20

risk evaluation criteria
Risk Evaluation Criteria
  • Loss of life and harm to people’s health
  • Economic loss
  • Environmental harm
  • Lifeline damage
  • Social infrastructure damage
  • Loss of heritage

Session 20

hazards risk management analysis context
Hazards Risk Management Analysis Context
  • Legal requirements
  • Cost and equity
  • Risks that are clearly unacceptable
  • Risks that should be kept as low as reasonably practicable

Session 20

smaug prioritization process
SMAUG Prioritization Process

From Lunn, John. 2003. “Community Consultation: The Foundation of Effective Risk Management.” Journal of Emergency Management. V.1, No.1, Spring. Pp. 39-48.

Session 20