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Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit Somalia

Gu 2011. Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit Somalia. 17 th August , 2011. Information for Better Livelihoods. Northeast. Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation SDC. EUROPEAN COMMISSION. Gu 2011 Seasonal Assessment Coverage Field Access and Field Data Locations .

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Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit Somalia

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  1. Gu 2011 Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit Somalia 17th August , 2011 Information for Better Livelihoods Northeast Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation SDC EUROPEAN COMMISSION

  2. Gu 2011 Seasonal Assessment Coverage Field Access and Field Data Locations Normal access in all districts and livelihoods except Alula district due to political unrest

  3. Main Livelihood Groups Seven Pastoral Livelihood Groups: Hawd, Sool Plateau, Nugal valley, Addun, East Golis, Karkaar Dharoor and Coastal Deeh • Main Sources of Food and Income for the poor HH: • Primary sources of income is sale of livestock & livestock products (fishing & gums for Coastal and Golis) • Primary source of food is purchase • Primary livelihood assets are camel and sheep/goat

  4. Climate Gu 2011Seasonal Performance Overall statement: The overall performance of the season was near normal in Northeast, except pockets in Nugal, Coastal Deeh and east Golis. Start of Rains Started late in 3rd Dekad of April in all livelihood zones Temporal and spatial distribution Bari Region: delayed, localized with average intensity. Nugal and Northern Mudug:Generally average with the exception of Coastal Deeh of Eyl, localized areas in southern Hawd of Garowe and northern Galkayo. Gu 2011 RFE percent from normal (long-term mean)

  5. Climate Vegetation conditions Trends in NDVI & RFE by district & land cover

  6. Civil Insecurity Overall situation: Predominantly stable security situation Bossaso: Tension related with clan retaliation has renewed and escalated in Kobdhexaad of Bossaso district. Frankincense collection activities have been hampered in East Golis LZ Galkayo towns: Shooting and killing of the prominent figures on political ground in the town. Trade disruptions caused by instability of security situation. Presence of sea pirates in the water off the Coastal Deeh livelihood: Affects income to fishing communities as well as trade activities of local traders/merchants.

  7. Cereal Flow Map Gu 2011 Cereal inflow from Togdheer through Sool and Sanaag regions

  8. Livestock Vegetation Conditions and Migration Pasture and Browse condition Generally pasture and rangeland condition is average with the exception of Coastal Deeh and adjacent areas of Sool Plateau, parts of East Golis (Qandala and of Bari region) and localized area in southern Hawd of Garowe and northern sector of Galkayo. Water Condition Very Poor: In Coastal Deeh Poor: East Golis Normal: in elsewhere Water Prices: High (4,000SoSh/20 liter) Migration: Livestock migration in most regions are normal with exceptions of Coastal Deeh and East Golis pastoralists which migrated to Sool Plateau of Qardho and Dharoor Valley - Iskushuban

  9. Livestock Trends in Livestock Holdings and Milk Production

  10. LivestockLivestock Prices

  11. LivestockTerms of Trade (local quality goat/ rice) 1 2 3

  12. Markets Trends in Imported Commodity Prices Vs Exchange Rate Slight increase in Import Commodity Prices (last six months) Factors Affecting Commercial Import Prices: • Increased global food prices • Increased fuel prices • Sea closure due to monsoon winds

  13. Livestock Exports-Bossaso

  14. Destitute Camps and Families in Coastal Deeh, Hawd & Sool Plateau LZs Rahmo Camp, Beyla town, FSNAU, 2011 New destitute camping in Galdogob, FSNAU, 2011 Kalabayr camp, FSNAU 2011 B/Beyla town, FSNAU 2011

  15. Gu 2011 Assessment PhotosPasture & livestock condition Nugaal Valley FSNAU, 2011 Dharoor Valley, FSNAU 2011 Poor pasture Harfo N. Galkayo, FSNAU 2011 Dried shallow well, Afdicin, Xaafuun, Iskushuban, FSNAU 2011

  16. NORTHEAST Nutrition Situation Estimates Nutrition Situation Estimates, August 2011 Nutrition Situation Estimates, April 2011 • Aggravating factors: • AWD and cholera outbreak; Measles outbreak in Nugal and Bari regions • Low income and food access (low frankincense production, fishing and low milk production in Golis/Karkaar, Coastal Deeh in NE • Poor infrastructure, hindering transportation of commodities, or access to humanitarian assistance • Poor shelter in IDPs, high morbidity, inappropriate child feeding and care practices • Poor food access for IDPs • Mitigating factors : • Humanitarian access in the Hawd in Northeast • Improved coverage of health programmes (polio and Vit A) in most LZs as a result of CHDs. • Active social support: limited kinship support

  17. NORTHEASTSummary: Progression of Rural IPC Situation MAP 1: IPC April 2011 • Key IPC Reference Outcomes (Aug-Sep) • Urban Population: Bari 75% P-AFLC; Mudug 100% P AFLC; Nugaal 100% P AFLC • Ruralpopulation: Hawd 100% P AFLC;Addun; 25% P HE; 75% P AFLC; Karkaar100% P AFLC; East Golis100% P AFLC; Sool Plateau25% P HE; 75%P AFLC; • Coastal Deeh75%P HE; 25% P AFLC • Acute malnutrition: Overall Serious to Very Critical in IDPs • Food Access: Severe entitlement gap, unable to meet 2,100 Kcal ppp day • Water Access: Average of 7.5-15 ltrs ppp day ( human usage only) • Destitution/Displacement: Predominantly stable security situation with increasing pastoral destitution in mainly Coastal Deeh andSoolBari region • Coping: Distress strategies and high indebtedness for food and water expenses during prolonged Jilaal season • Livelihood Assets: Accelerated and critical depletion or loss of access • Main Contributing Factors: • Deteriorated rangeland and water conditions in Costal Deeh, East-Golis and parts of Addun LHZs due to below average Gu ‘11 rainfall • Prolonged dry conditions leading to increased livestock asset loss (sheep/goats) and miscarriages among camel in all livelihoods • Below average camel milk production in most livelihoods • Significant increase in local cereal prices following the crop failure in southern Somalia • Moderate increase in imported cereal (rice) prices • Reduced terms of trade (27%): local quality goat to red sorghum (65kg/head in Jun ’10 to 41kg/head in Jun ‘11) • Reduced fishing activities due to piracy in Coastal Deeh and Monsoon season MAP 2: IPC Gu 2011

  18. NORTHEAST Rural Population in Crisis by livelihoods

  19. NORTHEAST Rural Population in Crisis by District

  20. NORTHEAST Urban Population in Crisis

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