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Networked Exponentials

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  1. Networked Exponentials Achieving More In A Hyperconnected World

  2. David Orban @davidorban, @dotsub @singularityu, @netsocproj

  3. Themes

  4. Unexpected Consequences

  5. Unmanageable Complexity

  6. Unprecedented Value

  7. 1. Context 2. Resources 3. Principles 4. Conclusions

  8. 0. Intro To 2x

  9. CALL TO ACTION How would you leverage technology for social impact? Education Energy Environment Food Global Health Poverty Security Space Water 4

  10. SU MODEL 10^9+ IMPACT BILLIONS OF LIVES 5

  11. OUR EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES NANOTECHNOLOGY & DIGITAL FABRICATION ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE & ROBOTICS NETWORKS BIOTECHNOLOGY & COMPUTING SYSTEMS 6

  12. COMPUTING IS ACCELERATING TECHNOLOGY SPEED, EFFICIENCY, COST-EFFECTIVENESS, POWER Moore’s Law: Price performance doubles every 18 months. Applies to all information technology. Performance (Calc./second per $1000) 1015 1010 105 100 10-5 10-10 Electromechanical Relay Vacuum Tube Transistor Integrated Circuit 1900 ‘10 ‘20 ‘30 ‘40 ‘50 ‘60 ‘70 ‘80 ‘90 ‘2000 ‘08 ‘10 Time 7

  13. 4DS OF EXPONENTIALS DECEPTIVE TO DISRUPTIVE Disruptive Stress / Opportunity DIGITIZE DEMATERIALIZE DEMONETIZE DEMOCRATIZE 8

  14. ..., 0.0625, 0.1250, 0.5000, 1, ...

  15. 2000: First Human Genome at $3B

  16. ..., 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128

  17. 2014: Human Genome at $2K

  18. 2020: Human Genome at 2c?

  19. 1. Context

  20. William Gibson The future is already here. It is just not evenly distributed yet

  21. Acceleration

  22. Falò Coevolution flickr John Wilson

  23. Pyramids Dreams archer10

  24. Feudalism dicktay2000

  25. Industrial Age sludgeulper

  26. Infrastructure

  27. Superstructure Network Age jurvetson Jurvetson

  28. Restoring Wikipedia

  29. Augmenting Wikipedia

  30. Fine Grained Mapping

  31. Society changes and evolves Fractal How can you enhance the beauty of the world, allying yourself with others who want to do the same?

  32. Evolutionary Fitness

  33. Resilience

  34. Exponential