1 / 30

CLIMATE RISK: REVIEW OF PROGRESS IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

CLIMATE RISK: REVIEW OF PROGRESS IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY. L.A.OGALLO IGAD CLIMATE AND APPLICATIONS CENTRE (ICPAC) www.icpac.net Dept. of Met. University of Nairobi. KEY ISSUES Review of Progress of S & T issues in support of Climate risk reduction:

cheri
Download Presentation

CLIMATE RISK: REVIEW OF PROGRESS IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. CLIMATE RISK: REVIEW OF PROGRESS IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY L.A.OGALLO IGAD CLIMATE AND APPLICATIONS CENTRE (ICPAC)www.icpac.net Dept. of Met. University of Nairobi

  2. KEY ISSUES Review of Progress of S & T issues in support of Climate risk reduction: GLOBAL FRAMEWORK FOR CLIMATE SERVICES (GFCS): An international framework to guide the development of climate services (UN system /WMO and all): WCC-3 plus recent WMO documents • Challenges of developing countries

  3. Climate risks in developing countries • Economic losses as percent of GDP eg one cyclone 10% GDP lost; One flood 15% on national economy (GDP) - followed immediately with severe drought lasting five years wiping serving livelihoods left by floods ) • Roles of Non climate hazards: Need for integrated Disaster risk reduction • No sustainable development can be achieved within DRR

  4. Infrastructure and Industry

  5. SOCIO - ECONOMIC IMPACTS Agriculture & Food Security

  6. Knowledge of interactions at Global, Regional and Local level

  7. Research, S &T : Advance understanding / knowledge of Climate Risk • Hazards; Values at risks, Vulnerability vs capacity • Mapping at global, regional and local levers • Improved understanding of Causes and Linkages • New tools and methods egimpacts, vulnerability, adaptation • GIS • Experience from WMO regional centres

  8. Examples of Floods are followed by droughts in Greater Horn of Africa Need to understand extremes, predict and early warn Know the hazards well and the interactions

  9. Precipitation anomalies during El Niño in Winter

  10. Key progress areas • Observations (GCOS, GOOS, GTOS,GEOSS------) re-analysed data, and enhanced monitoring (space based technology) • Data recovery, Data base archiving, …and providing historical baseline references • Modeling and prediction • Early warning • Availability of regional / sector specific down scaled climate products • Dissemination and exchange of climate information and services

  11. Progress in Climate risk reduction • Networking and coordination (WMO system) • Capacity building • Linkages with users to reduce climate risks • Institutional framework: Global , regional National, and LOCAL climate services • Partnerships for pilot demonstrations • Climate change challenges vs DRR • Low Science and technological support to climate risk reduction

  12. GLOBAL FRAMEWORK FOR CLIMATE SERVICES (GFCS) -An international framework to guide the development of climate services (UN system /WMO and all) -Framework to link climate science, developments in S & T with all climate related risks (climate variability, change and DRR)

  13. Climate services including integrated Disaster risk reduction • (Three tie WMO system) • WMO Global Producing Centres for Long Range Forecasts • WMO Regional climate Centres of excellence • National Meteorological and hydrological services (NMHSs) • LOCAL COMMUNITY LEVEL not very clear left to regional climate centres

  14. Global Producing Centres for Long Range Forecasts

  15. 2M Temperature (MAM 2010) Operational activities for long-range forecasting Exeter Melbourne ECMWF Beijing Washington Moscow Seoul Toulouse Montreal

  16. Rainfall (MAM 2010) Beijing Melbourne Exeter ECMWF Toulouse Washington Montreal Moscow Seoul

  17. 10 ICPAC MEMBER COUNTRIES Sudan Eritrea Djibouti Ethiopia Somalia Uganda Kenya Rwanda Burundi Tanzania

  18. Translating prob. into rainfall anomalies RCOFs based Food Security outlooks FEWS/ NET; Most-likely scenario MAM 2010

  19. Regional Climate Outlook Forums SEECOF (Southeastern Europe) FOCRAII (Asia) CCOF (Caribbean) SASCOF (India) PRESAO (West Africa) FCCA (Central America) GHACOF (Greater Horn of Africa) PRESAC (Central Africa) PICOF (Pacific Islands) SARCOF (Southern Africa) WCSACOF (Western Coast of South America) SSACOF (Southeast of South America)

  20. Science and technology needs and Gaps • Observations and data recovery / archiving • Regional data base and data management • Modeling, prediction and early warning • Computing and related needs

  21. - Lack of integrated DRR and S $ T policies (No clear linkages / clear policy for integration with DRR and S & T innovations) - Knowing regional / local hazards (Quantification of hazards, vulnerability) - Human and technical capacity :Multi / Inter disciplinary

  22. Low investments in research, S & T • (Lack policy on Research, S & T largely sectors specific , driven by individuals) • Weak National /regional Institutions , with minimum network with universities, and community based systems that could be used to demonstrate good practices • Climate change challenges • scenarios projections

  23. Lack of capability to use the available S & T and climate information • Role of local/ Indigenous knowledge in DRR • Finance : Opportunities eg climate fund • Regional Collaborations / coordination and networks • Assessment of existing capacity • Enhance capacity of exiting institutions for multi disciplinary DDR approaches (eg The African regional centres)

  24. CONCLUSION • Role that S $ T can play has been demonstrated • Limitation of developing countries to take advantage of available S $ T in DRR • Regional Efforts: Ministerial conferences for MET and DRR; AUC workshop on the Global platform • Global DRR Platform provide a framework for ensuring S&T to DRR in developing countries. These should include support for local / regional research and capacity building together with S&T innovations for local solutions

  25. Thank you ALL

More Related