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TRIAL, ERROR AND THE GOD COMPLEX

TRIAL, ERROR AND THE GOD COMPLEX. BY TIM HARFORD Twitter: @timharford.

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TRIAL, ERROR AND THE GOD COMPLEX

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  1. TRIAL, ERROR AND THE GOD COMPLEX BY TIM HARFORDTwitter: @timharford

  2. “Let us take from the itinerants’ hospitals, from the camps or from elsewhere 200 or 500 poor people with fevers, pleurisy etc. and divide them in two: let us cast lots so that one half of them fall to me and the other half to you… and we shall see how many funerals each of us will have: the outcome of the contest shall be the reward of 300 florins deposited by each of us… Let words and quarrelling cease; let us act in friendship and from our shared experiences; let it be known hereafter which is the true method.” - Johannes Baptist Van Helmont, AD 1662

  3. Torgerson, Porthouse & Brooks 2003 9 randomised trials in adult literacy/numeracy 1980-2002 Vs. medicine, 75 trials / day published “Many…had methodological problems” Conclusion A: teaching works well vs no teaching! Computers might help. Conclusion B: we need many more trials

  4. An opportunity “I think there is a huge prize waiting to be claimed by teachers. By collecting better evidence about what works best… we can improve outcomes… and increase professional independence.” - Ben Goldacre, Building Evidence into education

  5. Twitter: @timharford

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