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James D. Doyle, Yi Jin, Hao Jin, Richard Hodur james.doyle@nrlmry.navy.mil

NRL Status Report NRL Diagnostics Team Summary. James D. Doyle, Yi Jin, Hao Jin, Richard Hodur james.doyle@nrlmry.navy.mil. Major Accomplishments Development of basic diagnostics software package Diagnosis of COAMPS-TC results for 2008 season

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James D. Doyle, Yi Jin, Hao Jin, Richard Hodur james.doyle@nrlmry.navy.mil

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  1. NRL Status Report NRL Diagnostics Team Summary James D. Doyle, Yi Jin, Hao Jin, Richard Hodur james.doyle@nrlmry.navy.mil • Major Accomplishments • Development of basic diagnostics software package • Diagnosis of COAMPS-TC results for 2008 season • Initial study of storm environmental variables and model intensity change • Development of real-time web page to display basic diagnostics for COAMPS-TC • http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/coamps-web/web/tc • Diagnosis of HFIP Demo project results • Identify systematic problems with the analysis, physics • Archival of 2009 result on DoD HPC for further diagnosis • Formulate next steps for FY10

  2. NRL Status Report for HFIP Diagnostics Software Development Total Precipitable Water Hurricane Hanna COAMPS 36 h fcst valid at 0000UTC 3 September (TPW shaded, SLP red, 200 hPa winds) AMSUE Diagnostics development to compare COAMPS-TC results with satellite derived products.

  3. NRL Status Report NRL 3 Year Diagnostics Plans • Track forecast diagnostics • Steering flow analysis, locations and strengths of troughs and ridges, large-scale momentum budgets, zonal and meridional shear • Intensity and structure verification • Vertical wind shear, eye formation parameters, vertical instability parameters, SST, oceanic heat content, ocean response • Diagnostics for convective scale • Analysis of vertical motion, hydrometeor concentrations, storm top structure (for comparison with satellite data), heating rates and profiles, eye-wall structure rapid intensity changes and related parameters • Diagnostics for ensemble and sensitivity analysis • Ensemble and adjoint-based analysis • Provide real-time basic diagnostics via web page • Shared development of TC diagnostics software

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