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Northwest Regional Office Risk Assessment

Northwest Regional Office Risk Assessment. Kim Kelly – NWRO GIS Specialist Gene Lonning – NWRO Fuels Specialist March 2009. Risk Assessments Scale & Purpose. National Risk Assessment Low Resolution – Budget Decisions Examples: EMDS and BIA National RA. Regional Risk Assessment

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Northwest Regional Office Risk Assessment

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  1. Northwest Regional OfficeRisk Assessment Kim Kelly – NWRO GIS Specialist Gene Lonning – NWRO Fuels Specialist March 2009

  2. Risk Assessments Scale & Purpose National Risk Assessment Low Resolution – Budget Decisions Examples: EMDS and BIA National RA Regional Risk Assessment Moderate Resolution - Budget Decisions Examples: Florida State RA, NWRO Regional RA Local Reservation Risk Assessment High Resolution - Project Level Fuels Planning Examples: Spokane, CSKT, Warm Springs, CDA

  3. Risk Assessment Inputs

  4. Risk Elements and Datasets

  5. Fire Hazard Values at Risk Flame Length All Fire Starts Fire Behavior/ Hazard Fire Regime Groups Silvis WUI Fire Probability Performance Values at Risk Large Fires > 100ac Rate of Spread FRCC Timber Value Crown Fire Activity PS Dryness Level Fire Probability Performance

  6. Risk Elements & Classification

  7. Fire Hazard • Fire Behavior Analysis • Landfire Data • Not Calibrated • Composite Output • Crown Fire, Surface Fire, • Flame Length • Extreme Fire Conditions • 20ft winds @ 25 mph • Fuel Moisture File • 1hr, 10hr, 100hr, LH, LW • 1 3 3 7 15 60 • 2 3 3 7 15 60 • 4 3 3 7 15 60 • 5 3 3 7 15 60 • 6 3 3 7 15 60 • 7 3 3 7 15 60 • 8 5 5 6 30 60 • 9 4 4 5 30 60 • 10 5 5 6 30 60 • 11 4 4 5 30 60 • 12 4 4 5 30 60 Fire Behavior Analysis Fire Behavior Acres

  8. Fire Hazard Map

  9. Fire Probability

  10. Fire Probability MapFire Occurrence

  11. Fire Probability MapLarge Fire + Predictive Services Dryness Levels

  12. Values at Risk – Forest Timber Types Forest Timber Type Map Forest Timber Types

  13. Values at Risk – Silvis WUI Silvis WUI Acres Silvis WUI Map

  14. Ecosystem Performance MapFire Regime Groups

  15. Ecosystem Performance MapFRCC

  16. Overall Risk Map

  17. Overall Risk Acres by Reservation

  18. NWR Pre-Assessment Ranking

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