1 / 13

Gergely Bölöni C-SRNWP: Coordination on Short Range Numerical Weather Prediction

EUMETNET C-SRNWP Programme : status and plans. Gergely Bölöni C-SRNWP: Coordination on Short Range Numerical Weather Prediction. Introduction. Coordination on short range NWP between 32 European meteorological institutions

aldis
Download Presentation

Gergely Bölöni C-SRNWP: Coordination on Short Range Numerical Weather Prediction

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. EUMETNET C-SRNWP Programme: status and plans Gergely Bölöni C-SRNWP: Coordination on Short Range Numerical Weather Prediction COSMO General Meeting 10-13 September2012

  2. Introduction • Coordinationonshortrange NWP between 32 European meteorologicalinstitutions • OMSZ is theactualCoordinatingMember (tillthe end of 2012) Main activities: • Representshort-range NWP needsinfornt of otherinstitutions/projects (e.g. ECMWF or EUMETNET observationprogrammes) • Enhancecooperationon NWP: shareresourcesinoperations and stimulatecompetitiononscientificdevelopment COSMO General Meeting 10-13 September2012

  3. Actual coordination activities 1) NWP requirementsregarding OPERA products • A relatedquestionnairewaspreparedby OPERA forNMSs 19 NMSsanswered • The main outcome is thatforSRNWP (assimilation) 3D volume (wind and reflectivity) dataarerequiredbyallNMSs (whicharereceivedatOdysseybutnotre-distributedatthemoment) with an appropriate QC flagging (rain, no-rain, cluttered, etc.) • Questionnaireoutcomestakeninto account whencomposingthe OPERA project requirementsforthenext EUMETNET phase (2013-2017) • ALADIN and HIRLAM providedproposalshowtospeedup and improvethevolumedatare-distribution (simpledata policy, nominatedtransmissioncentersineachconsortium, non-operationaldata service atthebeginning, recommendationthatNMSsincludewinddata and QC flagsasap, SRNWP prioritiesforthenext OPERA project) • Feedbackfrom OPERA: the NWP requirementswereuseful, recommendationsforincludingwinddata made by OPERA management through E-SAT (EUCOS ScientificAdvisory Team), SRNWP prioritiesnoticed COSMO General Meeting 10-13 September2012

  4. Actual coordination activities • 2) ECMWF/IFS EPS LBCsto drive highresolution LAM EPS • To drive futurehighresolution LAM EPS systems extra IFS EPS runsareanticipatedbythe SRNWP communityfrom ECMWF onthe top of thepresentlyoperational (higherresolution, 06 and 18 UTC runs) • ECMWF developed an „economicarchive” tostore EPS modellevelfieldsonly over Europe, North-Atlantic, North-Africa (coveringallanticipated European EPS domains) • The „economicarchive” (reduced Gaussian grid) wassuccesfully tested byinterested European consortia (relevantmodels: ALADIN/ALARO, AROME, COSMO, HIRLAM) • Agreementreached (EPS-DA workshop Bologna 2011) withinthe SRNWP ET abouttheparameters (resolution, EPS size, forecastrange) of future test runs • IFS EPS testsarerequestedfromECMWF: 2x2 weeks T1279 test periodsareto be run (periodstobeagreedsoon) COSMO General Meeting 10-13 September2012

  5. Actual coordination activities • 3) SRNWP surfacedatabase • (http://www.cosmo-model.org/srnwp/content/default.htm) • thanksto C. Heret and T. Andreadis • Data from Debrecen stationentered thedatabase • 5 newusers (Croatia, Germany, Hungary, Russia, Sweden) • 4) EWGLAM workshop (Helsinki, 8-11 October 2012) • http://en.ilmatieteenlaitos.fi/SRNWP2012/ (thanksto FMI, Carl Fortelius) • 65 participantsregistered • Check out theprogramme (almost finalized) • 5) High-resolution AMDAR profilesto be tested in SRNWP DA: • Highverticalresolutiondataprovidedby E-MADAR via GTS (17-18 May 2011) • BUFR test datasetprepared and distributedforthe SRNWP DA communityforprovidingreference (usualresolution) COSMO General Meeting 10-13 September2012

  6. Actual coordination activities • Announcementsentto SRNWP DA communitytorunsimpleassimilationtestsbasedonthese 2 daystoseewhether monitoring statistics / analysisincrementsareaffected • 6) BUFR radiosonddata: • Collectinfoabouttheassimilation of BUFR (slanted) radiosondprofiles (takinginto account lat, lon, timeinformation) • Feedbackto E-SAT • 7) AMDAR humidityOSEs over US: • AMDAR humidityprofilesavailable over US • Nearfuture: EUCOS willinvite SRNWP DA institutionstoinvestigatetheimpact of the AMDAR humidityprofiles over US using European SRNWP models / DA systems (dedicatedbudget) COSMO General Meeting 10-13 September2012

  7. Organizationalmatters (WARNING!) ExpertTeams • ExpertTeams (and theirchairs) are of keyimportancetocoordinatecross-consortiaissues! • Thereis no chair of theExpert Team forPhysicalParametrizations, Dynamics and System Aspects no candidateamong ET members  candidates/proposalswelcome • FromJanuary 2013onwards no chair of theET forSurfaceAspects (Jean-Francois Mahfoufwillstep down fromhischairposition) • SRNWP AC should be renamedas SRNWP Expert Team (accordingtothenewrules of EUMETNET)  proposal: composition and ToRremainsthesame, onlythename is to be changed COSMO General Meeting 10-13 September2012

  8. Roadmap documents 2011-2012 Climate Programme Observation Programme Forecasting Programme Next EUMTENET phase: NWP relatedchanges 2008-2012 Assembly STAC PFAC Obs. + Clim. Programmes + EUMETCAL EMMAC-SRNWP SRNWP-I SRNWP-V COSMO General Meeting 10-13 September2012

  9. Next EUMTENET phase: NWP relatedchanges 2013-2017 Assembly STAC PFAC Observation Programme Climate Programme Forecasting Programme EUMETCAL EMMA C-SRNWP EPS Nowcasting • Projects to be finished: SRNWP-I and SRNWP-V (end of 2012) • New anticipated projects: EPS, Nowcasting COSMO General Meeting 10-13 September2012

  10. Next EUMTENET phase: NWP relatedchanges • Jan-March2012: project requirementswerecomposedthe 3 NWP relatedprojects: C-SRNWP, EPS, Nowcasting a less pessimisticpictureaboutfuture EUMETNET projectsthanatlast EWGLAM • End of March 2012: STAC/PFAC approvedtheForecastingProgrammerequirements and sentitforapprovalto Assembly (May 2012)  thisimpliesthatthecontent of theC-SRNWP, EPS, Nowcastingprojectswerealsoapprovedby STAC/PFAC • Applicationsunderevaluationforallfutureprojects (including EPS, Nowcasting, C-SRNWP)  proposalto STAC/PFAC till mid September 2012 • STAC/PFAC proposesprojects and CoordinatingMembersbasedontheevaluationreports(October 2012) COSMO General Meeting 10-13 September2012

  11. Next EUMTENET phase: NWP related changes • Assembly decidesaboutthefutureprojects (November 2012) • Hand over existingprojects (January-June 2013) • Feelingsaboutthefuture(basedonfeedbacksfrom STAC/PFAC meetings): • The actual start of projectsrelatedtoforecasting/NWP (EPS, Nowcasting, C-SRNWP) willdependwhetherinterestedparticipatingmemberscanaffordthebudget (some of theimportantNMSsarenotinterestedintheseprojects) • the management structurewilldependonincomingbids COSMO General Meeting 10-13 September2012

  12. Next EUMTENET phase: NWP related changes Content of the anticipated NWP related projects: • EPS project: 1.5 year feasibility project with the main goal of preparing a solid EPS project for the period of 2014-2017 (review and harmonize NMS scientific strategies for high-res EPS, identify overlaps in plans, prepare plans for reducing costs) • Nowcasting activity: 1.5 year feasibility „activity” with the main goal of recuiting Nowcasting experts (create an ET) who prepare a solid Nowcasting project for 2014-2017 (identify exchangable knowladge, organize timely observation exchange, etc.) • C-SRNWP project: 5 year project coordinating SRNWP like since 2008 COSMO General Meeting 10-13 September2012

  13. How to improve C-SRNWP? My experience: • Scientific plans are driven at national or at conosrtia level (not at EUMETNET level) •  C-SRNWP is NOT for driving plans How to use best this coordination programme? • Identify subjects that are in the interest of (more or less) all NWP centers (consortia) in Europe • Then these interests gain an official status, which we might use to put forward common plans. • These interests then can be more efficiently represented in front of other EUMETNET programmes and other organizations outside EUMETNET • …? Further questions: • Which interests more we have in common? • What do you all think about the above statements/questions? COSMO General Meeting 10-13 September2012

More Related