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Do we need fine scale ocean prediction ?! ... and if so, do we have the right tools ?

Do we need fine scale ocean prediction ?! ... and if so, do we have the right tools ?. Lars-Anders Breivik OPNet Oslo, May 2011. Heading. Oil drift simulations using two different resolutions Red 4 km model Blue 1.5 km model 32 hour after accident At noon on Aug 1.

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Do we need fine scale ocean prediction ?! ... and if so, do we have the right tools ?

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  1. Do we need fine scale ocean prediction ?! ... and if so, do we have the right tools ? Lars-Anders Breivik OPNet Oslo, May 2011

  2. Heading Oil drift simulations using two different resolutions Red 4 km model Blue 1.5 km model 32 hour after accident At noon on Aug 1

  3. Oslofjord (300m) and Skag (1.5km). 18 Feb at 00:00

  4. Regional models and model areas ROMS 4 km: regional use ROMS Norkyst 800: Coastal applications Topaz: MyOcean Arctic Monitoring and Forecasting

  5. Shall be capable of utilizing available observations, in particular satellite data OSI SAF, Satellite derived SST (7 days accumulated) and ROMS 4 temperature

  6. NOAA19, channel 1,2,3. May 5, 2011

  7. met.no Sea Ice service analysis, may 5, 2011

  8. Satellite derived SST in the 9. May 2011

  9. High resolution model: Norkyst 800

  10. Eddy shedding in the model. Daily mean surface currents for May 3 - 8, 2010, in the ocean west of Lofoten

  11. Rely on high quality atmospheric forcing, Best possible NWP weather forecasts NWP, regional models, HIRLAM 8 and UM 1 km

  12. Future direction: Coupling of ocean forecast / wave forecast and weather forecast models to optimize the description of the fluxes in the boundary layer.

  13. Experience with coupling atmosphere - wave Average differences in fluxes of sensible heat 3 months of HIRLAM - WAM coupled / no coupled Cold air outbreak-> Rougher wind sea -> Increased heat flux Sætra and Køltzow (IPY results)

  14. Experience with coupling wave - ocean 1-year storm surge simulations • Control run with stress calculated from Large and Pond • Experiment using stresses from wave model • Verification against sea level observations From Sætra, Albretsen and Janssen 2007 (JPO)‏

  15. Information- and data- access for users Make information: snapshots and data easy available through modern web interface

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