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Do Sweat the Small Stuff !. Why Everyone Should Care About Nanotechnology. Mike Treder, Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology www.CRNano.org WorldFuture 2005 n Chicago n July 30, 2005. Where. What. How. Who. When. Why Everyone Should Care.

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do sweat the small stuff

Do Sweat the Small Stuff!

Why Everyone Should Care About Nanotechnology

Mike Treder, Executive Director

Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

www.CRNano.org

WorldFuture 2005 n Chicago n July 30, 2005

slide2

Where

What

How

Who

When

Why Everyone Should Care

About Nanotechnology

slide3

Where…

What…

How…

Why…

Who…

When…

About Nanotechnology

slide4

Where…

What…

How…

Why…

Who…

When…

slide5

You’re driving a car, very fast, on a poorly marked road, in the pitch-black darkness.

There are no streetlights, there is no moon out tonight, the only illumination you have is your car’s headlights. You’re in uncharted territory; you have no roadmap, no way to know for sure where you are going…but you’re driving very fast, into the pitch-black darkness…

slide6

That’s the state of nanotechnology today. We’re advancing rapidly into uncharted territory. The changes this technology will bring may arrive sooner than we are prepared to respond effectively to them. It’s like driving a car in the darkness with only your headlights to show what’s ahead. The speed you are driving exceeds your ability to react, and if something suddenly comes out of the darkness, you won’t have time to respond and avoid disaster.

slide7

One other thing: you don’t know it, but there is a chasm up ahead in the distance. You are driving directly toward it, very fast, and you don’t even know it’s there.

That’s where we are going with advanced nanotechnology.

slide8

Where…

What…

How…

Why…

Who…

When…

slide9

Where…

What…

How…

Why…

Who…

When…

slide11

What… is nanotechnology?

1) Nanoscale technology

Big machines making small products

2) Molecular manufacturing

Small machines making

big products

slide12

What… is nanotechnology?

  • 1) Nanoscale technology
  • Incremental advances
  • Familiar problems
  • 2) Molecular manufacturing
  • Revolutionary advances
  • Unfamiliar problems
slide13

Where…

What…

How…

Why…

Who…

When…

slide14

Where…

What…

How…

Why…

Who…

When…

slide16

How… will MM affect us?

Not just new products —

A new means of production!

slide17

How… will MM affect us?

  • faster, smaller, better
  • exponential proliferation
  • revolutionary products
  • vastly accelerated product improvement

Scaling laws

Factories that make factories

Bottom-up, atomically precise manufacturing

Cheap rapid prototyping

slide24

Where…

What…

How…

Why…

Who…

When…

slide25

Where…

What…

How…

Why…

Who…

When…

slide26

Why… is MM coming soon?

  • Five leading drivers:
    • Energy/Environment
    • Life Quality
      • Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals
    • Industrial Productivity
      • Info Tech & Manufacturing
    • Security/Surveillance/Privacy
    • Military/Geopolitics
slide27

Why… is MM coming soon?

  • Energy/Environment
    • Clean power
    • Smaller footprint
    • Remediation
    • Nano-litter
    • Planet-scale engineering
    • Albedo change
slide28

Why… is MM coming soon?

  • Life Quality
    • Conquer diseases
    • Increase healthspans
    • Improve mental wellness
    • Overpopulation
    • Psychotropic drug abuse
slide29

Why… is MM coming soon?

  • Industrial Productivity
    • Supercomputing
    • Low-cost manufacturing
    • Rapid product improvement
    • Economic disruption / social chaos
    • Monopolies / black markets
slide30

Why… is MM coming soon?

  • Security/Surveillance/Privacy
    • Counterterrorism
    • Crime fighting & prevention
    • Intrusive surveillance
    • Stolen intellectual property
    • Identity theft
slide31

Why… is MM coming soon?

  • Military/Geopolitics
    • Nano arms race

- Easy to build

- Hard to monitor

- Easy to deliver

- Obsolete almost immediately

- Programmable and controllable

  • Rapidly shifting balance of power
slide32

Where…

What…

How…

Why…

Who…

When…

slide33

Where…

What…

How…

Why…

Who…

When…

slide34

Who… should start preparing?

  • All Stakeholders!

Business & Trade

Medical Ethics & Research

Policing & Criminology

Surveillance & Privacy

Social Justice

Intellectual Property

Sustainable Development

Information Technology

Arms Control & Geopolitics

Ecological Remediation

slide35

Where…

What…

How…

Why…

Who…

When…

slide36

Where…

What…

How…

Why…

Who…

When…

slide37

2030

2025

2020

2015

2010

When… will MM be developed?

?

slide38

Battelle – Foresight Roadmap Initiative

Technology Roadmap for Productive Nanosystems

Brookhaven National Laboratory

National Renewable Energy Laboratory

Oak Ridge National Laboratory

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

Idaho National Laboratory

When?

We may know the answer soon…

slide39

CRN Policy and Implications Task Force

For Advanced Nanotechnology

  • Study implications
  • Evaluate policy options
  • Consider all stakeholders
  • Seek integrated, comprehensive solutions
  • Publish recommendations
  • Promote proposals with relevant groups
slide41

WE

ALL must

start working

onwise solutions!

Before molecular manufacturing starts working...

for more information

For more information:

www.CRNano.org

Mike Treder — Executive Director

Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

mtreder@CRNano.org