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HIGHLIGHTS OF KEY EMPIRICAL FINDINGS FROM SURVEY AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS

HIGHLIGHTS OF KEY EMPIRICAL FINDINGS FROM SURVEY AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS. Project “Improving the competitiveness of pig producers in an adjusting Vietnam market”. 0. CONTENT. General information. 1. 1. 1. Pork consumer taste : opportunities and threats for small & medium producers. 2.

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HIGHLIGHTS OF KEY EMPIRICAL FINDINGS FROM SURVEY AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS

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  1. HIGHLIGHTS OF KEY EMPIRICAL FINDINGS FROM SURVEY AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS Project “Improving the competitiveness of pig producers in an adjusting Vietnam market” 0

  2. CONTENT General information 1 1 1 Pork consumer taste : opportunities and threats for small & medium producers 2 Pig production role and efficiency 3 Distribution channel 4 Conclusion 5 General information General information

  3. Phu Tho Hanoi, ha tay Sampling based on Vietnam Household Living Standard data Nghe An Daklak HCMC, Dong Nai, Tien Giang 2 Source: Consumer survey conducted by CAP & ILRI 2007, 2008

  4. General information 1 Pork consumer taste : opportunities and threats for small & medium producers 2 Pig production role and efficiency 3 Distribution channel 4 Conclusion 5

  5. Pork is the most consumed, accounts for 24% - 50% of volume of meat consumed per month, an equivalent of 30% - 40% of the total meat expenditure per month per household Meat expenditure per month1000 vnd/person/month Volume of meat consumer per monthkg/person/month Source: CAP-ILRI survey, 2008 4

  6. MEAT EXPENDITURE BY QUINTILLE OF HH LIVING STANDARD (1000 vnd/person/month) Rural Urban Source: CAP-ILRI survey, 2008 5

  7. Urban , 100%=131000 VND Rural , 100%=82000 VND % Processed pork % Fresh pork % Chilled pork Fresh pork represents the largest share in total meat expenditure, followed by processed meat. Chilled meat is nearly unconsumed in rural areas • The higher income is, the larger process and chilled meat are consumed in both urban and rural areas • Processed and chilled meat are more consumed in urban area than in rural one. 6 Source: Consumer survey conducted by CAP & ILRI 2007, 2008

  8. Mobile street vendor Permanent market 65.1% 1.4% Fresh pork market outlet Meat retailer of branded meat 2% 2.5% Supermarket 30.7% Temporary market Source: calculation from CAP-ILRI survey, 2008

  9. PRINCIPAL MARKET OUTLET FOR FRESH PORK Source: CAP-ILRI survey, 2008

  10. 40.55% PORK MEAT CONSUMER’S BEHAVIOR FACE TO PIG DISEASE 31.45% 11% Pig disease 4.47% DO NOT CHANGE Source: calculation from CAP-ILRI survey, 2008 9

  11. General information 1 Pork consumer taste : opportunities and threats for small & medium producers 2 Pig production role and efficiency 3 Distribution channel 4 Conclusion 5

  12. Classification of production system and scales Pig production system Farrow to wean (FW- system 1) (25.5%) Farrow to finish (FF- system 2) (30.9%) Grow to finish (GF- system 3) (43.6%) • Have sow(s) • Sell piglets • Have sow(s) • Sell slaughter pigs • Do not have sow • Sell slaughter pigs Small scale: 1sow (67%) Medium scale: 2-3sows (29%) Large scale: >3sows (4%) Small scale: 1sow (53%) Medium scale: 2-3sows (36%) Large scale: >3sows (11%) Small scale: 1-15 slaughter pigs (64%) Medium scale: 16-40 slaughter pigs (25%) Large scale: >40 slaughter pigs (11%) 11

  13. Unit: % System of production by province 12 Source: Producer survey conducted by CAP & ILRI 2008

  14. Share of livestock production in total income (%) Share of pig production in total livestock revenue 13 Source: Producer survey conducted by CAP & ILRI 2008

  15. THE ROLE OF SMALL & MEDIUM PRODUCERS IN PIG PRODUCTION IN VIETNAM Where ???? IMPORT OR SMALL & MEDIUM PRODUCTION ??? *MARD strategy 14 Source: Livestock development strategy vision 2020- MARD

  16. PRICE,COST AND BENEFIT PER KG OF OUTPUT Gross margin/kg Total variable cost Gross margin per kg weight gain is highest in medium and large scale of Farrow to wean system Feed is the principal production cost (account for averagely 90%, 94% and 65% in the total variable production cost of farrow to wean, farrow to finish and grow to finish system respectively) The higher the scale is, the higher the purchased feed cost is 15 Source: Producer survey conducted by CAP & ILRI 2008

  17. Economic efficiency by production system and scale *: Total income was calculate based on VHLSS 2006 **: statistically significant at 5% 16 Source: Producer survey conducted by CAP & ILRI 2008

  18. Constraints in use of feeds % 17 Source: Producer survey conducted by CAP & ILRI 2008

  19. Constraints in using of breed Source: Producer survey conducted by CAP & ILRI 2008

  20. Constraints in use of services

  21. General information 1 Pork consumer taste : opportunities and threats for small & medium producers 2 Pig production role and efficiency 3 Distribution channel 4 Conclusion 5

  22. Small & medium producers have to buy feed at higher price (11%) and have to sell output at lower price (8%) compared to larger ones. PRICE Big Trader LARGE PRODUCER 30% Feed agent level 2 70% 86.76% 13.24% + 8% SMALL & MEDIUM PRODUCER 8% + 11 % Small trader/ collector 95.75% Feed agent level 1 2.21% 92% Small & medium producers:Double disadvantages Source: Producer survey conducted by CAP & ILRI 2008

  23. General information 1 Pork consumer taste : opportunities and threats for small & medium producers 2 Pig production role and efficiency 3 Distribution channel 4 Conclusion 5

  24. Small and Medium pig production: challenges and opportunities • Opportunities for small and medium pig producers: • Pork demand tends to increase when income increases • Comsumers’s taste still fresh pork mainly (>90% households in the survey) • Consumers’ habit is still buying in wet markets (95% households in the survey) • Small and medium scale have some competitive advantages: • Using residuals of cultivation • Economic efficiency per kilogram weight gain is quite high • Small and medium scale will still play an important role in future • Pig production is one of the most important income source of the households • Small and medium scale production is one of the most important pig suppliers in future

  25. Small and Medium pig production: challenges and opportunities • Challenges forsmall and medium pig producers:: • Buying pig in supermarket and branded meat retailers tends to increase when income increases, especially it is the solution of consumers when diseases break out • Production cost is still high, in which share of feed cost is highest (90% for HH have sows and 65% for HH not have sow) • Feed price increases fast • Small and medium producers usually have to buy feed at higher price than large ones (11 %) • Access difficultly high quality piglet sources (30% households in the survey ) • Small and medium producers usually have to sell output at lower price than large ones (8%)

  26. Implication Distribution channels: From government: support Small and Medium households to access distribution channels of inputs and output effectively; From Small and Medium households: join cooperatives. Production: Farrow to finish is likely to be the most efficient system; Local breed sow is likely to be the most suitable breed; Combination feed pattern is likely to be the most effective.

  27. THANK YOU FOR PAY ATTENTION 26

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