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Designing Landscapes for Sustainable Bird Populations

Designing Landscapes for Sustainable Bird Populations. Structured Decision Making Workshop Atlantic Coast Joint Venture. Presentation Outline. Strategic habitat conservation? Project Goals Vision for the final products Process – structured decision making Decision support tool roadmap

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Designing Landscapes for Sustainable Bird Populations

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  1. Designing Landscapes for Sustainable Bird Populations Structured Decision Making Workshop Atlantic Coast Joint Venture

  2. Presentation Outline • Strategic habitat conservation? • Project Goals • Vision for the final products • Process – structured decision making • Decision support tool roadmap • Defining and dividing the problem • Priority birds • Objectives – bird habitat conservation • Alternatives – selecting focal (surrogate) species • Consequences of the selection • Landscape characteristics • Objectives • Mapping priorities

  3. Applied Research Strategic Habitat Conservation (SHC)

  4. Strategic Habitat Conservation? • Biological planning • Ecological context (Threats and limiting factors) • Selecting surrogate bird species (SDM) • Population objectives – SAMBI Plan • Species-habitat relationships – Jaime, Steve, Matt • Conservation Design • Habitat required to meet the population objectives - ??? • Desired landscape configuration (SDM) • Decision support tool • Where will we get the best response from conservation?

  5. LMV JV decision support tool • One focal habitat – bottomland hardwood forests • Landscape dominated by agriculture • Goal: target populations of surrogate forest bird species • Primary means • Reforestation

  6. Similar projects EGCP JV open pine decision tool • One focal habitat • Complex landscape • Goal: target populations of surrogate open pine bird species • Primary means: • Longleaf restoration • Improved management of existing habitat • Habitat acquisition

  7. Vision for the final product(s) • Multiple habitats • Complex, dynamic landscape • Urban growth • Climate change • Goal: target populations of many surrogate bird species • Product(s) • Map of highest priority areas for each habitat type

  8. How do we get there? • Structured Decision Making • Process for making smart choices • References • Gregory, R.S., and R.L. Keeney. 2002. Making smarter environmental decisions. Journal American Water Resources Association. 38(6):1601-1612 • Hammond, J.S., R. L. Keeney, and H. Raiffa. Smart choices: A practical guide to making better decisions, by Harvard Business School Press, Boston, Massachusetts, 1999.

  9. Introduction to SDM Important decisions are made in any action or policy Smart decisions are fundamental to success Tools available to professionals: Economics Psychology Statistics Biology and ecology Project management Ignore basic principles of sound decision making Not just an “art”

  10. Five core elements - PrOACT Problem – Solve the right problem Objectives – Describe the desired outcomes Alternatives – Consider any reasonable actions that achieve the outcomes Consequences – Describe how well alternatives meet objectives Tradeoffs – Evaluate consequences of each alternative Core of structured decision making (Hammond et al., 1999).

  11. Three additional elements - URL • Uncertainty • Understand the limits of the data and models • Risk Tolerance • Low tolerance ~ grave consequences • High tolerance ~ less serious consequences • Linked Decisions • Do choices made today influence choices to make tomorrow? • More advanced concepts

  12. Reasons for SDM process Group psychology encourages conformity Results in erroneous choices Fail to address individuals’ priorities Don’t explore minority views Real decisions left to someone else Managers provide “competent options” Dealing with complexity -> administrators Neglects importance of individual decision making Overlooks diversity of approaches/perspectives

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