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COMAP Lab SREF Applications

COMAP Lab SREF Applications. COMAP 18 June 2007 Boulder, CO. Lab Introduction SREF Applications. Day Shift Forecast Exercise EXERCISE: 1. Create Day 1 Outlooks for: Fire Weather and Winter Weather Create Day 1 and Day 2 Outlooks for: Severe Convective Weather

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COMAP Lab SREF Applications

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  1. COMAP Lab SREF Applications COMAP 18 June 2007 Boulder, CO

  2. Lab IntroductionSREF Applications • Day Shift Forecast Exercise • EXERCISE: • 1. Create Day 1 Outlooks for: Fire Weather and Winter Weather • Create Day 1 and Day 2 Outlooks for: Severe Convective Weather • Assess threat confidence using the qualifiers: low, medium, high • DATA: • Observational data available: • 12 UTC Upper Air Charts (handouts) • 12 and 15 UTC Surface Maps (handouts) • Model data available: • 09 UTC SREF (online…URL below) • http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/frames.php?run=case_comap

  3. Day 1 Severe Outlook Valid: 12 UTC to 12 UTC Day 1 Hail Wind Torn

  4. Day 2 Severe Outlook Valid: 12 UTC to 12 UTC Day 2 (Tomorrow)

  5. Day 2 Fire Outlook Valid: 12 UTC to 12 UTC Day 1 (Today)

  6. Lab SummarySREF Applications

  7. Lab Summary Forecast Start:09 UTC 1 January 2006 To view the case with dates included: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/frames.php?run=case_comap_nomask The big weather event on Day 1, Sunday 1 January 2006: Fires in New Mexico, Texas, and Oklahoma

  8. Lab Summary

  9. Lab Summary

  10. Lab Summary Sea Level Pressure and Surface Wind Analysis Valid 21 UTC 1 January 2006

  11. Lab Summary SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Valid 12 UTC 1 Jan – 12 UTC 2 Jan http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/2006/060101.html

  12. Lab Summary Convective Weather

  13. Lab Summary Lightning Activity (Day 1) Valid 12 UTC 1 Jan – 00 UTC 2 Jan Lightning Activity (Day 1) Valid 00 UTC 2 Jan – 12 UTC 2 Jan

  14. Lab Summary Most Unstable CAPE (MUCAPE) Valid 06 UTC 2 January 2006

  15. Lab Summary Severe Convective Weather Reports (Day 1) Valid 12 UTC 1 Jan – 12 UTC 2 Jan www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/060101_rpts.html

  16. Lab Summary Lightning Activity (Day 2) Valid 12 UTC 2 Jan – 00 UTC 3 Jan Lightning Activity (Day 2) Valid 00 UTC 3 Jan – 12 UTC 3 Jan

  17. Lab Summary Significant Tornado Parameter (STP) Valid 18 UTC 2 January 2006

  18. Lab Summary Significant Tornado Parameter (STP) Valid 23 UTC 2 January 2006

  19. Lab Summary Central Kentucky, ~18 UTC 2 Jan 2006 (Up to F2 damage in Kentucky) Central Georgia, ~23 UTC 2 Jan 2006 (Up to F3 damage in Georgia)

  20. Lab Summary 6 injuries in GA TOR Severe Convective Weather Reports (Day 2) Valid 12 UTC 2 Jan – 12 UTC 3 Jan www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/060102_rpts.html

  21. Lab Summary Operational forecasts issued by the SPC on the morning of 1 January 2006: SPC Outlook (Day 1 issued 1630 UTC): http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2006/day1otlk_20060101_1630.html SPC Outlook (Day 2 issued 1730 UTC): http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2006/day2otlk_20060101_1730.html

  22. Lab Summary Winter Weather

  23. Lab Summary Liquid equivalent of 24h snow ending 06 UTC 2 January 2006 Snow Reports: http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/nsa/reports.html?region=National&var=snowfall&dy=2006&dm=1&dd=2&units=e&sort=value

  24. Lab Summary SPC Short-Term Mesoscale Discussion for Winter Weather VALID: 1255Z – 1630Z 1 January 2006 More info: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2006/md0001.html

  25. Lab Summary SPC Short-Term Mesoscale Discussion for Winter Weather VALID: 1802Z – 2230Z 1 January 2006 More info: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2006/md0002.html

  26. Lab Summary SPC Short-Term Mesoscale Discussion for Winter Weather VALID: 0038Z – 0445Z 2 January 2006 More info: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2006/md0004.html

  27. Lab Summary SPC Short-Term Mesoscale Discussion for Winter Weather VALID: 0121Z – 0615Z 2 January 2006 More info: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2006/md0005.html

  28. Lab Summary Additional Information for the Lab Archived SPC Meso-Analyses: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/ma_archive/ Archived SPC Forecasts: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/archive/ USDA Weekly and Crop Bulletin: http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/usda/waob/weather_weekly//2000s/2006/weather_weekly-01-10-2006.pdf FEMA Reports: http://www.fema.gov/emergency/reports/2006/janarch06.shtm

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