The demographic outlook for higher education and health care
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The Demographic Outlook for Higher Education and Health Care. Jeff Tayman, Ph.D. Lecturer, Dept. of Economics UCSD 858-581-6710 [email protected] Aims of Presentation. Review changing demographic landscape Foresee implications of these changes Identify challenges in store.

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The Demographic Outlook for Higher Education and Health Care

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The demographic outlook for higher education and health care

The Demographic Outlook for Higher Education and Health Care

Jeff Tayman, Ph.D.

Lecturer, Dept. of Economics

UCSD

858-581-6710

[email protected]


Aims of presentation

Aims of Presentation

  • Review changing demographic landscape

  • Foresee implications of these changes

  • Identify challenges in store


Future demographic truths

Future Demographic Truths

  • More newcomers seeking a better future

  • An aging population

  • Increasing ethnic diversity

  • A stubbornly persistent digital divide


The demographic outlook for higher education and health care

Determinants of U.S. Population


The demographic outlook for higher education and health care

* 2007 to 2010 Estimated


Immigrants concentrate geographically

Immigrants Concentrate Geographically

Foreign Born Population, 2000

NY

12 %

IL

5 %

CA

28 %

NJ

5 %

FL

9 %

TX

9 %


An aging population

An Aging Population


Baby boomers move into retirement years

Baby Boomers Move into Retirement Years

Males

Females

Females

Males

Male

Female

2000

2030


Increasing ethnic diversity

Increasing Ethnic Diversity


The demographic outlook for higher education and health care

Ethnicity and Age Interaction


The demographic outlook for higher education and health care

A Lingering Digital Divide


Digital have s and have not s

Digital “Have’s” and “Have Not’s”

  • Digital literacy” is now essential

  • Exposure to computers & Internet remains uneven

    • At home: Economic limits

    • In schools: Hardware/connectivity limits

  • Colleges can play pivotal role in bridging the digital divide


The widening gap in internet use

The Widening Gap in Internet Use

Percent using Internet

60

NH White

25point gap

40

17point gap

Hispanic

20

0

1998

2003

Source: A Nation Online: How Americans Are Expanding Their Use of the Internet (2002).


The widening gap in internet use1

The Widening Gap in Internet Use

Percent using Internet

60

NH White

25point gap

40

19point gap

20

Black

0

1998

2003

Source: A Nation Online: How Americans Are Expanding Their Use of the Internet (2002).

.


The demographic outlook for higher education and health care

Postsecondary Enrollment Dynamics


Other enrollment factors

Other Enrollment Factors


New immigrants span extremes on education

New Immigrants Span Extremes on Education

100

Graduate/professional degree

8%

11%

16%

College graduate

80

19%

Percent ofpersons ages 25+

60

High school/some college

36%

61%

40

20

34%

Less than high school

16%

0

U.S.-born

Immigrants(post 1990)


Other health care factors

Other Health Care Factors


Diverse health risks nh whites

Diverse Health Risks: NH Whites

  • Increased risk of breast cancer

  • Higher incidence of melanoma

  • Higher risk of osteoporosis


Diverse health risks blacks

Diverse Health Risks: Blacks

  • High blood pressure

  • Higher incidents of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and sickle cell anemia

  • Glaucoma leading cause of blindness

  • Higher death rate from breast cancer

  • Higher likelihood of prostate cancer


Diverse health risks asians

Diverse Health Risks: Asians

  • Higher incidence of cervical, stomach, and liver cancer

  • Higher rates of coronary heart disease

  • Higher risk of osteoporosis

  • Many lactose intolerant


Diverse health risks hispanics

Diverse Health Risks: Hispanics

  • Higher incidence of diabetes

  • Increased risk of hypertension

  • High incidence of cervical cancer


Summary

Summary

  • Deliver effective services to a rising and diverse clientele

  • Manage a maturing work force

  • Meet emerging needs in an information driven economy

  • Find adequate resources


The demographic outlook for higher education and health care1

The Demographic Outlook for Higher Education and Health Care

Jeff Tayman, Ph.D.

Lecturer, Dept. of Economics

UCSD

858-581-6710

[email protected]


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