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The Demographic Outlook for Higher Education and Health Care. Jeff Tayman, Ph.D. Lecturer, Dept. of Economics UCSD 858-581-6710 [email protected] Aims of Presentation. Review changing demographic landscape Foresee implications of these changes Identify challenges in store.

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The demographic outlook for higher education and health care
The Demographic Outlook for Higher Education and Health Care

Jeff Tayman, Ph.D.

Lecturer, Dept. of Economics

UCSD

858-581-6710

[email protected]


Aims of presentation
Aims of Presentation

  • Review changing demographic landscape

  • Foresee implications of these changes

  • Identify challenges in store


Future demographic truths
Future Demographic Truths

  • More newcomers seeking a better future

  • An aging population

  • Increasing ethnic diversity

  • A stubbornly persistent digital divide




Immigrants concentrate geographically
Immigrants Concentrate Geographically

Foreign Born Population, 2000

NY

12 %

IL

5 %

CA

28 %

NJ

5 %

FL

9 %

TX

9 %



Baby boomers move into retirement years
Baby Boomers Move into Retirement Years

Males

Females

Females

Males

Male

Female

2000

2030





Digital have s and have not s
Digital “Have’s” and “Have Not’s”

  • Digital literacy” is now essential

  • Exposure to computers & Internet remains uneven

    • At home: Economic limits

    • In schools: Hardware/connectivity limits

  • Colleges can play pivotal role in bridging the digital divide


The widening gap in internet use
The Widening Gap in Internet Use

Percent using Internet

60

NH White

25point gap

40

17point gap

Hispanic

20

0

1998

2003

Source: A Nation Online: How Americans Are Expanding Their Use of the Internet (2002).


The widening gap in internet use1
The Widening Gap in Internet Use

Percent using Internet

60

NH White

25point gap

40

19point gap

20

Black

0

1998

2003

Source: A Nation Online: How Americans Are Expanding Their Use of the Internet (2002).

.




New immigrants span extremes on education
New Immigrants Span Extremes on Education

100

Graduate/professional degree

8%

11%

16%

College graduate

80

19%

Percent ofpersons ages 25+

60

High school/some college

36%

61%

40

20

34%

Less than high school

16%

0

U.S.-born

Immigrants(post 1990)



Diverse health risks nh whites
Diverse Health Risks: NH Whites

  • Increased risk of breast cancer

  • Higher incidence of melanoma

  • Higher risk of osteoporosis


Diverse health risks blacks
Diverse Health Risks: Blacks

  • High blood pressure

  • Higher incidents of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and sickle cell anemia

  • Glaucoma leading cause of blindness

  • Higher death rate from breast cancer

  • Higher likelihood of prostate cancer


Diverse health risks asians
Diverse Health Risks: Asians

  • Higher incidence of cervical, stomach, and liver cancer

  • Higher rates of coronary heart disease

  • Higher risk of osteoporosis

  • Many lactose intolerant


Diverse health risks hispanics
Diverse Health Risks: Hispanics

  • Higher incidence of diabetes

  • Increased risk of hypertension

  • High incidence of cervical cancer


Summary
Summary

  • Deliver effective services to a rising and diverse clientele

  • Manage a maturing work force

  • Meet emerging needs in an information driven economy

  • Find adequate resources


The demographic outlook for higher education and health care1
The Demographic Outlook for Higher Education and Health Care

Jeff Tayman, Ph.D.

Lecturer, Dept. of Economics

UCSD

858-581-6710

[email protected]


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