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Estimasi AKB dengan metode Trussell

Estimasi AKB dengan metode Trussell.

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Estimasi AKB dengan metode Trussell

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  1. Estimasi AKB dengan metode Trussell • Asumsi: period mortality changes can be modeled as movements through successively higher (or lower) levels of a set of model life tables, so that cohort life tables may be obtained by chaining together the mortality rates experienced by true cohorts living through the different periods.

  2. Data yang dibutuhkan • Jumlah ALH • Jumlah AMH • Jumlah perempuan usia 15-49 tahun menurut kelompok umur lima tahunan

  3. Prosedur perhitungan • Hitung rata-rata paritas perempuan P(i). P(i) = ALH(i)/Pf(i) • Hitung proporsi anak meninggal D(i). D(i) = CD(i)/ALH(i) • Hitung pengali k(i). k(i) = a(i) + b(i) (P(1)/P(2)) + c(i) (P(2)/P(3)) • Hitung probabilitas meninggal q(x). q(x) = k(i) D(i) • Hitung periode acuan t(x). t(x) = a(i) + b(i) (P(1)/P(2)) + c(i) (P(2)/P(3))

  4. Contoh: Perhitungan AKB Jawa Barat menurut SP 1971 dengan metode Trussell

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