1 / 20

Motivation

The Ukrainian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey Alexander Muravyev May 29, 2009 IDSC Scientific Advisory Board Meeting, Bonn. Motivation.

lacy
Download Presentation

Motivation

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. The Ukrainian Longitudinal Monitoring SurveyAlexander MuravyevMay 29, 2009IDSC Scientific Advisory Board Meeting, Bonn

  2. Motivation • The Ukrainian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey (ULMS), started in 2003, is a household panel, and was established to monitor the Ukraine’s path of transition from Communism to a market-oriented social democracy. It is arguably the richest data set regarding labor market issues in the Commonwealth of Independent States, which embraces most of the former Soviet Union countries.

  3. Why Ukraine? I. One more data point (an extra country with detailed labor force data). No high quality individual-level data from Ukraine have been available to researchers before the launch of the ULMS. II. With a population of 47 million people and a common border with the European Union, Ukraine renders noticeable impact on its EU neighbors (e.g., in migration and energy issues). III. Ukraine is a country with tremendous variation in key economic and social variables across space (e.g, in industrial structure, along ethnic and linguistic lines) and over time (output collapse and recovery, employment dynamics, change in firm ownership, etc.).

  4. The Russian-Ukrainian linguistic divide

  5. Why Ukraine? (contd.) IV. Data from Ukraine may offer the researcher the conditions of natural experiments: key economic and social structures were inherited from the period of central planning when they were determined by the government rather than market forces. Examples include the size distribution of firms, local concentration of human capital, firm ownership, etc.

  6. Basic characteristics of the ULMS • Household-based survey. • Statistically representative sample of the Ukrainian population aged between 15 and 72. For the first wave in 2003 the sample was drawn from the December 2001 Ukrainian Census and stratified by age, gender, city/town, and regional structure. • Panel data set, with three waves of data collected in 2003, 2004, and 2007. • The data of the first wave consist of more than 8600 respondents, comparable to the initial samples of the American Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID), German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), the British Household Panel Studs (BHPS) and the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey (RLMS). • Complete labor market history from Dec. 1997 to reference week in 2007. • Retrospective data on respondents’ labor market participation in 1986 and 1991. • Two questionnaires: household and individual. • The field work is done by the leading Ukrainian sociological institute, the Kiev International Institute of Sociology.

  7. The structure of the ULMS-2003 I. Household Questionnaire: • Structure of household • Housing Conditions • Household Assets, Income and Expenditures II. Individual Questionnaire: • Individual characteristics • Main jobs in 1986, 1991, 1997-2003 • Non-employment in 1986, 1991, 1997-2003 • Main job and second jobs in the reference week • Unemployment and job seeking in the reference week • Education and skills • Changes of residence in 1986-2003 • Attitudes, health, and ecology • Life history chart

  8. The retrospective section of the ULMS-2003 The ULMS-2003 contains a large set of retrospective questions tracing individuals’ work history from 1986:

  9. The structure of the ULMS-2004 I. Household Questionnaire: • Structure of household • Housing Conditions • Household Assets, Income and Expenditures • Products purchases, production and consumption • Non-food expenditures II. Individual Questionnaire: • Individual characteristics • Main jobs in 2003-2004 • Non-employment in 2003-2004 • Main job and second jobs in the reference week • Unemployment and job seeking in the reference week • Education and skills • Changes of residence in 2003-2004 • Attitudes, health, and ecology • Life history chart

  10. The structure of the ULMS-2007 I. Household Questionnaire: • Structure of Household • Housing Conditions and Household Assets • Land Use and Home Production • Household Income • Household Expenditures • Saving and Borrowing • Transfers and Remittances II. Individual Questionnaire: • Individual characteristics of household member • Main jobs in 2004-2007 • Non-employment in 2004-2007 • Main job and secondary jobs in the reference week • Unemployment and job seeking in the reference week • Education and skills • Changes of residence • Attitudes, expectations, health, ecology and the 2004 presidential elections • Section for women only: maternity history

  11. Major new features of the ULMS-2007 I. New sections and sets of questions in the Individual Questionnaire designed by researchers connected to IZA, i.e. Constant, Dohmen, Falk, Kahanec, Lehmann and Zimmermann: • Questions on ethnicity of jobs and production; • Questions on informal vs. formal employment • Questions on risk behavior; • Questions on time preferences of respondents; • Questions on “Orange Revolution”.

  12. The 2004 elections in Ukraine: results

  13. Major new features of the ULMS-2007 (contd.) II. A detailed household roster, much more detailed sections on expenditure and income patterns of households as well as a new section on transfers and remittances that were developed by Brück (DIW and IZA), Muravyev (IZA), and Danzer and Weisshaar (Royal Holloway and IZA). III. The 2007 wave allows a sound welfare analysis at the household level as well as linking poverty and labor market history of individuals and households in a transition country in a unique fashion.

  14. The ULMS 2003-2004-2007 panel Number of individual observations in each wave: 2003: 8641 obs 2004: 7201 obs 2007: 6774 obs People leave the survey not only because of refusals to participate, changing places of residence, etc., but also because of old age (people aged 73 and more are not interviewed).

  15. The ULMS 2003-2004-2007 panel Distribution of respondents across waves: 2003-2004-2007 5091 resp. 2003-2004 1868 resp. 2003-2007 479 resp. 2003 1203 resp. 2004-2007 184 resp. 2004 58 resp. 2007 1020 resp. Total: 9903 resp. A complete labor market history from December 1997 to reference week in 2007 is available for about 5100 individuals.

  16. Studies based on the ULMS Published papers: • “Returns to Schooling in Russia and Ukraine: A Semiparametric Approach to Cross-Country Comparative Analysis” by Y. Gorodnichenko and K.P. Sabirianova (2005), in JCE; • “Public Sector Pay and Corruption: Measuring Bribery from Micro Data” by Y. Gorodnichenko and K.P. Sabirianova (2007), in JPE; • “Determinants of Unemployment Duration in Ukraine” by O. Kupets (2006) in JCE; • “The Incidence and Cost of Job Loss in the Ukrainian Labor Market” by H. Lehmann, N. Pignatti, J. Wadsworth (2006), in JCE; • Institutions, Markets and Men’s and Women’s Wage Inequality: Evidence from Ukraine” by I.Ganguli and K. Terrell (2006), in JCE; • “Wages, layoffs, and privatization: Evidence from Ukraine” by J. Earle, D. Brown, and V. Vakhitov (2006), in JCE. • “Utility Payments in Ukraine: Affordability, Subsidies and Arrears” by S. Fankhauser, Y. Rodionova, E. Falcetti (2008), in Energy Policy.

  17. Studies based on the ULMS Major working papers: • “Wage Ceilings and Floors: The Gender Gap in Ukraine’s Transition” by I.Ganguli and K. Terrell (2005); • “The Russian-Ukrainian Political Divide” by E. Constant, M. Kahanec and K.F. Zimmermann (2006); • “The Russian-Ukrainian Earnings Divide” by E. Constant, M. Kahanec and K.F. Zimmermann (2006); • “Informal Employment and Labor Market Segmentation: Evidence from Ukraine”, by H. Lehmann and N. Pignatti (2007); • “Determinants of Poverty during transition: household survey evidence from Ukraine“ by T. Brück, A. Danzer, A. Muravyev and N. Weisshaar (2007); • “A model of the informal economy with an application to Ukraine” by S.Commander, N. Isachenkova and Y. Rodionova (2009).

  18. ULMS as public use file • The 2003 wave is already available to researchers world-wide although not yet advertised. • The 2003 codebooks, questionnaires (household and individual sections), and micro data in Stata format are made available – information about location below oblast level has been removed to ensure anonymity. • Researchers can download a form of undertaking; after sending the filled-out form to IZA data center, the data will be sent by email once validity of request has been ascertained. • In mid-2009 the wave of 2004 will become available so that researchers can work with a real panel. • Once the wave is available, there will be a link to the ULMS on the IZA website prominently displayed.

  19. Praise for the ULMS Yuriy Gorodnichenko (University of California, Berkeley): “The ULMS is a truly exceptional data set. It combines high quality design and sample with an excellent set of questions central to policy and academic debates. The wealth and quality of information in the ULMS opens new horizons in understanding the microeconomics of transition and emerging economies. This data set has been already instrumental in generating high impact research and it will be an essential input in many studies to come. Everybody should take the advantage of the enormous possibilities offered by the ULMS.”

  20. Alexander Muravyev IZA IZA, P.O. Box 7240, 53072 Bonn, Germany Phone: +49 (0) 228 - 38 94 -extension Fax: +49 (0) 228 - 38 94 180 E-mail: name@iza.org http://www.iza.org

More Related