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NM Occupational Situation

NM Occupational Situation. 2010-2020 Projections Coming this July 2011-2021 (statewide only). April 2013 Suzan Reagan, Labor Economist. Labor Market Information. Job Descriptions Education Wages Employment levels Future Growth. LMI - Alphabet Soup. USDOL – US Dept. of Labor

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NM Occupational Situation

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  1. NM Occupational Situation 2010-2020 Projections Coming this July 2011-2021 (statewide only) April 2013 Suzan Reagan, Labor Economist

  2. Labor Market Information • Job Descriptions • Education • Wages • Employment levels • Future Growth

  3. LMI - Alphabet Soup • USDOL – US Dept. of Labor • BLS - Bureau of Labor Statistics • ETA – Employment and Training Administration • NMDWS ER&A - Economic Research and Analysis Bureau • CES – Current Employment Statistics, Non Farm Emp. • LAUS – Local Area Unemployment Statistics, UI Rate • QCEW – Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages • OES – Occupational Employment Survey – wages by Occ. • WID – Workforce Information Database • NAICS – North American Industrial Classification System • SOC – Standard Occupational Classification System • O*NET – Detailed Occupations based on KSAT Data Series, Projections, & Publications

  4. Agenda 1)NM Economic Situation Industry Recession History/impact of Current Situation What’s Next (2010-2020) Occupations Hot Jobs Clusters STEM & Healthcare 2)Tools & Resources: NM Workforce Connection Career Solutions LASER CareerOnestop.org

  5. The Great Recession • Started December 2007 • Housing Peaked on 2006 • High Oil and Gas prices early 2007 • Financial Markets in August 2007 New Mexico Total Non-Farm Employment Seasonally Adjusted: Max. February 2008: 849,700 Min. September 2011: 798,000 Difference: -51,700

  6. The Great Recession Ended July 2009? New Mexico Total Non-farm Seasonally Adjusted Employment February 2013: 808,300 February 2012: 804,900 Over -the-year change: 3,400

  7. NM Industries Change How is New Mexico Handling the Recession? • Initially Mining lost over 500, However now it’s added 4,000. • Construction shed about 19,000 • Manufacturing lost 5,000 • Admin & Waste Svs 6,000 • Retail took a hit with 6,000 • Education is down 2,500 initially added jobs • Bright spot Health Care +14,000 Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages NMDWS

  8. Housing year to date Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Census Bureau

  9. Oil Rig Source: Petroleum Recovery Research Center, Socorro, NM

  10. Manufacturing Values above 50 represent expansion. . Source: Institute for Supply Management

  11. US Retail Sales

  12. US In thousands NM NM vs. US Employment from 1990 to Present NM vs. US Employment Total Non-Farm Employment Seasonally Adjusted

  13. NM Employment Industry Mix Source: Projections unit 2010-2020, NM Dept. of Workforce Solutions

  14. Industry Employment in Rural Areas Each local area has it’s own characteristics Data is based on Balance of State which is Statewide less the Metropolitan Statistical Areas. Source: Projections unit 2010-2020, NM Dept. of Workforce Solutions

  15. Local Area Industry Employment • Northern • Utilities • Manufacturing • Information • Arts & Rec. • Other Svcs. • East • Mining • Utilities • Construction • Manufacturing • Transportation • Real Estate • Admin • Educational Svces • Arts & Rec • Accommodations • Southwest • Mining • Utilities • Manufacturing • Wholesale • Transportation • Professional & Tech • Educational Svcs • Central • Arts & Rec • Education • Admin & Waste Svcs • Real Estate • Utilities Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages , NM Dept. of Workforce Solutions

  16. Current Employment Situation The unemployment rate for: February 2013 February 2012 The US is at 7.7 % 8.3 % New Mexico 6.8 % 7.0 % Albuquerque 7.1% 7.5% Farmington 6.7% 7.3% Las Cruces 7.0% 7.1% Santa Fe 5.4% 5.5% The bad news is… Seasonally Adjusted

  17. What about… Alternative Measures of Labor Underutilization U-6 US 14.7% NM 14.1% Four Quarters of 2012 • Unemployed • Part time for economic reasons • Multiple Jobs holders • Marginally attached workers • Bureau of Labor Statistics • 4 QTR Moving Average • http://www.bls.gov/lau/stalt.htm

  18. Employment to Population Ratio Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Local Area Unemployment Statistics

  19. Another look at Employment & Unemployment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Local Area Unemployment Statistics

  20. US Unemployment Rates for Men and Women Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey

  21. New Mexico Unemployment Rate by Age 2012 annual averages 8.1% all ages Source: Census Geographic Profile of Employment and Unemployment

  22. New Mexico 2011 Unemployment Rate Source: 2011 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates, Table S2301 Employment Status

  23. NM UI Continued Claims Duration Based on UI Summary Data 4rd Qtr 2012: Average Duration 19.6 weeks in 2012

  24. County Unemployment Rates February 2013 7.2 7.4 6.5 4.3 7.1 7.9 7.8 8.4 9.1 4.5 3.1 13.6 13.9 3.8 3.1 4.2 7.9 8.7 7.8 6.7 8.1 7.3 5.2 7.1 6.5 7.8 7.2 8.9 7.2 6.2 11.2 7.8 8.2 7.7 4.4 4.6 7.9 4.2 3.8 4.4 8.2 6.0 4.8 5.0 4.6 5.3 5.5 6.2 6.6 6.1 7.1 6.7 5.8 4.2 7.2 4.3 6.6 7.2 4.0 16.9 7.2 4.1 19.9 5.4 5.9 Not seasonally adjusted Source: NMDWS LAUS unit in conjunction with US Bureau of Labor Statistics

  25. What’s Next : Employment Projections 2010-2020 Future From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia The future is the indefinite time period after the present. Its arrival is considered inevitable due to the existence of time and the laws of physics.

  26. National Trends – projected population by age Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau

  27. NM Population Projections by Age Source: U.S.Census Bureau, Population Division, Interim State Population Projections, 2005

  28. NM Employment Projections 2010-2020 Growth of 136,304 Total Change 15.9% Annual Average Change 1.49% (numbers include self-employed) Source: NMDWS ER&A Projections Unit

  29. Workforce Investment Areas2010-2020 Projections Annual Average Percent Change 1.40 1.46 1.50 1.43 Source: NMDWS ER&A Projections Unit

  30. Projected 991,600 NM Job Recovery Max Employment CES Feb 2008 at 849,700 July 2012 was 799,900 Min. Employment CES Sept. 2011 at 798,000

  31. State Employment Change Comparison

  32. Tigger Slide

  33. Occupations

  34. O*NET / SOC 2010 Code Structure Sample code : 15-1152.00 Title: Computer Network Support Specialists Organized into Groups: 11- Management Occupations 13- Business & Financial Operations Occupations 15- Computer and Mathematical Occupations 17-Architecture and engineering Occupations 19- Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 21- Community and Social services Occupations 23- Legal Occupations 25- Education, Training, and Library Occupations 27- Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports & Related 29- Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occs. 31- Healthcare Support Occupations 33- Protective Service Occupations 35- Food Preparation & Serving Related Occs. 37- Building & Grounds Cleaning & Maintenance 39- Personal Care and Service Occupations 41- Sales and Related Occupations 43- Office &Administrative Support Wkrs 45- Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occs. 47- Construction and Extraction Occs. 49- Installation, Maintenance, and Repair 51- Production Occupations 53- Transportation and Material Moving 55- Military Specific Occupations Go to: laser.state.nm.us Click on: Occupation Profile -> Occupation Details-> Occupations by Group

  35. New Mexico Occupational Group Source: 2010-2020 Estimated Employment Projections Unit NMDWS

  36. Job Hunting Strategies Apply for posted job openings Cold call researched employers Network ~ talk to people ~ Network ~ NETWORK Develop job hunting skills by researching what a job hunt entitles

  37. Occupational Employment by Education Needed Source: 2010-2020 Estimated Employment Projections Unit NMDWS

  38. NM 10 Occupations with the Highest Employment Nationally – Retail Salespersons and Cashiers make up nearly 6 percent of total US Employment, OES 2011. Source: 2010-2020 Estimated Employment Projections Unit NMDWS

  39. NM Occupations, Most Annual Openings Source: 2010-2020 Estimated Employment Projections Unit NMDWS

  40. Primary Occupation Coding Guidelines In LASER, tasks for a specific occupation are on the Occupation Details tab.

  41. Annual Average Openings *Four groups with Openings due to growth higher Source: 2010-2020 Estimated Employment Projections Unit NMDWS

  42. Highest Growth Jobs in NM Source: 2010-2020 Estimated Employment Projections Unit NMDWS

  43. NM Occupations – High Wage & Growth Source: 2010-2020 Estimated Employment Projections & Occupational Employment Survey Units NMDWS

  44. Show me the money! Source: Occupational Employment Survey (OES) Unit NMDWS

  45. Lowest Paying Jobs in New Mexico Source: Occupational Employment Survey (OES) Unit NMDWS

  46. The Top 15 NM Occupations in Decline 2010-2020

  47. Occupations in Rural Areas Mining Roustabouts, Oil & Gas Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, & Mining Derrick Operators, Oil & Gas Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics Continuous Mining Machine Operators Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Rotary Drill Operators, Oil & Gas Welders, Cutters, Solderers, & Brazers Wellhead Pumpers Helpers--Extraction Workers Mine Cutting and Channeling Machine Operators Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operator Utilities Power Plant Operators Gas Compressor and Gas Pumping Station Operators Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers Water & Liquid Waste Treatment Plant & System Oper. Accommodation & Food Services Waiters and Waitresses Food Preparation and Serving Workers Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners Cooks, Restaurant Cooks, Fast Food First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Food Preparation Hotel, Motel, and Resort Desk Clerks Dishwashers Host & Hostess, Restaurant, Lounge & Coffee Shop Cashiers Self-employed Small business owners Entrepreneurs Healthcare & Social Assistance Registered Nurses Home Health Aides Personal and Home Care Aides Medical Assistants Social and Human Service Assistants Agriculture Farmworkers & Laborers, Crop, Nursery & Greenhouse Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Farmworkers, Farm and Ranch Animals Agricultural Equipment Operators Nonfarm Animal Caretakers Animal Trainers Packers and Packagers, Hand Education Elementary School Teachers Teacher Assistants Middle School Teachers Secondary School Teachers Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria Janitors and Cleaners Secretaries Retail Trade Retail Salespersons Cashiers Stock Clerks and Order Fillers

  48. Standard Occupational Classification SOC 2010 replaced the SOC 2000 The coding system is an on going process with the next review and revision planned to start in 2013 for the 2018 SOC Bureau of Labor Statistics http://www.bls.gov/soc/

  49. Detailed job profile for nearly 800 occupations • Job Description +knowledge, skills, tasks, abilities • SOC and O*NET • Training Program Completers • Classification of Instructional Programs (CIP) crosswalk Many-to-Many • Typical Education Requirements • Wage Statistics by area and industry • Employment Projections • Employment by Industry • Area’s available: • Statewide, • 4 MSA’s, • 4 Workforce Investment Regions

  50. Tools for LMI • Career Solutions : http://www.dws.state.nm.us/careersolutions/ • LASER: http://laser.state.nm.us/ • NM Workforce Connection: https://www.jobs.state.nm.us/ • Green Jobs: http://www.greenjobs.state.nm.us • National http://careeronestop.org/ • O*NET lookup http://www.onetonline.org/ • O*NET Academy http://www.onetacademy.org/

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