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Telecommunications Ecosystems

Hong Kong, South Korea, Vietnam, Roadshow – October-November 2008. Telecommunications Ecosystems. A peek into the future of - Technology - Market - Business. roberto.saracco@telecomitalia.it. Telecommunications Ecosystems. Evolution: Bio vs Tech&Mkt Ecosystems

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Telecommunications Ecosystems

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  1. Hong Kong, South Korea, Vietnam, Roadshow – October-November 2008 Telecommunications Ecosystems A peek into the future of - Technology - Market - Business roberto.saracco@telecomitalia.it

  2. Telecommunications Ecosystems • Evolution: Bio vs Tech&MktEcosystems • From Convergence to Variety • My View of Communications in 2015

  3. The Innovation Game • Bacteria… • Energy • Innovation: for how long? • The Pace of Innovation • Thresholds and the rules of the Game

  4. Evolution: bio vs Tech& Mkt Ecosystem Small Worlds Tech Ambient Market

  5. Evolution: bio vs Tech& Mkt Ecosystem Darwin Tech EcoSystem Evolution Random + Selection Creativity + Market Success Env.Share + variations Market share + release Internal Competition Dynamic Equilibrium Dynamic Equilibrium External Competition New Configurations New Value Chains

  6. Evolution: bio vs Tech& Mkt Ecosystem Discontinuity Speciation Displacement Cross Feedback Food Chains Value Chains No Return thresholds Local Optimum Production Process Energy Consumption Advantage of the small Economic Efficiency

  7. From Convergence to Variety 2020 2010 1 TB • Burst vs Streaming • Bit/Vid Torrent • Down vs Up • Distribution Chain • Sticker • Energy Control SSD 200 TB 50 ns 10s TB

  8. 2020 2010 From Convergence to Variety Gbps Interc. F. 100s’Gbps Interc. F. • Processing anywhere • Low power cons/diss • Ultra capacity • “fibred appliances” • Commodity • Real time rendering • Ambient awareness WperGflop 0.2% 0.001% 1c GFlop 100 TFlop 100s PFlop 2Tbps Interc. fabric 100 Qbit 28 Qbit

  9. ? Mining From Convergence to Variety 2020 2010 2010 ? Smart M. N Int WISP

  10. FUTURE CENTRE A peek into tomorrow’s ecosystems

  11. Telecommunications 2015-A technology view COMMUNICATIONS will BE: • Enabled by a varieties of infrastructures • Smaller and smaller cells for wireless drops • HWN • Fiber core extending to the very edges • Data center rather than Switching center based • Burst rather than streaming (but for voice) • 100 times todays traffic

  12. Telecommunications 2015-A technology view Edge Technology: • Make-Believe Interfaces - 4k video (human resolution) - tactile sensation (silk, rough, wet…) • Unlimited local storage (TB handheld) • Flexible, programmable sensors • Context awareness • Metadata • Supercrunchers – statistical analyses

  13. Telecommunications 2015-A user view COMMUNICATIONS will BE: • Visual • Personalised • Contextualised • No distinction between People, Information, Services • Seamless fabric joining reality and Web • Fading away of the Telephone Number • Involving a variety of loosely coupled Actors

  14. Telecommunications 2015-A Business view COMMUNICATIONS will BE: • Physical connectivity as utility both few bigs and a multitude of small. Basically no space in between • Different biz models for Bigs and Small • Flat rate on connectivity, both for w and wless • Growing importance of top $ versus bottom $ • Added connectivity value among apps • Metadata as significant revenue stream

  15. My view of Communications in 2015

  16. My view of Communications in 2015

  17. My view of Communications in 2015

  18. My view of Communications in 2015

  19. My view of Communications in 2015 The vineyard Wine tasting Buy! Your diet Wine History

  20. From Atoms to Bits PERCEPTION Technologies Detection Systems OBJECTS Sensors/Awar Optical Tags Network Mirror Bar Codes/Sem Cars DNA Markers Hand readers Image Localiz Cell Phones/Ca RFID Print Elect Cell Phones NFC

  21. From Atoms to Bits PERCEPTION OBJECTS DetectionSystems Technologies Municipal. Tourist Ag. A Product Pr. M B Content Pr. I E Individ.WK N Comm.WK Regulations T

  22. From Atoms to Bits PERCEPTION OBJECTS DetectionSystems Technologies Aggregators Municipal. Ntw Pl/Host Google Tourist Ag. Snapfish CONNECTIV. A Product Pr. Srv.Aggr. M B Content Pr. Track/V.A I E Individ.WK N Comm.WK Regulations T

  23. From Atoms to Bits PERCEPTION OBJECTS DetectionSystems Technologies Aggregators Municipal. Platforms Tourist Ag. Srv.Aggr. CONNECTIV. A Product Pr. Track/V.A M B Content Pr. I E Individ.WK N Comm.WK Regulations T

  24. From Atoms to Bits PERCEPTION OBJECTS DetectionSystems Technologies Aggregators Serv.Prov. Municipal. META Data C. Platforms Tourist Ag. Stat.MeaningE. Srv.Aggr. CONNECTIV. A Product Pr. CONTEXT-MEANING Track/V.A Pers.Aggreg. M B Content Pr. Ambient Creat. I E Individ.WK N Comm.WK Regulations T

  25. From Atoms to Bits PERCEPTION OBJECTS DetectionSystems Technologies Aggregators Serv.Prov. Industry Municipal. META Data C. Devices Platforms Tourist Ag. Logistics Stat.MeaningE. Srv.Aggr. CONNECTIV. A COORDINATION CRM Product Pr. CONTEXT-MEANING Track/V.A Pers.Aggreg. M PHARMA B Content Pr. Ambient Creat. I News/Mg E Individ.WK N Comm.WK Regulations T

  26. From Atoms to Bits PERCEPTION OBJECTS DetectionSystems Technologies Aggregators Serv.Prov. Industry Municpal. META Data C. Devices Platforms Tourist Ag. Logistics Stat.MeaningE. Srv.Aggr. CONNECTIV. A COORDINATION CRM Product Pr. CONTEXT-MEANING Track/V.A Pers.Aggreg. M PHARMA B Content Pr. Ambient Creat. I News/Mg E Individ.WK N Comm.WK Regulations T SOCIETY – ETICS - CULTURE

  27. Future Center: Ecosystems evolution

  28. You at the Future Centre • Open to other Companies participation • One year committment • Company pays for his researcher • Telecom Italia provides office and infrastructure • Open to post-Doc enrolled in the Gold Program • One year committment • Telecom Italia provide a bourse • Telecom Italia provides office and infrastructure • Fluency in English required

  29. Hong Kong, South Korea, Vietnam, Roadshow – October-December 2008 Thanks! Get the full multimedia presentation from COMSOC at www.comsoc.org -> education > DLT roberto.saracco@telecomitalia.it

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