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Weather Briefing for The 2013 Presidential Inauguration. NOAA/ National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office January 15, 2013 2000 UTC/3:00 PM EST Kyle Struckmann Emergency Response Meteorologist. Outline. Weather Hazards Forecast Overview

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Weather briefing for the 2013 presidential inauguration

Weather BriefingforThe 2013 Presidential Inauguration

NOAA/ National Weather Service

Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office

January 15, 2013

2000 UTC/3:00 PM EST

Kyle Struckmann

Emergency Response Meteorologist


Outline
Outline

  • Weather Hazards

  • Forecast Overview

  • Forecast Tables and Graphs

  • Reagan National Airport METAR & TAF

  • Illumination Data

  • Space Weather

  • Plume Modeling

  • Web Page

  • Summary of Weather Hazards

  • Briefing Schedule

NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office


Weather hazards 00utc 16 jan 00utc 22 jan 2013 for washington d c
Weather Hazards00UTC 16 Jan – 00UTC 22 Jan 2013for Washington, D.C.

  • Rain Continuing Into Wednesday

    • Approximately 1/2 inch additional rainfall possible

  • Gusty Winds Thursday and Friday

    • Small Craft Advisory possible

  • Chance of Snow Inauguration Day

    • Low Confidence

NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office


Forecast overview for washington d c
Forecast Overviewfor Washington, D.C.

NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office


Forecast overview for washington d c1
Forecast Overviewfor Washington, D.C.

NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office


Weather element forecast for washington d c
Weather Element Forecastfor Washington, D.C.

NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office


Weather element forecast for washington d c1
Weather Element Forecastfor Washington, D.C.

NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office


Kdca metar taf ronald reagan national airport
KDCA METAR & TAFRonald Reagan National Airport

METAR

KDCA 151852Z 03008KT 6SM -RA BR OVC014 06/03 A3026 RMK AO2 RAB48 SLP246 P0000 T00560028

TAF

KDCA 151722Z 1518/1618 02007KT 4SM -RA BR BKN011 OVC019

FM160400 02004KT 2SM -RA BR OVC015

FM161600 VRB03KT 6SM -RA OVC015 FM161700 VRB03KT P6SM OVC015=

NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office


Illumination Data

Washington, D.C.


Illumination Data

Washington, D.C.


Space Weather Summary/Forecast

1640

1644

1638

1641

  • Summary/Forecast Details:

  • Region 1654 harbors the potential to produce R1 (minor) radio blackouts

  • Currently quiet across S and G scales

  • Threat of significant space weather activity remains low

1642

Geomagnetic Storms

Solar Flare Radio Blackouts

Joint NOAA/USAF

Space Weather Briefing

Jan. 15, 2013 - 2000 UTC


Phenomena Reference/Impacts

  • Solar Flare Radio Blackout (R Scale):

  • No advance warning

  • Effects lasts for 10’s of minutes to several hours

  • Impacts High Frequency (HF) communication on the sunlit side of the Earth

  • First indication significant S and G scale activity may be possible

  • Solar Radiation Storm (S Scale):

  • Warnings possible on the minutes to hours time scale

  • Elevated levels can persist for several days

  • Impacts to the health and operation of satellites and International Space Station operations and crew

  • Impacts High Frequency communication in the polar regions, affecting commercial airline

  • Geomagnetic Storm (G Scale):

  • Advance notice possible given coronal mass ejection (CME) transit times from Sun to Earth range from just under a day to several days (CMEs being the main driver of significant storms)

  • In extreme storms, impacts to power grid operations and stability

  • Impacts to Global Positioning System (GPS) accuracy and availability

  • Driver of aurora; severe to extreme storms may cause aurora to be visible over most of the lower 48

Joint NOAA/USAF

Space Weather Briefing

Jan. 2013 - 1900 UTC

Complete NOAA Space Weather Scale information available online at: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/



Noaa nws baltimore washington
NOAA/NWSBaltimore/Washington

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/washington

Always

Up-to-date

NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office



Summary
Summary

  • Light Rain Continues into Wednesday

  • Breezy and Colder Starting Thursday

  • Chance of Snow on Inauguration Day

    -- Low Confidence

NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office


Briefing schedule
Briefing Schedule

  • T-7 days: Tue Jan 15 1500 EST

  • T-4 days: Thu Jan 17 1500 EST

  • T-3 days: Fri Jan 18 1500 EST

  • T-2 days: Sat Jan 19 1500 EST

  • T-1.5 Day: Sat Jan 19 2200 EST

  • T-1 Day: Sun Jan 20 1500 EST

  • T-14 hours: Sun Jan 20 2200 EST

  • T-12 hours: Mon Jan 21 0000 EST

  • T-9 hours: Mon Jan 21 0300 EST

  • T-6 hours: Mon Jan 21 0600 EST

  • T-3 hours: Mon Jan 21 0900 EST

  • T-1 hour: Mon Jan 21 1100 EST

  • T+2 hour: Mon Jan 21 1400 EST

  • T+5 hour: Mon Jan 21 1700 EST

  • Other times / dates as needed or requested

NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office


Next scheduled briefing
Next Scheduled Briefing

2000 UTC/3:00 PM EST

Thu 17 Jan 2013

Thank you for your participation!

NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office


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