1 / 20

Agri Outlook 2009 The Challenge of Change Summary and Conclusions

Agri Outlook 2009 The Challenge of Change Summary and Conclusions. By Herman van Schalkwyk 1 October 2009. The Impact of the current politcal landscape on South African Agriculture 2010 Dr. Pieter Mulder. Acknowledged the growing importance of commercial farmers in agriculture

cicero
Download Presentation

Agri Outlook 2009 The Challenge of Change Summary and Conclusions

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. Agri Outlook 2009The Challenge of ChangeSummary and Conclusions By Herman van Schalkwyk 1 October 2009

  2. The Impact of the current politcal landscape on South African Agriculture 2010Dr. Pieter Mulder • Acknowledged the growing importance of commercial farmers in agriculture • Improvement of South Africa’s trade relations • Foreseen challenges • Disregard for the role of agriculture • Perceptions with regard to land • Use of agricultural expertise • Stereotyping and generalising • International trade liberalization

  3. Turning strategies for Local Government as a vehicle for local developmentDr. Stef Coetzee • Deepening local government crisis • The promise of our constitution and the rainbow nation • Development at the local development cutting edge of development • Local government model has not facilitated cooperation • Civil society role • Local economic development inhibited and investment climate suffer • Turning strategy needed • New inclusive form of cooperation at the local level required • Crisis complex and integrated

  4. Models for development Agriculture: Risk SharingDr. Moji Mogari • Develop an appropriate funding model • Pre-screen the beneficiaries properly • Develop a commercial operational model and not a social one • Be realistic about budget projections and outcomes • Manage expectations • Have a representative management structure

  5. Economic Outlook 2010Mike Schussler • This year will be very difficult especially for our manufacturing and mining companies. • Will be worse than many forecasts. • But we are near the bottom already. • Recession lasted longer but turn around probably around now. • 2010 will be better (Slow but better) but 2011 should be much closer to a normal year.

  6. Land Reform 2010 and the Zimbabwe issueMr. Deon Theron • The results • The land is dead • No property rights and no incentive to invest. • No collateral value. No access to private finance. • Government broke no access to public finance. • Donor support conditional. • No incentive for farmers to practice sustainable agriculture or for capital development. • Farming skills lost and not transferred to new land holders. NO EMPOWERMENT!!!

  7. Farming opportunities on AfricaDr. Theo de Jager • Dawn of Africa = Opportunities • Challenges of farming in the Republic of Congo: • Infrastructure • Markets • Safety/stability • Language • Corruption • Labour

  8. Creeping Expropriation?Mr. Stephen Hoffmann Expropriation of property rights • Water • Minerals • Land • Firearms • Murdering of farmers

  9. Opportunities 2010 for Intra-Africa Trade – The Freshmark ExperienceDr. Johan van Deventer Challenges • “Know how” and entrepreneurs • Infrastructure (roads, harbours, electricity etc.) • Organised and reliable marketing channels (e.g. Fresh Produce Markets) • Organised agricultural sector • Supportive infrastructure e.g. SENWES, KAAP AGRI • Technical support/Research (ARC) • State Departments (difficult/slow) • “Tomorrow is another day” • Contra productive regulations + laws • In other words: “YOU ARE ON YOUR OWN”

  10. Practical perspective from a producer on Agricultural Development 2010Mr. Bully Bothma • Producer environment • Physical environment • Profitability • Input costs • Output prices • External factors • Land reform • Government policies • Funds for agriculture • Security • Infrastructure

  11. How the IDC can stimulate SA AgricultureMr. Rian Coetzee • Vision – To be “the primary driving force of commercially sustainable industrial development and innovation to the benefit of South Africa and the rest of the African continent” • Mission - Primary objectives are to contribute to the generation of balanced, sustainable economic growth in Africa and to the economic empowerment of the South African population • Objective - Supporting industrial development capacity and promoting entrepreneurship

  12. How the IDC can stimulate SA AgricultureMr. Rian Coetzee (cont.) • Outcomes • Sustainable employment • Regional equity • Industrialisation in the rest of Africa • Environmentally sustainable growth • Local beneficiation • Growing sectoral diversity • Growing SME sector • BBBEE • New entrepreneurs entering the economy • Growing export sector

  13. Price formation in the wheat market: a producer’s perspectiveMr. Hennie Visser • ‘N “SAFEX-AFGELEIDE” PRODUSENTE PRYS, MOET DIE SAFEX-PRYS WAT GEKONTRAKTEER IS, MIN DIE PROPORSIONELE WERKLIKE VERVOERKOSTE VANAF DIE LEWERINGSPUNT TOT BY DIE EINDBESTEMMING VAN DIE BETROKKE KORING WEES.

  14. Integrated Agricultural Commodity Outlook for 2010Mr. Ernst Janovsky • Macro economic trends – World social spend supports agriculture • Agricultural insights - Golden days for agriculture is back • Africa the new frontier – Food security • Outlook for selected commodities is expected to be positive

  15. Land Bank: Committed to focus on setting the benchmark in SA Agriculture 2010 Mr. Lebogang Serithi • Moving up the value chain • Premium provider of Agri-finance solutions • Improve customer services • Customer driven products

  16. Competition issues and debate on controversial food pricesDr. Simon Roberts • High concentration levels prevail, barriers to entry, poor competitive outcomes • Need to: • Undermine cartels, opportunities for new entry • Examine the role of industry associations • Increase agricultural production by addressing effects of anti-competitive conduct on costs • Improve understanding across govt and relevant public institutions

  17. Investment opportunities and trends in the SADEC basic food industryMr. Pieter Esterhuysen Reasons to invest in SADC • The attitudes of Governments towards agriculture and food security are becoming more positive • English as language is understood in most of Southern Africa • SADC region is relatively close to South Africa • As soon as more grain becomes available in Africa, aid related food supplies will be procured locally • The need for imported grain from South Africa will decrease. Involvement in Africa can replace the resultant loss in income • Areas such as Latin America and Eastern Europe are less attractive mainly because of the distance from South Africa and the huge size of resources demanded for entry • Limited competition in the region

  18. Weather Outlook 2010Mr. Johan van den Berg • El Nino effect – dry/hot conditions November-January • High probability to last until at least March/April 2010 • Turning point – February 2010 (early turning point is favourable) • Sideways in August/September – inhibit probabilities somewhat

  19. Conclusion • Issues that have implications for the future: • Our political environment and the accountability of people in leadership positions • Zimbabwe • Policy development • The Macro-economic environment • Agricultural Development in Africa • Rules of doing business • Formation of prices • Anti-competitive behaviour

  20. Conclusion cont… • A call for cooperation at all levels • Develop trust and relations • Improve competitiveness • Invest in capacity and research • Take the opportunities that Africa offers • Develop structures to analyse and take opportunities • Acknowledge the role that Agribusiness can play in agricultural development and create systems to enhance this

More Related