NAFORMA Acchievements , key findings,recommendations and the way forward

1. NAFORMA Acchievements, key findings,recommendations and the way forward NurdinChamuya(Head FRMA, TFS) and SorenDalsgaard (CTA NAFORMA FAO), Meeting at DPG-E, 10th June 2014.

2. NAFORMA Charateristics • 62 months (2009-14) • 214 person years (47 FAO, 167 MNRT) • 6 million USD donor funding • 2 million USD counterpart contribution. • Biophysical data - 30,773 plots (118 variables), 240,000+ trees • Socioeconomic data (100 variables)3,493 households + 1,118 Key Informants

3. NAFORMA data collection Local interviews Measurements of biophysical parameters Direct observations Key message: First time ever National Forest Inventory (NFI) in Tanzania. Wide range of data collected on trees, uses and users

4. NAFORMA – Land area 55% of land area of Tanzania is forest and woodland. NAFORMA field inventory captures 42% more forest area than earlier Estimates. Ground based inventory necessary for accurate estimates

6. New knowledge

7. New Knowledge • Soil Organic Carbon

8. Soil Organic Carbon predictions

9. New Knowledge • Soil Organic Carbon • Biomass and Carbon

10. Living tree stemwood biomass and carbon by primary vegetation type

12. New Knowledge • Soil Organic Carbon • Biomass and Carbon • Species distribution

13. Figure 7.5 Twenty most common tree species – all vegetation types

14. New Knowledge • Soil Organic Carbon • Biomass and Carbon • Species distribution • Land Use Land Cover Map (2010)

16. Some key figures • Total volume of wood is 3,3 billion m3 - estimated 77.2 billion trees: • 97 % from trees of natural origin • 3 % is from planted trees. • The average volume of wood is 37.9 m3/ha across all land cover types, large variation: • 1 m3/ha in open grassland to • 171 m3/ha in Humid Montane forest. • The standing volume of wood per capita is 74.4m3

17. Some more key figures • Half the volume is found in protected areas • Average demand is estimated at 1.39 m3/capita/year • Average sustainable supply (AAC) is estimated at 0.95 m3/capita/year

18. Forest area pr capita 1984-2010

19. Demand – Supply analysis of mainland Tanzania

20. Key messages • Demand exceeds sustainable supply • This leads to overharvesting in accessible forests and encroachment of protected areas • Energy and population growth are main drivers • Solutions have to look beyond the forestry sector

22. National Forest Programme3 scenarios

23. Dealing with the deficit • Getting rid of deficit by 2030 • 185.000 ha plantations to be established annually • Maintaining status quo • 109.000 ha plantations to be etsbalished annually • BAU • Deficit grows to 47 million m3 by 2030

24. NFP -take home messages • Not a uniquely Tanzanian challenge – Africa consumes 20% of the worlds wood. • Largely driven by household energy needs, lack of affordable alternatives, population growth • Growing wood deficit = principal challenge for the NFP • NFP 2015–24 identifies urgent need increased woodlot and plantation efforts. • Wood-deficit cannot be met through forestry initiatives alone. • Drivers of forest depletion to be addressed in a coordinated, cross-sectoral manner

25. Population and forest area

26. Data and Information Quote from the speech of Minister of Natural Resources and Tourism at the release of the key findings May 2013: “…NAFORMA data is a national resource to be accessed and utilized by every ministry, researcher, Local Government Authority, NGO, Private Sector and all citizens. Our responsibility will be to make access to the NAFORMA information as universal and as easy as possible…. “

27. NAFORMA datasharing

28. WEBSITE

29. Database portal

31. Strategic partnerships and Institutional collaborations • FAO-Finland Programme • Finnish Forest Research institute (SUA + TAFORI) • Open door

32. Examples possible collaborations • Soil Samples

33. Timeline NAFORMA & NFP

34. Thank you