Investments & Financial Assets

1. Investments & Financial Assets Essential nature of investment Reduced current consumption Planned later consumption Consumption Timing Allocation of Risk Two main themes of investments Modern Portfolio theory (MPT): Risk-return trade off in the securities markets Efficient diversification Capital asset pricing and valuation Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH): security price reflects all the information available to investorsconcerning the value of the securities Real Assets Assets used to produce goods and services Financial Assets Claims on real assets

2. Major Classes of Financial Assets or Securities Debt Money market instruments Bonds Equity Common stock Preferred stock Derivative securities

3. Agency Issues and Crisis in Corporate Governance Accounting Scandals Examples – Enron and WorldCom Analyst Scandals Example – Citigroup’s Salomon Smith Barney Initial Public Offerings Credit Swiss First Boston

4. The Agency Problem Agency relationship Principal hires an agent to represent their interest Stockholders (principals) hire managers (agents) to run the company Two conditions of agency problem: 1. Conflict of interest between principal and agent 2. Asymmetric information Management goals and agency costs

5. The Investment Process A Top-Down Analysis of Portfolio Construction the Capital Allocation decision Choice of safe but low-return money market securities, or risky but higher-return securities (e.g., stocks) the Asset Allocation decision the distribution of risky investments across broad asset classes like stocks, bonds, real estates, foreign assets, and so on. the Security Selection decision the choice of which particular securities to hold within each asset class security analysis involves the valuation of particular securities: must forecast dividends and earnings fundamental/ technical analysis Market efficiency

6. Active vs. Passive Management Active Management Finding undervalued securities Timing the market Passive Management No attempt to find undervalued securities No attempt to time Holding an efficient portfolio

7. Major Financial Markets and Assets or Securities Money market Treasury bills, Certificates of deposits, Commercial Paper, Bankers Acceptances, Eurodollars, Repurchase Agreements (RPs) and Reverse RPs, Brokers’ Calls, Federal Funds, etc. Treasury bills most marketable; highly liquid; discount bond maturities: 28, 91, 182 days minimum denomination: $1,000 Issued weekly

8. Costs of Trading Commission: fee paid to broker for making the transaction Spread: cost of trading with dealer Bid: price dealer will buy from you Ask: price dealer will sell to you Spread: ask - bid Combination: on some trades both are paid

9. Figure 2.2 Treasury Bills

10. T-bill T.B yields are quoted as the “bank discount yield” rBD = 10,000 - P x 360 10,000 n where P = the bond price; n = the maturity in days; rBD = the bank discount yield; $10,000 = par value. To determine the T-bill’s true market price: P = 10,000 x [ 1 - rBD x n/360 ] Ex. T-bill sold at $9,500 with a maturity of a half year (182 days): rBD= (500/10,000) x (360/182) = 0.0989 (9.89%) The “bond equivalent yield” of the T-bill = APR (annual percentage rate) rBEY = (10,000 - P)/P x (365/n) = (500/9,500) x (365/182) = 10.555% Effective annual yield: reay ( 1 + 500/9,500 )2 - 1 = 0.1080 (10.8%) note: rBD < rBEY < rEAY What is the asked price, equivalent yield, and effective yield for the T-Bill marked red in previous slide? RBEY = 365*rBD/(360-n*rBD)

11. Major Financial Markets and Assets or Securities Bond market Treasury Notes and Bonds Maturities Notes – maturities up to 10 years Bonds – maturities in excess of 10 years 2001 Treasury suspended sales Note: 11/1/2001: The Treasury department would no longer sell 30-year bonds, for years the benchmark for the entire $17.7 trillion U.S. bond market – long-term interest rate will decline. Now 10-year Treasury takes over the benchmark title. 2005 resume sales Par Value - $1,000 Quotes – percentage of par

12. Figure 2.4 Treasury Notes, Bonds and Bills

13. Example12 If a treasury note has a bid price of $982.50, the quoted bid price in the Wall Street Journal would be __________. A) $98:08 B) $98:25 C) $98:50 D) $98:40 The price quotations of treasury bonds in the Wall Street Journal show an ask price of 104:16 and a bid price of 104:08. As a buyer of the bond you expect to pay __________. A) $1,041.60 B) $1,045.00 C) $1,040.80 D) $1,042.50

14. Example 34 Suppose you pay $9,800 for a Treasury bill maturing in two months. What is the annual percentage rate of return for this investment? A) 2% B) 12% C) 12.2% D) 16.4% Suppose you pay $9,700 for a Treasury bill maturing in six months. What is the effective annual rate of return for this investment? A) 3.1% B) 6% C) 6.18% D) 6.28%

15. Municipal Bonds Issued by state and local governments Interest income is exempt Types General obligation bonds Revenue bonds Industrial revenue bonds Maturities – range up to 30 years

16. Municipal Bond Yields Interest income on municipal bonds is not subject to federal and sometimes state and local tax r = rm / (1 - t), where rm = the rate on municipal bonds; t = the investor’s marginal tax bracket; r = the total before-tax rate of return on taxable bonds. Ex. rm = 10%; t = 28% : then r = 13.89%, if t = 36%: then r = 15.625% Ex. A municipal bond carries a coupon of 6% and is trading at par; to a taxpayer in a 36% tax bracket, What is the taxable equivalent yield of this bond ?

17. Corporate Bonds Issued by private firms Semi-annual interest payments Subject to larger default risk than government securities Options in corporate bonds Callable Convertible

18. Figure 2.8 Corporate Bond Prices

19. Example31 The purchase price for a bond is listed as 104 and the annual coupon rate is 4.3%. What is the current yield (annual coupon payment / current price) on this bond? A) 0.00% B) 4.00% C) 4.13% D) 4.30% What is the tax exempt equivalent yield on a 9% bond yield given a marginal tax rate of 28%? A) 6.48% B) 7.25% C) 8.02% D) 9.00%

20. Equity Markets Common stock Residual claim Limited liability Preferred stock Fixed dividends - limited Priority over common Tax treatment Depository receipts

21. Figure 2.10 Listing of Stocks Traded on the NYSE

22. Uses of Stock Indexes Track average returns Comparing performance of managers Base of derivatives

23. Factors for Construction of Stock Indexes Representative? Broad or narrow? How is it weighted?

24. Examples of Indexes - Domestic Dow Jones Industrial Average (30 Stocks) Standard & Poor’s 500 Composite NASDAQ Composite NYSE Composite Wilshire 5000 CurrentlyDJIA: Alcoa, Allied Signal, American Express, American International Group Inc, Boeing, Caterpillar, Citigroup, Coca-Cola, DuPont, Exxon, General Electric, General Motors, Hewlett-Packard, Home Depot, IBM, Intel, Johnson & Johnson, McDonald, Merck, Microsoft, 3M, JP Morgan, Pfizer, Phillip Morris, Proctor& Gamble, SBC Communications, United Technologies, Verizon Communications, Wal-Mart Stores, Walt Disney.

25. Construction of Indexes How are stocks weighted? Price weighted (DJIA) (p40 example 2.2) Market-value weighted (S&P500, NASDAQ) (p46 example 2.4) S&P 500 Index = [Pit Qit / O.V. ] x 10 where O.V. = original valuation in 1941-1943 (i.e., relative to the average value during the period of 1941-1943, which was assigned an index value of 10) 81% of the mkt value of companies on the NYSE Equally weighted (Value Line Index)

26. Options Basic Positions Call (Buy) Put (Sell) Terms Exercise Price Expiration Date Assets Futures Basic Positions Long (Buy) Short (Sell) Terms Delivery Date Assets Derivatives Securities

27. Example33 The Chompers Index is a price weighted stock index based on the 3 largest fast food chains. The stock prices for the three stocks are $54, $23, and $44. What is the price weighted index value of the Chompers Index. A) 23.43 B) 35.36 C) 40.33 D) 49.58 A benchmark index has three stocks priced at $23, $43, and $56. The number of outstanding shares for each is 350,000 shares, 405,000 shares, and 553,000 shares, respectively. If the market value weighted index was 970 yesterday and the prices changed to $23, $41, and $58, what is the new index value? A) 960 B) 970 C) 975 D) 985