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IMF prediction during ICME event

IMF prediction during ICME event. ICME Events. Use ICME List from Richardson & Cane (Solar Phys 2010) 161 ICME events from 2001 to 2006 5 good estimated events under the criteria of correlation coefficients are larger than 0.5 either dBz or dBz /|dB|

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IMF prediction during ICME event

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  1. IMF prediction during ICME event

  2. ICME Events • Use ICME List from Richardson & Cane (Solar Phys 2010) • 161 ICME events from 2001 to 2006 • 5 good estimated events under the criteria of correlation coefficients are larger than 0.5 either dBz or dBz/|dB| • 10 events have significant anti correlation

  3. Correlation coefficientsfor 161 ICME events

  4. ICME Shock Check correlation during the time period from Shock arrival time to the ICME end time. Correlation coefficient is getting small by time

  5. nt = 3 nt = 6

  6. nt = 0 Correlation coefficient is getting big by time

  7. nt = 3 nt = 6

  8. good correlation events

  9. good correlation events

  10. Anti correlation events

  11. Anti correlation events

  12. Anti correlation events

  13. Anti correlation events

  14. Anti correlation events

  15. Anti correlation events

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