1 / 42

Current Status and Climatological Evolution of the 2010-2013 Drought

Current Status and Climatological Evolution of the 2010-2013 Drought. Michael Hayes, Director National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln Xiaomao Lin, KS State Climatologist Kansas State University. Photo: Xiaomao Lin, Tribune, KS, March 2013. Outline.

yehudi
Download Presentation

Current Status and Climatological Evolution of the 2010-2013 Drought

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Current Status and Climatological Evolution of the 2010-2013 Drought Michael Hayes, Director National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln Xiaomao Lin, KS State Climatologist Kansas State University Photo: Xiaomao Lin, Tribune, KS, March 2013

  2. Outline • Temporal and spatial context • U.S. Drought Monitor • Current status • Kansas State Climatologist • Next talk: Doug Kluck Summer 2013 High Plains Drought Outlook and Assessment Forum July 24, 2013 Colby, Kansas Photo: Xiaomao Lin, Tribune, KS, March 2013

  3. Percentiles and the U.S. Drought Monitor • Advantages of percentiles: • Can be applied to most parameters • Can be used for any length of data record • Puts drought in historical perspective • D4, Exceptional Drought: once per 50 to 100 years • D3, Extreme Drought: once per 20 to 50 years • D2, Severe Drought: once per 10 to 20 years • D1, Moderate Drought: once per 5 to 10 years • D0, Abnormally Dry: once per 3 to 5 years Courtesy: Brad Rippey, USDA

  4. Continental U.S., Percent in DroughtJanuary 2000 to March 2013 D0 D1 D2 D3 D4 Courtesy: Brad Rippey, USDA

  5. High Plains Region, Percent in DroughtJanuary 2000 to March 2013 Plains Drought, 2001-2005 Plains Drought, 2006-2008 D0 D1 D2 D3 D4 Courtesy: Brad Rippey, USDA

  6. 2011 Drought Impacts • NCDC: total direct losses to crops, livestock, and timber = $12 billion • NCDC: losses from wildfires in Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas exceeds $1 billion • Largest wildfires in history in both New Mexico (Las Conchas) and Arizona (Wallow) • Texas: Bastrop County fire Labor Day Weekend destroyed 1,625 homes and caused $325 million in insured losses

  7. Drought Impact Reporter http://droughtreporter.unl.edu

  8. 2012 Drought Impacts • Economic loss estimates • $30 billion, NCDC • Crop indemnities: $17 billion • 2011 the previous record with $10.8 billion • Fires • Colorado

  9. Courtesy: Brad Rippey, USDA

  10. Courtesy: Marty Hoerling et al., NOAA, 2013

  11. Drought Impact Reporter http://droughtreporter.unl.edu

  12. Drought Impact Reporter http://droughtreporter.unl.edu

  13. Courtesy: Brad Rippey, USDA

  14. Courtesy: Brad Rippey, USDA

  15. Courtesy: Brad Rippey, USDA

  16. Courtesy: Kansas Water Office, Weekly Drought Update, July 19, 2013

  17. Courtesy: Xiaomao Lin, Kansas State University

  18. How Much Water Vapor in Kansas Air ( 2m ) Courtesy: Xiaomao Lin, Kansas State University

  19. Water Anomaly in Air ( 2m ) in June 2012 and 2013 Courtesy: Xiaomao Lin, Kansas State University

  20. How Much Water in Kansas Soil (0-10cm) Courtesy: Xiaomao Lin, Kansas State University

  21. Water Anomaly in Soil ( 2m ) in June 2012 and 2013 Courtesy: Xiaomao Lin, Kansas State University

  22. Southwest Kansas Available Water (Garden City) How much water demand for our irrigation? Courtesy: Xiaomao Lin, Kansas State University

  23. Western and Central Kansas Drought Indices during Past 118 Years (1895 to 2012) Courtesy: Xiaomao Lin, Kansas State University

  24. Summary • A relatively wet period preceded the current dryness that the region is experiencing • Southern Kansas and southeastern Colorado are in their 3rd year of drought; the rest of Kansas, Nebraska, and Colorado are in their 2nd year of drought • Improvements in 2013 in the eastern Corn Belt • Little improvement west of the Missouri River • Livestock sector continues to be hit hard

  25. Michael Hayes National Drought Mitigation Center mhayes2@unl.edu http://drought.unl.edu Xiaomao Lin Kansas State xlin@ksu.edu Photo: Xiaomao Lin, Tribune, KS, March 2013

More Related