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THE LONG-TERM ENERGY SUPPLY AND DEMAND OUTLOOK IN TAIWAN

MOEA. THE LONG-TERM ENERGY SUPPLY AND DEMAND OUTLOOK IN TAIWAN. -15-. ENERGY COMMISSION MINISTRY OF ECONOMIC AFFAIRS AUGUST 2001. Contents. I. Energy Demand and Supply in Taiwan II. Current Energy Policy III. Key Issues and Challenges IV. Closing Remarks. -16-.

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THE LONG-TERM ENERGY SUPPLY AND DEMAND OUTLOOK IN TAIWAN

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  1. MOEA THE LONG-TERM ENERGY SUPPLY AND DEMAND OUTLOOK IN TAIWAN -15- ENERGY COMMISSION MINISTRY OF ECONOMIC AFFAIRS AUGUST 2001

  2. Contents I. Energy Demand and Supply in Taiwan II. Current Energy Policy III. Key Issues and Challenges IV. Closing Remarks -16-

  3. I. Energy Demand and Supply in Taiwan -17-

  4. 1. Structure of Energy Supply 106.3 Million KLOE • Percentage of Imported Energy in 2000 : 97% • Average Annual Growth Rate from 1980 to 2000 : 5.8% Nuclear 9% 2 Hydro 7 51 31 Natural Gas 58.6 Million KLOE Petroleum -18- 14 % 4 4 55 23 34.3 Million KLOE 6 % 2 6 71 15 Coal year 1990 1980 2000 Dependence on imports: 97.1% 93.4% 86.4%

  5. 2. Structure of Energy Consumption - by energy forms 90.9 Million KLOE • Total yearly electricity consumption increases 49 3 37 11 Electricity % 52 -19- Million KLOE 40 % 3 44 13 Natural Gas 29.6 Million KLOE Petroleum 34 % 6 52 8 Coal 1980 1990 2000 year

  6. Non-energy Use Others Agricultural Commercial Residential Transportation Industrial 3. Structure of Energy Consumption - by sectors 90.9 • Energy consumption by the industrial, residential, and transportation sectors has increased substantially since 1980. Million KLOE 3% 6 2 6 12 16 55 52 -20- Million KLOE 2% 6 3 4 11 6 58 29.6 Million KLOE 2% 6 3 2 10 % 12 65 year 1990 1980 2000

  7. 4. Installed Capacity of Power Stations 34,773MW • 1990 - 2000 Average Annual Growth Rate • Total Installed Capacity: 7.3% • Peak Load: 5.9% 6 % 15 15 13 13 15 23 17,809MW -21- 5 % 29 14 4 27 21 9,056MW 14% 15 59 11 Reserve Margin: 8.2 % 7.4 %12.6 %

  8. 5. Forecast of Energy Supply 167.1 Million KLOE 138.6 4.3 19.6 2.9 24.0 78.7 37.6 106.2 2.3 13.0 2.8 19.6 70.3 30.6 9.6 2.2 7.1 54.6 32.7 -22- year

  9. 6. Forecast of Energy Demand Million KLOE 150.7 115.9 90.9 -23- year

  10. Stabilizing Energy Supply Increasing Energy Efficiency Deregulating Energy Enterprises Enhancing Energy Safety and Environmental Protection Promoting Energy Education and Dissemination Reinforcing Energy Research and Development II. Current Energy Policy -24-

  11. Back-ground Change in Energy Situation Trend in Deregulating Energy Enterprises Pressure in Environmental Protection Energy Policy Enhancing Energy Safety and Environmental Protection Reinforcing Energy Research and Development Increasing Energy Efficiency Deregulating Energy Enterprises Promoting Energy Education and Dissemination Stabilizing Energy Supply Policy guidelines 1.Intensification of integrated energy planning. 2.Promotion of diversification of primary energy. 3.Construction of energy infrastructure. 4.Maintenance of proper energy security stockpile. 5.Promotion of exploration in energy resources. 1.Enhancement of energy productivity. 2.Stress on energy conservation. 3.Laissez faire determination of market mechanism. 4.Reasonable reflection of social cost in energy prices. 1.Revision of related laws and regulations. 2.Establishment of a fair and competitive environment. 3.Promotion of the liberalization and privatization of energy enterprises. 1.Enhancement of energy safety. 2.Active introduction of clean energy. 3.Promotion of high-efficiency and low pollution equipment and technologies. 4.Formulation of appropriate strategies to cope with the development of international environ-mental protection. 1.Promotion of R&D in energy conservation technologies. 2.Promoting the application of new and renewable energies. 3.Strengthening international cooperation. 1.Promotion of energy education in schools, industry and to the public. 2.Training professional personnel. Policy contents Master goal Free, Orderly, Efficient, and Clean Energy Demand and Supply System -25-

  12. III. Key Issues and Challenges -26-

  13. 1. Major Conclusions of National Energy Conference • To prioritize the implementation of energy conservation and promotion of energy efficiency, as "no regret strategy", with target of 28% energy saving by year 2020. • To promote the use of LNG, from annual consumption of 3.9 million tons in 1998 to 13 million tons in 2010. The price difference between natural gas and coal will be reduced. • To promote the use of co-generation, renewable energy, hydropower, and also to increase the weight of clean energy in energy portfolio. -27-

  14. Set the structure of the primary energy supply for the year 2020 at • Coal 27-30% • Petroleum 37-40% • National Gas 14-16% • Hydro 1-3% • Nuclear 13-15% • New Energy 1-3%. -28-

  15. Set the structure of the installed capacity for the year 2020 at • Coal-fired 35-37% • Oil-fired 4-5% • Gas-fired 27-29% • Hydro 9-11% • Nuclear 19-20% • New Energy 1-3%. -29-

  16. 2. Key Issues and Challenges • 1. Deregulating Energy Enterprises: • Within three months after the legislature approves the Petroleum Administration Law, all varieties of oil products shall be allowed to import. • The revised draft of the Electricity Law will widely open the operating pattern of power generation. When the legislature approves the draft, the monopoly of Taiwan Power Company will be eliminated. -30-

  17. 2. Augmenting Research & Development on Renewable Energy: • Implementing the Measures for Promoting Solar Water-Heating Systems (15-20% subsidized) • Implementing the Measures for Promoting Solar Photovoltaic Systems (up to 50% subsidized) • Implementing the Measures for Promoting Wind-Power Generators (up to 50% subsidized) • Formulating the law and the program for developing renewable energy respectively -31-

  18. 3. Strengthening Energy Efficiency & Energy Conservation: • Establishing an energy efficiency index and auditing system • Implementing an auditing system for energy users • Raising the energy efficiency standards of equipment and revise fuel economy standards for vehicles • 4. Establishing a Nuclear-Free Taiwan: • Formulating a statute for the early decommission of the existing three nuclear power plants -32-

  19. 5.Promoting Privatization of Electricity Sector : • On September 3,1994, the MOEA published the "Guidelines for the Opening of the Independent Power Generation Industry". • The MOEA then called for IPP projects in January 1995, August 1995, and January 1999, respectively. So far, eight IPP projects with a total capacity of 7,220 MW have begun operation or are under construction. -33-

  20. IV. Closing Remarks • The energy policy in Taiwan aims at sustainable development through the integration of the 3E (economic development, environmental protection, and energy security). • Our priorities are to promote energy conservation, energy efficiency, and open market, thereby strengthening our international competitiveness. • We welcome international energy cooperation to achieve these common goals. -34-

  21. ENERGY THANK YOU -35-

  22. -36-

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