Welcome to A Brave New World Honors 222D/263D

1. Welcome to A Brave New WorldHonors 222D/263D Plan for today: • Whirlwind tour of a few amazing facts about computer science and a few of the topics we will be discussing this quarter. • Administrivia • Short video on robotics and discussion • Questionnaire • Hand out robots -- see Alicen in CSE 546 • Some slides from Bernard Chazelle and Ed Lazowska

2. What is this course about? • The big ideas, the coolest applications and the deepest principles in computer science • The mathematical foundations of computing • The World Wide Web and its economic and social ramifications • Computers and their impact on the arts • How computational thinking can help cure cancer • Secrets and lies, knowledge and trust • The mystery of intelligence: What is knowledge? Can compuers think? Will computers ever be considered conscious? Where will all this progress take us? • The future • How is the way we do science going to change? • How is our economic system going to change? • How is our society going to change? • How are our brains going to change as a result of all this interaction with technology?

3. Predicting the future is not easy!

4. Albert Einstein ( 1932 ) “ There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. "

5. Lord Kelvin ( 1824-1907 ) “ X-rays will prove to be a hoax" “ Radio has no future. " “ There’s nothing to be discovered in physics today. "

6. Thomas Watson IBM Chairman (1943 ) "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers."

7. ``Where… ENIAC is equipped with 18,000 vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons, computers in the future may have 1,000 vacuum tubes and perhaps weigh just one-half ton.” Popular Mechanics, 1949 ``There is no reason why anyone would want to have a computer in their home.” Ken Olsen, President of Digital Equipment Corporation, 1977

8. Gordon Moore Intel Co-founder (1965 ) “Computing power doubles every two years." Moore’s Law

9. Exponential Growth • First commercial computer 1950: 100,000 additions/sec • Fastest computer in 2000: 2.1 trillion additions/sec • Factor of 21 million • Comparison: • First airplane 1903: 10mph • Fastest today: ~ 2500 mph

10. Exponential Growth • Exponential growth example: doubling every year. • Would you take a job where your salary started at $16/year and doubled every year? 2 years $64/year 10 years: $16,000 20 years: ~ 17 million 25 years: > 500 million • This is what happened in the computer industry! • Aside: exponential growth is not unique to computer technology -- happens whenever the rate of increase of a quantity is proportional to the size of the quantity • Other examples: compound interest, unconstrained biological population growth.

11. Exponential progress • Gordon Moore, 1965

12. 10,000,000,000,000,000,000 grains of rice • Ten quintillion: 10*1018 • The number of grains of rice harvested in 2004

13. 10,000,000,000,000,000,000 transistors • Ten quintillion: 10*1018 • The number of grains of rice harvested in 2004 • The number of transistors fabricated in 2004

18. Today: More than 1 billion PCs in use …

19. Representing less than 2% of all processors!

20. Number of computers connected to Internet • 1970: 10 • 1975: 100 • 1980: 200 • 1985: 2,000 • 1990: 350,000 • 1995: 10,000,000 • 2000: 100,000,000 • 2005: 400,000,000

21. A connected region – 30 years ago

22. A connected region – now

23. The Computer: Time Magazine’s1982 “Machine of the Year”

24. “In medicine, the computer, which started by keeping records and sending bills, now suggests diagnoses. The process may sound dehumanized, but in one hospital … a survey of patients showed that they found the machine ‘more friendly, polite, relaxing and comprehensible’ than the average physician.’”

25. “When the citizen of tomorrow wants a new suit, one futurist scenario suggests, his personal computer will take his measurements and pass them on to a robot that will cut his choice of cloth with a laser beam and provide him with a perfectly tailored garment.”

26. “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.”

27. “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.” vacuum your carpet

28. “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.” wash your floor

29. “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.” scrub your pool

30. “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.” clean your gutters

31. “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.” amuse your pet

32. “Lord” Chazelle (2006) “ Computing will be the most disruptive scientific paradigm since quantum mechanics."

33. Sciences of The Formula math, physics, chemistry

34. Sciences of The Future Neuroscience Genomics Climate sciences

35. “Lady” Karlin (2009) “ The future belongs to those who understand computation: its scientific, economic and social impact.”

36. My goals for the course • I’d like you to learn how to “think” like a computer scientist. • I’d like you to leave the course understanding that advances in computing have changed the world in a deep and profound way. • I’d like for you to leave the course understanding why you will be better off pursuing computer science further, no matter what your ultimate ambitions are.

37. The future is full of opportunity • Driving advances in all fields of science and engineering • Revolutionizing transportation • Personalized education • The Smart Grid • Predictive, preventive, personalized medicine • Quantum computing • Empowerment of the developing world • Personalized health monitoring => quality of life • Neurobotics • Synthetic biology

38. My goals for the course • I’d like you to learn how to “think” like a computer scientist. • I’d like you to leave the course understanding how advances in computing have changed the world in such a deep and profound way. • I’d like for you to leave the course understanding why you will be better off pursuing computer science further, no matter what your ultimate ambitions are. • I’d like you to have fun!!!

39. A Brave New World • Instructor: Anna Karlin (karlin@cs.washington.edu) office hour right after class on Fridays and by appt. • TAs: • Michael Bayne (mdb@cs.washington.edu) • Kate Moore (kfm@cs.washington.edu) • Computer Access in basement of Communications. B027 is reserved for us: • Monday 3:30 -- 4:30 • Wednesday 2:30 -- 4:30 • Thursday 6-8pm

40. A Brave New World • Course information on web • http://www.cs.washington.edu/BraveNewWorld • Class mailing list: cse190x@cs.washington.edu • Administrative homework: • If you have access to a PC check if it has a serial port

41. Very little programming in this course! • Not necessary for conceptual understanding • Gives us more time for a broader coverage of computer science, inside and outside. • No advantage to those who have prior programming experience Some labs/lectures use “pseudocode”

42. Grading • Final (in class): 15% • Lab reports and homework: 40% • Participation (in class, on blog): 30% • Project: 15% • Attendance at lectures is expected. • No book.

43. Some more details • Readings for almost every lectures. Please be sure to do them! • Occasional videos in class. • First lab this week: Web 2.0 • Blog posts -- somewhat open ended. • At least 2 longer posts a quarter (~ 3-4 paragraphs) • At least 6 comments (a few sentences to a paragraph) • (Project in form of longer blog post: ~2000 words) • Several guest speakers on various topics, including, for example: • Digital audio and computer music • Computing and the developing world • Protein folding • How computers can help improve the environment. • Visit to neurobotics lab

44. Project Ideas • Explore a computational problem in the field of your choice. • Explore a policy issue, e.g., electronic voting, privacy, etc. • Write a book report (e.g., The Google Story, Number Crunchers, The Singularity is Near, The Universal Computer: From Leibniz to Turing, The Code Book) • Read or watch a bunch of sci-fi and discuss whether what you see will be possible in 25 years or not and why. • Discuss how technology is affecting your favorite art form. • Study the Unabomber Manifesto and discuss what you agree with and what you disagree with. • Projects will be due on Tuesday during the last week of classes. We’ll pick a couple of the most interesting projects and discuss them in class on the final day.

45. Questions? • Next: Rod Brooks TED talk How Robots Will Invade our Lives